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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:30
Bayern München
#1 · 18 pts
3 – 3
Final score
1. FC Heidenheim
✗Model wrong — prediction Bayern München, result Draw
L. Goretzka 44'
L. Goretzka (ast. M. Olise) 57'
D. Ramaj 90'+10 (og)
22' (ast. M. Busch) B. Zivzivadze
31' (ast. M. Busch) E. Dinkci
76' (ast. A. Ibrahimovic) B. Zivzivadze
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 85% win probability (draw 8%, 1. FC Heidenheim 5%). The final result was Bayern München 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim. In 2 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
5
2.21
Actual xG
2.13
2
Saves
4
75%
Possession
25%
13
Corners
5
7
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. M. Busch · B. Zivzivadze⚽
31'
ast. M. Busch · E. Dinkci⚽
⚽L. Goretzka
44'
N. Jackson
45'
45'
D. Ramaj
↕ B. Ndiaye / H. Kane
46'
↕ J. Stanisic / L. Diaz
46'
↕ J. Musiala / M. Olise
46'
↕ A. Pavlovic / J. Kimmich
46'
⚽L. Goretzka · ast. M. Olise
57'
J. Tah
72'
76'
ast. A. Ibrahimovic · B. Zivzivadze⚽
↕ J. Tah / A. Davies
77'
77'
S. Schimmer / M. Pieringer ↕
81'
M. Kaufmann / B. Zivzivadze ↕
81'
L. Kerber / A. Ibrahimovic ↕
K. Laimer
85'
89'
T. Siersleben / N. Dorsch ↕
⚽D. Ramaj (og)
90'+10
90'
M. Busch
Pre-match prediction
85.85%
Bayern
8.41%
X ←
5.75%
1.
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 8.41% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayern
4.50
2.21
-2.29
1.
1.16
2.13
+0.97
xG dominance was balanced (2.21 – 2.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 8 18
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 8 18
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 8 16
4 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 8 15
5 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 8 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 8 13
7 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 8 13
8 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 9 12
9 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 8 11
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 8 10
11 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 8 9
12 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 8 9
13 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 8 9
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 8 9
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 8 9
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 8 7
17 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 8 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4
Lineups
Bayern München Bayern München 4-3-1-2
40
G 6.90
21 H. Ito H. Ito D 6.70
4 J. Tah J. Tah 77' D 6.60
3 Kim Min-Jae Kim Min-Jae D 6.70
44 J. Stanišić J. Stanišić 45' D 6.20
27 K. Laimer K. Laimer M 6.70
39 Bara Ndiaye Bara Ndiaye 45' M 6.20
45 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović 45' M 6.50
8 L. Goretzka L. Goretzka 2 ⚽ M 9.00
10 J. Musiala J. Musiala 45' F 6.90
11 N. Jackson N. Jackson F 6.30
Bench
19 A. Davies A. Davies 13' D 6.70
2 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D
9 H. Kane H. Kane 45' F 6.70
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich 45' M 6.90
14 L. Díaz L. Díaz 45' F 6.70
1 M. Neuer M. Neuer G
17 M. Olise M. Olise 1 👟 45' M 8.50
20 T. Bischof T. Bischof M
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 3-4-3
41 Diant Ramaj Diant Ramaj 1 ⚽ G 6.50
19
D 6.30
6 P. Mainka P. Mainka D 6.50
2 M. Busch M. Busch 2 👟 D 7.60
26 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens M 6.70
30 N. Dorsch N. Dorsch 89' M 7.00
3 J. Schöppner J. Schöppner M 6.70
8 E. Dinkçi E. Dinkçi 1 ⚽ M 7.20
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 1 👟 81' F 7.50
11 B. Zivzivadze B. Zivzivadze 2 ⚽ 81' F 8.30
18 M. Pieringer M. Pieringer 77' F 6.70
Bench
21 A. Beck A. Beck M
16 J. Niehues J. Niehues M
9 S. Schimmer S. Schimmer 13' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
L. Goretzka
L. Goretzka
M · Bayern
9.00
2 ⚽
4 shots · 56 pass
M. Olise
M. Olise
M · Bayern
8.50
1 👟
2 shots · 39 pass
B. Zivzivadze
B. Zivzivadze
F · 1.
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
M. Busch
M. Busch
D · 1.
7.60
2 👟
· 15 pass
A. Ibrahimović
A. Ibrahimović
F · 1.
7.50
1 👟
· 20 pass
E. Dinkçi
E. Dinkçi
M · 1.
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
Bayern München Bayern München — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 26 22% — — —
H. Ito D 90 6.70 — — 1 75 69% 1 — —
J. Tah D 77 6.60 — — — 87 84% 1 1 —
Kim Min-Jae D 90 6.70 — — 1 94 86% 2 — —
J. Stanišić D 45 6.20 — — — 24 18% — — —
K. Laimer M 90 6.70 — — — 47 45% — 1 —
Bara Ndiaye M 45 6.20 — — — 38 34% 1 — —
A. Pavlović M 45 6.50 — — — 40 36% — — —
L. Goretzka M 90 9.00 2 — 4 56 48% 1 — —
J. Musiala F 45 6.90 — — 1 18 14% — — —
N. Jackson F 90 6.30 — — 2 33 28% 1 1 —
A. Davies D 13 6.70 — — — 16 15% — — —
H. Kane F 45 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
J. Kimmich M 45 6.90 — — 2 50 45% — — —
L. Díaz F 45 6.70 — — 2 24 20% — — —
M. Olise M 45 8.50 — 1 2 39 33% — — —
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diant Ramaj G 90 6.50 1 — — 41 19% — 1 —
D 90 6.30 — — — 19 15% 3 — —
P. Mainka D 90 6.50 — — 2 15 14% 3 — —
M. Busch D 90 7.60 — 2 — 15 14% — 1 —
Hennes Behrens M 90 6.70 — — 1 16 12% — — —
N. Dorsch M 89 7.00 — — — 21 18% 4 — —
J. Schöppner M 90 6.70 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
E. Dinkçi M 90 7.20 1 — 3 25 16% 1 — —
A. Ibrahimović F 81 7.50 — 1 — 20 13% 1 — —
B. Zivzivadze F 81 8.30 2 — 2 15 11% 2 — —
M. Pieringer F 77 6.70 — — — 18 11% 2 — —
S. Schimmer F 13 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The final score was Bayern München 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The model assigned 85% probability to a Bayern München win, 8% to a draw, and 5% to an 1. FC Heidenheim win.