✓Model correct — prediction Başakşehir
E. Shomurodov
(ast. Y. Sari)
5'
B. Yildirim
22'
D. Selke
(ast. I. Brnic)
81'
E. Shomurodov
(ast. I. Brnic)
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Başakşehir a 55% win probability (draw 26%, Kasımpaşa 17%). The final result was Başakşehir 4–0 Kasımpaşa. In 2 previous meetings, Başakşehir have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kasımpaşa.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
2.22
Actual xG
0.24
2
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
6
Corners
2
6
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Shomurodov
· ast. Y. Sari
5'
⚽B. Yildirim
22'
30'
A. F. Baldursson
L. Duarte
34'
O. Sahiner
35'
44'
Rodrigo Becao
46'
N. Opoku
/
Cafu
O. Sahiner
/ O. Bulut
46'
B. Yildirim
/ D. Selke
60'
Y. Sari
/ I. Brnic
60'
L. Duarte
/ H. Gureler
69'
80'
K. Kanatsizkus
/
A. Benedyczak
80'
E. Aydin
/
K. Demirbay
⚽D. Selke
· ast. I. Brnic
81'
U. Gunes
/ O. Ergun
83'
O. Kemen
83'
86'
A. Kol
/
I. C. Kahveci
⚽E. Shomurodov
· ast. I. Brnic
87'
Pre-match prediction
55.84%
Başakşehir ←
26.83%
X
17.34%
Kasımpaşa
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Başakşehir)
55.84%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.74
2.22
+0.48
0.84
0.24
-0.6
Başakşehir dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
G
88
D
27
O. Ba
D
O. Ba
D
5
L. Duarte
69'
D
42
Ö. Şahiner
45'
D
Ö. Şahiner
45'
D
20
U. Güneş
82'
M
U. Güneş
82'
M
8
O. Kemen
M
O. Kemen
M
25
A. Harit
M
A. Harit
M
14
E. Shomurodov
2 ⚽
M
E. Shomurodov
2 ⚽
M
7
Y. Sarı
1 👟
60'
M
Y. Sarı
1 👟
60'
M
91
B. Yıldırım
1 ⚽
60'
F
B. Yıldırım
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
9
D. Selke
1 ⚽
30'
F
D. Selke
1 ⚽
30'
F
77
I. Brnić
2 👟
30'
F
I. Brnić
2 👟
30'
F
13
Miguel Crespo
M
Miguel Crespo
M
1
A. Gianniotis
G
A. Gianniotis
G
21
Frimpong
D
Frimpong
D
4
A. Arous
D
A. Arous
D
50
Rodrigo Becão
44'
D
Rodrigo Becão
44'
D
2
Cláudio Winck
D
Cláudio Winck
D
16
A. Baldursson
M
A. Baldursson
M
8
Cafú
45'
M
34
Fousseni Diabaté
M
Fousseni Diabaté
M
26
K. Demirbay
80'
M
K. Demirbay
80'
M
71
İ. Kahveci
86'
M
İ. Kahveci
86'
M
19
A. Benedyczak
80'
F
A. Benedyczak
80'
F
Bench
23
C. Tosun
F
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
D
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
D
Best on the pitch
I. Brnić
F · Başakşehir
9.20
2 👟
· 12 pass
E. Shomurodov
M · Başakşehir
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
O. Kemen
M · Başakşehir
8.30
· 70 pass
B. Yıldırım
F · Başakşehir
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
A. Harit
M · Başakşehir
7.70
· 53 pass
G · Başakşehir
7.70
· 46 pass
Başakşehir — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| O. Ba | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 88% | — | — | — |
| L. Duarte | D | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ö. Şahiner | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| U. Güneş | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kemen | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 68% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Harit | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Shomurodov | M | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Y. Sarı | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| B. Yıldırım | F | 60 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Selke | F | 30 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Brnić | F | 30 | 9.20 | — | 2 | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Kasımpaşa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gianniotis | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Frimpong | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Arous | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Becão | D | 44 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | 1 |
| Cláudio Winck | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Baldursson | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cafú | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Fousseni Diabaté | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Demirbay | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| İ. Kahveci | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Benedyczak | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
The final score was Başakşehir 4–0 Kasımpaşa.
What did the model predict before Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Başakşehir win, 26% to a draw, and 17% to an Kasımpaşa win.