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AVS - Tondela

Taça de Portugal November 21, 2026 16:00
AVS
vs
Tondela
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.25%
Win
AVS
33.53%
Draw
36.23%
Win
Tondela
0.71
Expected xG
0.91

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (16.28%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 34%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 70%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 62%
Over 2.5 30%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tondela a 36% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for AVS. Expected goals are 0.7 for AVS and 0.9 for Tondela (total 1.6), with a 61% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.28% probability. In 3 previous meetings, AVS have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Tondela.

Season Stats

AVS
4W 1D 1L
Tondela
3W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
3.0
0.5
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
75%
33%
O 2.5
50%
17%
BTTS
50%
83%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
AVS
1W 1D 0L · at home
Tondela
2W 0D 0L · away
0.5
gls/g
5.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AVS Tondela →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.9% 18.0% 8.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.1% 12.8% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

AVS AVS
W Moreirense 1–0
W Sintrense 0–2
L Sporting CP 3–2
W Vitória SC 0–1
D Academico Viseu 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
Tondela Tondela
W Alverca 2–0
W Imortal Albufeira 1–5
D Caldas 0–0
W Vila Real 1–5
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

AVS AVS
Attack
39
Defence
65
Form
68
Tondela Tondela
Attack
48
Defence
77
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
AVS
2
Draw
0
Tondela
25 Oct 2026 Segunda Liga 2–1
21 Mar 2026 Primeira Liga 0–0
2 Nov 2025 Primeira Liga 2–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AVS vs Tondela?
The model gives AVS a 30% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 36% for an Tondela win.
How many goals are expected in AVS vs Tondela?
Expected goals: AVS 0.7, Tondela 0.9 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 61%.
What is the most likely score in AVS vs Tondela?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.28%.