✓Model correct — prediction Başakşehir
E. Shomurodov
(ast. Y. Sari)
5'
B. Yildirim
22'
D. Selke
(ast. I. Brnic)
81'
E. Shomurodov
(ast. I. Brnic)
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Başakşehir a 55% win probability (draw 26%, Kasımpaşa 17%). The final result was Başakşehir 4–0 Kasımpaşa. In 1 previous meetings, Başakşehir have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Kasımpaşa.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
2.22
Actual xG
0.24
2
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
6
Corners
2
6
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Shomurodov
· ast. Y. Sari
5'
⚽B. Yildirim
22'
30'
A. F. Baldursson
L. Duarte
34'
O. Sahiner
35'
44'
Rodrigo Becao
46'
N. Opoku
/
Cafu
O. Sahiner
/ O. Bulut
46'
B. Yildirim
/ D. Selke
60'
Y. Sari
/ I. Brnic
60'
L. Duarte
/ H. Gureler
69'
80'
K. Kanatsizkus
/
A. Benedyczak
80'
E. Aydin
/
K. Demirbay
⚽D. Selke
· ast. I. Brnic
81'
U. Gunes
/ O. Ergun
83'
O. Kemen
83'
86'
A. Kol
/
I. C. Kahveci
⚽E. Shomurodov
· ast. I. Brnic
87'
Pre-match prediction
55.84%
Başakşehir ←
26.83%
X
17.34%
Kasımpaşa
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Başakşehir)
55.84%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.74
2.22
+0.48
0.84
0.24
-0.6
Başakşehir dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
G
88
D
27
Ousseynou Ba
D
Ousseynou Ba
D
5
L. Duarte
69'
D
42
Ömer Ali Şahiner
45'
D
Ömer Ali Şahiner
45'
D
20
Umut Güneş
82'
M
Umut Güneş
82'
M
8
Olivier Kemen
M
Olivier Kemen
M
25
Amine Harit
M
Amine Harit
M
14
Eldor Shomurodov
2 ⚽
M
Eldor Shomurodov
2 ⚽
M
7
Yusuf Sarı
1 👟
60'
M
Yusuf Sarı
1 👟
60'
M
91
B. Yıldırım
1 ⚽
60'
F
B. Yıldırım
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
9
Davie Selke
1 ⚽
30'
F
Davie Selke
1 ⚽
30'
F
77
Ivan Brnić
2 👟
30'
F
Ivan Brnić
2 👟
30'
F
13
Miguel Crespo
M
Miguel Crespo
M
1
A. Gianniotis
G
21
Frimpong
D
Frimpong
D
4
A. Arous
D
A. Arous
D
50
Rodrigo Becão
44'
D
Rodrigo Becão
44'
D
2
Cláudio Winck
D
16
Andri Fannar Baldursson
M
Andri Fannar Baldursson
M
8
Cafú
45'
M
Cafú
45'
M
34
Fousseni Diabaté
M
Fousseni Diabaté
M
26
Kerem Demirbay
80'
M
Kerem Demirbay
80'
M
71
İrfan Can Kahveci
86'
M
İrfan Can Kahveci
86'
M
19
A. Benedyczak
80'
F
A. Benedyczak
80'
F
Bench
23
C. Tosun
F
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
D
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
D
Best on the pitch
Ivan Brnić
F · Başakşehir
9.20
2 👟
· 12 pass
Eldor Shomurodov
M · Başakşehir
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Olivier Kemen
M · Başakşehir
8.30
· 70 pass
B. Yıldırım
F · Başakşehir
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Amine Harit
M · Başakşehir
7.70
· 53 pass
G · Başakşehir
7.70
· 46 pass
Başakşehir — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| Ousseynou Ba | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 88% | — | — | — |
| L. Duarte | D | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ömer Ali Şahiner | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Umut Güneş | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Olivier Kemen | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 68% | — | 1 | — |
| Amine Harit | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Eldor Shomurodov | M | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Yusuf Sarı | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| B. Yıldırım | F | 60 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Davie Selke | F | 30 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Brnić | F | 30 | 9.20 | — | 2 | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Kasımpaşa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gianniotis | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Frimpong | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Arous | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Becão | D | 44 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | 1 |
| Cláudio Winck | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Andri Fannar Baldursson | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cafú | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Fousseni Diabaté | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Kerem Demirbay | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Benedyczak | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
The final score was Başakşehir 4–0 Kasımpaşa.
What did the model predict before Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Başakşehir win, 26% to a draw, and 17% to an Kasımpaşa win.