← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 3 April 30, 2026 02:00
Barcelona SC
#4 · 3 pts
1 – 2
Final score
U. Catolica
#1 · 7 pts
M. Celiz (ast. T. Martinez) 79'
17' (ast. C. Montes) F. Zampedri
22' (ast. J. Giani) C. Montes

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave U. Catolica a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Barcelona SC 33%). The final result was Barcelona SC 1–2 U. Catolica.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
6
0.49
Actual xG
0.86
4
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
3
Corners
3
12
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
17'
ast. C. Montes · F. Zampedri⚽
22'
ast. J. Giani · C. Montes⚽
H. Villalba
36'
↕ J. Gomez / J. Wila
46'
↕ M. Lugo / J. Intriago
46'
↕ H. Villalba / T. Martinez
46'
56'
C. Montes
A. Rangel
63'
↕ J. R. Quinonez Ruiz / R. Perlaza
65'
66'
A. Farias / C. Montes ↕
67'
M. Gomez / F. Zampedri ↕
↕ D. Benedetto / M. Parrales
75'
77'
A. Canales / E. Mena ↕
77'
G. Medel / F. Zuqui ↕
⚽M. Celiz · ast. T. Martinez
79'
M. Celiz
81'
90'+4
D. Gonzalez / J. Giani ↕
Pre-match prediction
33.47%
Barcelona
25.95%
X
40.59%
U. ←
we assigned to the actual result (U. Catolica) 40.59% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Barcelona
1.25
0.49
-0.76
U.
1.60
0.86
-0.74
U. Catolica dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-1-4-1
1 José Contreras José Contreras G 6.30
4 Gustavo Vallecilla Gustavo Vallecilla D 6.30
14 A. Rangel A. Rangel D 6.90
33
D 7.30
18 Bryan Carabalí Bryan Carabalí D 6.00
32 Matias Lugo Matias Lugo 45' M 6.20
21 H. Villalba H. Villalba 45' M 6.20
28 Jhonny Quiñónez Jhonny Quiñónez 65' M 6.50
8 M. Céliz M. Céliz 1 ⚽ M 8.20
7 Jandry Gomez Jandry Gomez 45' M 6.50
9 D. Benedetto D. Benedetto 75' F 6.30
Bench
26 Byron Castillo Byron Castillo D
35 Jefferson Intriago Jefferson Intriago 51' M 7.20
51 Jefferson Wila Jefferson Wila 51' F 6.20
44 Jhonnier Chalá Jhonnier Chalá D
70 Marcos Mejía Marcos Mejía F
11 Miguel Parrales Miguel Parrales 21' F 6.30
23 T. Martínez T. Martínez 1 👟 51' M 7.20
U. Catolica U. Catolica 4-1-4-1
1
Vicente Bernedo G 6.90
3
E. Mena 77' D 6.60
26 J. Díaz J. Díaz D 6.60
19
B. Ampuero D 6.30
6
D 6.70
20 J. Valencia J. Valencia M 6.70
7 J. Giani J. Giani 1 👟 M 6.90
15 C. Cuevas C. Cuevas M 6.70
8
Fernando Zuqui 77' M 6.30
11 C. Montes C. Montes 1 ⚽ 1 👟 66' M 7.90
9 F. Zampedri F. Zampedri 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.30
Bench
5
A. Farias 30' M 6.30
13
Alfred Canales 19' M 6.70
17
G. Medel 19' D 6.30
14
Jimmy Martínez M
18
Juan Francisco Rossel F
10 M. Palavecino M. Palavecino M
Best on the pitch
M. Céliz
M. Céliz
M · Barcelona
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
C. Montes
C. Montes
M · U.
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
F. Zampedri
F. Zampedri
F · U.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
D · Barcelona
7.30
· 74 pass
Jefferson Intriago
Jefferson Intriago
M · Barcelona
7.20
· 39 pass
T. Martínez
T. Martínez
M · Barcelona
7.20
1 👟
· 27 pass
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
José Contreras G 96 6.30 — — — 17 15% — — —
Gustavo Vallecilla D 96 6.30 — — 1 55 46% — — —
A. Rangel D 96 6.90 — — 1 70 65% 4 1 —
D 96 7.30 — — — 74 62% 2 — —
Bryan Carabalí D 96 6.00 — — 1 38 32% 1 — —
Matias Lugo M 45 6.20 — — 1 30 25% — — —
H. Villalba M 45 6.20 — — — 11 8% — 1 —
Jhonny Quiñónez M 65 6.50 — — — 34 26% — — —
M. Céliz M 96 8.20 1 — 2 37 28% 2 1 —
Jandry Gomez M 45 6.50 — — 1 14 10% 1 — —
D. Benedetto F 75 6.30 — — 2 11 7% 1 — —
Jefferson Intriago M 51 7.20 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
Jefferson Wila F 51 6.20 — — — 19 12% — — —
Miguel Parrales F 21 6.30 — — 1 3 2% — — —
T. Martínez M 51 7.20 — 1 — 27 23% — — —
U. Catolica U. Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Vicente Bernedo G 96 6.90 — — — 31 19% — — —
E. Mena D 77 6.60 — — — 19 13% 1 — —
J. Díaz D 96 6.60 — — 1 20 19% 1 — —
B. Ampuero D 96 6.30 — — — 20 14% — — —
D 96 6.70 — — 1 18 10% 1 — —
J. Valencia M 96 6.70 — — 1 35 30% — — —
J. Giani M 94 6.90 — 1 2 21 17% 3 — —
C. Cuevas M 96 6.70 — — — 30 20% 5 — —
Fernando Zuqui M 77 6.30 — — — 29 23% — — —
C. Montes M 66 7.90 1 1 2 14 10% 1 1 —
F. Zampedri F 67 7.30 1 — 1 11 4% — — —
A. Farias M 30 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
Alfred Canales M 19 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
G. Medel D 19 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica?
The final score was Barcelona SC 1–2 U. Catolica.
What did the model predict before Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Barcelona SC win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an U. Catolica win.