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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:30
Bayern München
#1 · 0 pts
3 – 3
Final score
1. FC Heidenheim
✗Model wrong — prediction Bayern München, result Draw
L. Goretzka 44'
L. Goretzka (ast. M. Olise) 57'
D. Ramaj 90'+10 (og)
22' (ast. M. Busch) B. Zivzivadze
31' (ast. M. Busch) E. Dinkci
76' (ast. A. Ibrahimovic) B. Zivzivadze
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 85% win probability (draw 8%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%). The final result was Bayern München 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim. In 1 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
5
2.21
Actual xG
2.13
2
Saves
4
75%
Possession
25%
13
Corners
5
7
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. M. Busch · B. Zivzivadze⚽
31'
ast. M. Busch · E. Dinkci⚽
⚽L. Goretzka
44'
N. Jackson
45'
45'
D. Ramaj
↕ B. Ndiaye / H. Kane
46'
↕ J. Stanisic / L. Diaz
46'
↕ J. Musiala / M. Olise
46'
↕ A. Pavlovic / J. Kimmich
46'
⚽L. Goretzka · ast. M. Olise
57'
J. Tah
72'
76'
ast. A. Ibrahimovic · B. Zivzivadze⚽
↕ J. Tah / A. Davies
77'
77'
S. Schimmer / M. Pieringer ↕
81'
M. Kaufmann / B. Zivzivadze ↕
81'
L. Kerber / A. Ibrahimovic ↕
K. Laimer
85'
89'
T. Siersleben / N. Dorsch ↕
⚽D. Ramaj (og)
90'+10
90'
M. Busch
Pre-match prediction
85.85%
Bayern
8.41%
X ←
5.75%
1.
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 8.41% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayern
4.50
2.21
-2.29
1.
1.16
2.13
+0.97
xG dominance was balanced (2.21 – 2.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 0 0
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0 0
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0 0
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0 0
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0 0
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 0 0
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0 0
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0 0
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0 0
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 0 0
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0 0
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 0 0
17 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 0 0
18 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
Lineups
Bayern München Bayern München 4-3-1-2
40
G 6.90
21 Hiroki Itō Hiroki Itō D 6.70
4 Jonathan Tah Jonathan Tah 77' D 6.60
3 Kim Min-Jae Kim Min-Jae D 6.70
44 Josip Stanišić Josip Stanišić 45' D 6.20
27 K. Laimer K. Laimer M 6.70
39 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye Bara Sapoko Ndiaye 45' M 6.20
45 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović 45' M 6.50
8 Leon Goretzka Leon Goretzka 2 ⚽ M 9.00
10 J. Musiala J. Musiala 45' F 6.90
11 N. Jackson N. Jackson F 6.30
Bench
19 Alphonso Davies Alphonso Davies 13' D 6.70
2 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D
9 H. Kane H. Kane 45' F 6.70
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich 45' M 6.90
14 L. Díaz L. Díaz 45' F 6.70
1 Manuel Neuer Manuel Neuer G
17 M. Olise M. Olise 1 👟 45' M 8.50
20 Tom Bischof Tom Bischof M
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 3-4-3
41 Diant Ramaj Diant Ramaj 1 ⚽ G 6.50
19
D 6.30
6 Patrick Mainka Patrick Mainka D 6.50
2 Marnon Busch Marnon Busch 2 👟 D 7.60
26 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens M 6.70
30 Niklas Dorsch Niklas Dorsch 89' M 7.00
3 Jan Schöppner Jan Schöppner M 6.70
8 Eren Dinkçi Eren Dinkçi 1 ⚽ M 7.20
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 1 👟 81' F 7.50
11 B. Zivzivadze B. Zivzivadze 2 ⚽ 81' F 8.30
18 Marvin Pieringer Marvin Pieringer 77' F 6.70
Bench
21 Adrian Beck Adrian Beck M
16 Julian Niehues Julian Niehues M
9 Stefan Schimmer Stefan Schimmer 13' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Leon Goretzka
Leon Goretzka
M · Bayern
9.00
2 ⚽
4 shots · 56 pass
M. Olise
M. Olise
M · Bayern
8.50
1 👟
2 shots · 39 pass
B. Zivzivadze
B. Zivzivadze
F · 1.
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
Marnon Busch
Marnon Busch
D · 1.
7.60
2 👟
· 15 pass
A. Ibrahimović
A. Ibrahimović
F · 1.
7.50
1 👟
· 20 pass
Eren Dinkçi
Eren Dinkçi
M · 1.
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
Bayern München Bayern München — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 26 22% — — —
Hiroki Itō D 90 6.70 — — 1 75 69% 1 — —
Jonathan Tah D 77 6.60 — — — 87 84% 1 1 —
Kim Min-Jae D 90 6.70 — — 1 94 86% 2 — —
Josip Stanišić D 45 6.20 — — — 24 18% — — —
K. Laimer M 90 6.70 — — — 47 45% — 1 —
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye M 45 6.20 — — — 38 34% 1 — —
A. Pavlović M 45 6.50 — — — 40 36% — — —
Leon Goretzka M 90 9.00 2 — 4 56 48% 1 — —
J. Musiala F 45 6.90 — — 1 18 14% — — —
N. Jackson F 90 6.30 — — 2 33 28% 1 1 —
Alphonso Davies D 13 6.70 — — — 16 15% — — —
H. Kane F 45 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
J. Kimmich M 45 6.90 — — 2 50 45% — — —
L. Díaz F 45 6.70 — — 2 24 20% — — —
M. Olise M 45 8.50 — 1 2 39 33% — — —
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diant Ramaj G 90 6.50 1 — — 41 19% — 1 —
D 90 6.30 — — — 19 15% 3 — —
Patrick Mainka D 90 6.50 — — 2 15 14% 3 — —
Marnon Busch D 90 7.60 — 2 — 15 14% — 1 —
Hennes Behrens M 90 6.70 — — 1 16 12% — — —
Niklas Dorsch M 89 7.00 — — — 21 18% 4 — —
Jan Schöppner M 90 6.70 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
Eren Dinkçi M 90 7.20 1 — 3 25 16% 1 — —
A. Ibrahimović F 81 7.50 — 1 — 20 13% 1 — —
B. Zivzivadze F 81 8.30 2 — 2 15 11% 2 — —
Marvin Pieringer F 77 6.70 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
Stefan Schimmer F 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The final score was Bayern München 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The model assigned 85% probability to a Bayern München win, 8% to a draw, and 5% to an 1. FC Heidenheim win.