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Barcelona SC - Independiente del Valle

LigaPro November 25, 2026 22:00 Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo, Guayaquil
Barcelona SC
#6 · 44 pts
vs
Independiente del Valle
#1 · 81 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Showers 24.2°C 💨 6 km/h 🌧️ 78% · Guayaquil
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.02%
Win
Barcelona SC
21.02%
Draw
46.96%
Win
Independiente del Valle
1.7
Expected xG
2.15

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.37%)
1X2 Result ✓ 59.3% hit rate (27 picks)
1 32%
X 21%
2 47%
Double Chance ✓ 92.6% hit rate (27 picks)
1X 53%
X2 68%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Independiente del Valle a 46% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Barcelona SC. Expected goals are 1.7 for Barcelona SC and 2.1 for Independiente del Valle (total 3.9), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.37% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Barcelona SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente del Valle.

Season Stats

Barcelona SC
4W 5D 6L
Independiente del Valle
11W 2D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.3
1.1
Conceded
1.1
3.8
Shots OT
5.9
5.6
Corners
5.8
54%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in LigaPro. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Barcelona SC
5W 3D 2L · at home
Independiente del Valle
8W 0D 2L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.6
0.7
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
80%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
80%
0%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Barcelona SC Independiente del Valle →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 4.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.6% 7.8% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 7.1% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
3 1.8% 3.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
L Macara 3–0
W Aucas 0–4
D Universidad Catolica 1–1
L LDU de Quito 2–1
D Delfin SC 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
W LDU de Quito 2–0
D Universidad Catolica 0–0
L Macara 1–0
W Aucas 2–1
W Libertad 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Attack
29
Defence
65
Form
49
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
Attack
44
Defence
67
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Barcelona SC
0
Draw
1
Independiente del Valle
3 Sep 2026 LigaPro 2–1
10 May 2026 LigaPro 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 34 81
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 30 74
2 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 30 51
2 Macara Macara 35 66
3 Aucas Aucas 35 54
3 Macara Macara 30 51
4 Aucas Aucas 30 50
4 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 35 53
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 30 46
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 35 53
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 30 44
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 34 48
7 Libertad Libertad 30 41
7 Libertad Libertad 35 51
8 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 35 47
8 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 30 39
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 30 39
9 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 35 46
10 Emelec Emelec 35 42
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 30 38
11 Emelec Emelec 30 36
11 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 35 44
12 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 35 40
12 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 30 36
13 Orense SC Orense SC 35 39
13 Orense SC Orense SC 30 33
14 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 30 32
14 Delfin SC Delfin SC 35 38
15 Delfin SC Delfin SC 30 28
15 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 35 37
16 Manta FC Manta FC 30 21
16 Manta FC Manta FC 35 30
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?
The model gives Barcelona SC a 32% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 46% for an Independiente del Valle win.
How many goals are expected in Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Expected goals: Barcelona SC 1.7, Independiente del Valle 2.1 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.37%.