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Barcelona SC - Independiente del Valle

LigaPro September 22, 2026 02:30 Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
Barcelona SC
#6 · 44 pts
vs
Independiente del Valle
#1 · 74 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Drizzle 24.3°C 💨 6 km/h 🌧️ 47% · Guayaquil
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.02%
Win
Barcelona SC
19.27%
Draw
48.71%
Win
Independiente del Valle
1.81
Expected xG
2.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (7.89%)
1X2 Result ✓ 69.4% hit rate (36 picks)
1 32%
X 19%
2 49%
Double Chance ✓ 94.4% hit rate (36 picks)
1X 51%
X2 68%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Independiente del Valle a 48% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 32% for Barcelona SC. Expected goals are 1.8 for Barcelona SC and 2.3 for Independiente del Valle (total 4.1), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.89% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Barcelona SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente del Valle.

Season Stats

Barcelona SC
4W 6D 5L
Independiente del Valle
13W 1D 1L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
3.0
0.9
Conceded
1.1
3.8
Shots OT
6.5
5.7
Corners
5.3
56%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
93%
27%
O 2.5
87%
47%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in LigaPro. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Barcelona SC
5W 3D 2L · at home
Independiente del Valle
9W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.9
0.7
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
90%
80%
Win or Draw
90%
80%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
90%
0%
O 3.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Barcelona SC Independiente del Valle →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 3.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9%
1 3.0% 6.8% 7.9% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.1% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.6% 3.7% 4.3% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9%
4 0.7% 1.7% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
D Delfin SC 1–1
D Aucas 1–1
W Independiente del Valle 2–1
L Manta FC 2–0
W Orense SC 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
W Libertad 2–3
W Macara 3–1
L Barcelona SC 2–1
D Universidad Catolica 2–2
W Leones del Norte 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Attack
34
Defence
69
Form
51
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
Attack
60
Defence
62
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Barcelona SC
0
Draw
1
Independiente del Valle
3 Sep 2026 LigaPro 2–1
10 May 2026 LigaPro 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 30 74
2 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 30 51
3 Macara Macara 30 51
4 Aucas Aucas 30 50
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 30 46
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 30 44
7 Libertad Libertad 30 41
8 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 30 39
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 30 39
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 30 38
11 Emelec Emelec 30 36
12 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 30 36
13 Orense SC Orense SC 30 33
14 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 30 32
15 Delfin SC Delfin SC 30 28
16 Manta FC Manta FC 30 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?
The model gives Barcelona SC a 32% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 48% for an Independiente del Valle win.
How many goals are expected in Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Expected goals: Barcelona SC 1.8, Independiente del Valle 2.3 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.89%.