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Austria - Rep. Of Ireland

#1 · 8 pts
vs
#3 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.63%
Win
Austria
31.36%
Draw
17.01%
Win
Rep. Of Ireland
1.39
Expected xG
0.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.5%)
1X2 Result
1 52%
X 31%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 48%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Austria a 51% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 17% for Rep. Of Ireland. Expected goals are 1.4 for Austria and 0.7 for Rep. Of Ireland (total 2.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Austria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rep. Of Ireland.

Season Stats

Austria
5W 5D 2L
Rep. Of Ireland
5W 2D 5L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.5
6.0
Shots OT
3.1
4.8
Corners
2.9
62%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
50%
75%
BTTS
42%
17%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
58%
BTTS
Austria
4W 2D 0L · at home
Rep. Of Ireland
3W 0D 3L · away
2.8
gls/g
1.2
0.8
Conceded
1.7
67%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
83%
67%
O 2.5
67%
67%
O 3.5
17%
83%
BTTS
33%
17%
Clean Sht
17%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Austria Rep. Of Ireland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 17.4% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 12.1% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 5.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

D Kosovo 1–1
D Rep. Of Ireland 2–2
W Kosovo 3–1
W Israel 3–1
L Serbia 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
D Israel 1–1
D Austria 2–2
W Israel 0–3
L Kosovo 1–0
W Bulgaria 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Austria Austria
Attack
49
Defence
62
Form
52
Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
Attack
34
Defence
70
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Austria
1
Draw
0
Rep. Of Ireland
1 Oct 2026 UEFA Nations League 2–2

League B - Group C

# Team G Pts
1 Austria Austria 4 8
2 Kosovo Kosovo 4 5
3 Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland 4 5
4 Israel Israel 4 2

What's at stake · League B - Group C

Top 2 advance to the next round

Austria Rep. Of Ireland
Current #1 #3
→ Austria #1 #2
→ Draw #1 #2
→ Rep. Of Ireland #1 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland?
The model gives Austria a 51% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 17% for an Rep. Of Ireland win.
How many goals are expected in Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland?
Expected goals: Austria 1.4, Rep. Of Ireland 0.7 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.5%.