← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:30
Bayern München
#1 · 86 pts
3 – 3
Final score
1. FC Heidenheim
#17 · 26 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Bayern München, result Pareggio
L. Goretzka 44'
L. Goretzka (ast. M. Olise) 57'
D. Ramaj 90'+10 (og)
22' (ast. M. Busch) B. Zivzivadze
31' (ast. M. Busch) E. Dinkci
76' (ast. A. Ibrahimovic) B. Zivzivadze

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 85% win probability (draw 8%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%). The final result was Bayern München 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim. In 1 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
5
2.21
Actual xG
2.13
2
Saves
4
75%
Possession
25%
13
Corners
5
7
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. M. Busch · B. Zivzivadze⚽
31'
ast. M. Busch · E. Dinkci⚽
⚽L. Goretzka
44'
N. Jackson
45'
45'
D. Ramaj
↕ B. Ndiaye / H. Kane
46'
↕ J. Stanisic / L. Diaz
46'
↕ J. Musiala / M. Olise
46'
↕ A. Pavlovic / J. Kimmich
46'
⚽L. Goretzka · ast. M. Olise
57'
J. Tah
72'
76'
ast. A. Ibrahimovic · B. Zivzivadze⚽
↕ J. Tah / A. Davies
77'
77'
S. Schimmer / M. Pieringer ↕
81'
M. Kaufmann / B. Zivzivadze ↕
81'
L. Kerber / A. Ibrahimovic ↕
K. Laimer
85'
89'
T. Siersleben / N. Dorsch ↕
⚽D. Ramaj (og)
90'+10
90'
M. Busch
Pre-match prediction
85.85%
Bayern
8.41%
X ←
5.75%
1.
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 8.41% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayern
4.50
2.21
-2.29
1.
1.16
2.13
+0.97
xG dominance was balanced (2.21 – 2.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Bayern München Bayern München 4-3-1-2
40
G 6.90
21
H. Ito D 6.70
4
Jonathan Tah 77' D 6.60
3
Kim Min-Jae D 6.70
44
J. Stanisic 45' D 6.20
27 K. Laimer K. Laimer M 6.70
39
B. Ndiaye 45' M 6.20
45 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović 45' M 6.50
8
Leon Goretzka 2 ⚽ M 9.00
10 J. Musiala J. Musiala 45' F 6.90
11
N. Jackson F 6.30
Bench
19
A. Davies 13' D 6.70
2 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D
9 H. Kane H. Kane 45' F 6.70
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich 45' M 6.90
14 L. Díaz L. Díaz 45' F 6.70
1
M. Neuer G
17 M. Olise M. Olise 1 👟 45' M 8.50
20
T. Bischof M
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 3-4-3
41 Diant Ramaj Diant Ramaj 1 ⚽ G 6.50
19
D 6.30
6 Patrick Mainka Patrick Mainka D 6.50
2
M. Busch 2 👟 D 7.60
26 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens M 6.70
30 Niklas Dorsch Niklas Dorsch 89' M 7.00
3 Jan Schöppner Jan Schöppner M 6.70
8 Eren Dinkçi Eren Dinkçi 1 ⚽ M 7.20
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 1 👟 81' F 7.50
11 Budu Zivzivadze Budu Zivzivadze 2 ⚽ 81' F 8.30
18 Marvin Pieringer Marvin Pieringer 77' F 6.70
Bench
21 Adrian Beck Adrian Beck M
16 Julian Niehues Julian Niehues M
9 Stefan Schimmer Stefan Schimmer 13' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Leon Goretzka
M · Bayern
9.00
2 ⚽
4 shots · 56 pass
M. Olise
M. Olise
M · Bayern
8.50
1 👟
2 shots · 39 pass
Budu Zivzivadze
Budu Zivzivadze
F · 1.
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
M. Busch
D · 1.
7.60
2 👟
· 15 pass
A. Ibrahimović
A. Ibrahimović
F · 1.
7.50
1 👟
· 20 pass
Eren Dinkçi
Eren Dinkçi
M · 1.
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
Bayern München Bayern München — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 26 22% — — —
H. Ito D 90 6.70 — — 1 75 69% 1 — —
Jonathan Tah D 77 6.60 — — — 87 84% 1 1 —
Kim Min-Jae D 90 6.70 — — 1 94 86% 2 — —
J. Stanisic D 45 6.20 — — — 24 18% — — —
K. Laimer M 90 6.70 — — — 47 45% — 1 —
B. Ndiaye M 45 6.20 — — — 38 34% 1 — —
A. Pavlović M 45 6.50 — — — 40 36% — — —
Leon Goretzka M 90 9.00 2 — 4 56 48% 1 — —
J. Musiala F 45 6.90 — — 1 18 14% — — —
N. Jackson F 90 6.30 — — 2 33 28% 1 1 —
A. Davies D 13 6.70 — — — 16 15% — — —
H. Kane F 45 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
J. Kimmich M 45 6.90 — — 2 50 45% — — —
L. Díaz F 45 6.70 — — 2 24 20% — — —
M. Olise M 45 8.50 — 1 2 39 33% — — —
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diant Ramaj G 90 6.50 1 — — 41 19% — 1 —
D 90 6.30 — — — 19 15% 3 — —
Patrick Mainka D 90 6.50 — — 2 15 14% 3 — —
M. Busch D 90 7.60 — 2 — 15 14% — 1 —
Hennes Behrens M 90 6.70 — — 1 16 12% — — —
Niklas Dorsch M 89 7.00 — — — 21 18% 4 — —
Jan Schöppner M 90 6.70 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
Eren Dinkçi M 90 7.20 1 — 3 25 16% 1 — —
A. Ibrahimović F 81 7.50 — 1 — 20 13% 1 — —
Budu Zivzivadze F 81 8.30 2 — 2 15 11% 2 — —
Marvin Pieringer F 77 6.70 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
Stefan Schimmer F 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The final score was Bayern München 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The model assigned 85% probability to a Bayern München win, 8% to a draw, and 5% to an 1. FC Heidenheim win.