Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 02:00
M. Celiz
(ast. T. Martinez)
79'
17'
(ast. C. Montes)
F. Zampedri
22'
(ast. J. Giani)
C. Montes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Barcelona SC 33%). The final result was Barcelona SC 1–2 U. Catolica. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for U. Catolica.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
6
0.49
Actual xG
0.86
4
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
3
Corners
3
12
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
17'
ast. C. Montes ·
F. Zampedri⚽
22'
ast. J. Giani ·
C. Montes⚽
H. Villalba
36'
J. Gomez
/ J. Wila
46'
M. Lugo
/ J. Intriago
46'
H. Villalba
/ T. Martinez
46'
56'
C. Montes
A. Rangel
63'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
/ R. Perlaza
65'
66'
A. Farias
/
C. Montes
67'
M. Gomez
/
F. Zampedri
D. Benedetto
/ M. Parrales
75'
77'
A. Canales
/
E. Mena
77'
G. Medel
/
F. Zuqui
⚽M. Celiz
· ast. T. Martinez
79'
M. Celiz
81'
90'+4
D. Gonzalez
/
J. Giani
Pre-match prediction
33.47%
Barcelona
25.95%
X
40.59%
U. ←
we assigned to the actual result (U. Catolica)
40.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
0.49
-0.76
1.60
0.86
-0.74
U. Catolica dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.49).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
José Contreras
G
José Contreras
G
4
G. Vallecilla
D
G. Vallecilla
D
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
33
D
18
Bryan Carabalí
D
Bryan Carabalí
D
32
M. Lugo
45'
M
M. Lugo
45'
M
21
H. Villalba
45'
M
H. Villalba
45'
M
28
J. Quiñónez
65'
M
J. Quiñónez
65'
M
8
M. Céliz
1 ⚽
M
M. Céliz
1 ⚽
M
7
Jandry Gomez
45'
M
Jandry Gomez
45'
M
9
D. Benedetto
75'
F
D. Benedetto
75'
F
Bench
26
B. Castillo
D
B. Castillo
D
44
J. Chalá
D
J. Chalá
D
51
Jefferson Wila
51'
F
Jefferson Wila
51'
F
35
J. Intriago
51'
M
J. Intriago
51'
M
70
Marcos Mejía
F
Marcos Mejía
F
11
M. Parrales
21'
F
M. Parrales
21'
F
23
T. Martínez
1 👟
51'
M
T. Martínez
1 👟
51'
M
1
V. Bernedo
G
V. Bernedo
G
3
Eugenio Mena
77'
D
Eugenio Mena
77'
D
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D
Juan Ignacio Díaz
D
19
B. Ampuero
D
B. Ampuero
D
6
D
20
J. Valencia
M
J. Valencia
M
7
J. Giani
1 👟
M
J. Giani
1 👟
M
15
C. Cuevas
M
C. Cuevas
M
8
F. Zuqui
77'
M
F. Zuqui
77'
M
11
C. Montes
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
M
C. Montes
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
M
9
F. Zampedri
1 ⚽
67'
F
F. Zampedri
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
13
A. Canales
19'
M
A. Canales
19'
M
5
A. Farías
30'
M
A. Farías
30'
M
17
Gary Medel
19'
D
Gary Medel
19'
D
14
J. Martínez
M
J. Martínez
M
18
Juan Francisco Rossel
F
Juan Francisco Rossel
F
10
M. Palavecino
M
M. Palavecino
M
Best on the pitch
M. Céliz
M · Barcelona
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
C. Montes
M · U.
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 14 pass
F. Zampedri
F · U.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
D · Barcelona
7.30
· 74 pass
J. Intriago
M · Barcelona
7.20
· 39 pass
T. Martínez
M · Barcelona
7.20
1 👟
· 27 pass
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Contreras | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| G. Vallecilla | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| A. Rangel | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 65% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 62% | 2 | — | — | |
| Bryan Carabalí | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lugo | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| H. Villalba | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Quiñónez | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Céliz | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jandry Gomez | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefferson Wila | F | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Intriago | M | 51 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Parrales | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Martínez | M | 51 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
U. Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Bernedo | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Mena | D | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Ampuero | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Valencia | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Giani | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Cuevas | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| F. Zuqui | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| C. Montes | M | 66 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Zampedri | F | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Canales | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Farías | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gary Medel | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica?
The final score was Barcelona SC 1–2 U. Catolica.
What did the model predict before Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Barcelona SC win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an U. Catolica win.