Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 29
April 11, 2026 16:30
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
Tomane
(ast. Adriel)
27'
24'
(ast. Samu)
Gustavo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guimaraes a 46% win probability (draw 27%, AVS 25%). The final result was AVS 1–1 Guimaraes. In 2 previous meetings, AVS have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Guimaraes.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
0.96
Actual xG
2.62
5
Saves
3
39%
Possession
61%
5
Corners
4
14
Tackles
17
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
24'
ast. Samu ·
Gustavo⚽
⚽Tomane
· ast. Adriel
27'
31'
Thiago Balieiro
A. Green
37'
A. Green
/ O. Perea
46'
56'
N. Saviolo
/
O. Camara
56'
D. Sousa
/
G. Nogueira
D. Rivas
65'
Simao
65'
D. Rivas
/ Kiki
69'
70'
N. Oliveira
/
Gustavo
70'
T. Arcanjo
/
M. Nogueira
Tomane
/ D. Duarte
82'
Pedro Lima
/ A. Algobia
82'
T. Akinsola
/ G. Neiva
85'
G. Mendonca
90'+1
C. Devenish
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
25.56%
AVS
27.77%
X ←
46.66%
Guimaraes
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.59
0.96
+0.37
1.38
2.62
+1.24
Guimaraes dominated by xG (2.62 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Adriel
1 👟
G
Adriel
1 👟
G
12
Daniel Rivas
69'
D
Daniel Rivas
69'
D
3
Paulo Vitor
D
Paulo Vitor
D
42
C. Devenish
D
C. Devenish
D
97
D
8
Pedro Lima
82'
M
Pedro Lima
82'
M
70
M
23
Gustavo Mendonca
M
Gustavo Mendonca
M
25
Andre Green
45'
F
Andre Green
45'
F
7
Tomané
1 ⚽
82'
F
Tomané
1 ⚽
82'
F
11
Tunde Akinsola
85'
F
Tunde Akinsola
85'
F
Bench
20
Diego Duarte
8'
F
Diego Duarte
8'
F
21
Guilherme Neiva
12'
F
Guilherme Neiva
12'
F
14
Óscar Perea
45'
F
Óscar Perea
45'
F
26
Ponck
D
Ponck
D
93
Simão
G
Simão
G
27
Charles
G
Charles
G
13
João Mendes
D
João Mendes
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
D
Thiago Balieiro
D
4
D
66
Tony Strata
D
Tony Strata
D
20
Samu
1 👟
M
Samu
1 👟
M
16
M
30
Gonçalo Nogueira
56'
M
Gonçalo Nogueira
56'
M
19
Oumar Camara
56'
F
Oumar Camara
56'
F
11
Gustavo Silva
1 ⚽
70'
F
Gustavo Silva
1 ⚽
70'
F
88
Miguel Nogueira
70'
F
Miguel Nogueira
70'
F
Bench
23
Diogo Sousa
34'
M
2
Miguel Maga
D
Miguel Maga
D
48
Noah Saviolo
34'
F
Noah Saviolo
34'
F
Best on the pitch
Adriel
G · AVS
8.30
1 👟
· 38 pass
Gustavo Silva
F · Guimaraes
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
Tomané
F · AVS
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Gustavo Mendonca
M · AVS
7.30
2 shots
· 29 pass
Diogo Sousa
M · Guimaraes
7.20
1 shots
· 9 pass
Gonçalo Nogueira
M · Guimaraes
7.20
· 15 pass
AVS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriel | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Rivas | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paulo Vitor | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Devenish | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Pedro Lima | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Gustavo Mendonca | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 21% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Andre Green | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Tomané | F | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tunde Akinsola | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Duarte | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Neiva | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Perea | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Guimaraes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| João Mendes | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Balieiro | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 62% | 1 | — | — | |
| Tony Strata | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Samu | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Oumar Camara | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | F | 70 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Nogueira | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Sousa | M | 34 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Noah Saviolo | F | 34 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AVS vs Guimaraes?
The final score was AVS 1–1 Guimaraes.
What did the model predict before AVS vs Guimaraes?
The model assigned 25% probability to a AVS win, 27% to a draw, and 46% to an Guimaraes win.