Skip to main content
← UEFA Nations League

Belarus - Albania

UEFA Nations League November 15, 2026 18:00 City Football Station, Tochigi
Belarus
#2 · 7 pts
vs
Albania
#1 · 9 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 15.4°C 💨 12 km/h · Tochigi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.5%
Win
Belarus
37.91%
Draw
23.59%
Win
Albania
0.97
Expected xG
0.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (20.73%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 38%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 62%
12 62%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 48%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Belarus a 38% win probability, against 37% for a draw and 23% for Albania. Expected goals are 1.0 for Belarus and 0.7 for Albania (total 1.7), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 20.73% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Belarus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Albania.

Season Stats

Belarus
3W 5D 2L
Albania
5W 1D 4L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.2
0.6
Conceded
0.9
3.0
Shots OT
3.8
3.7
Corners
4.5
42%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
70%
10%
O 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%
60%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
Belarus
2W 3D 0L · at home
Albania
3W 0D 2L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.4
0.2
Conceded
1.0
40%
Win %
60%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
40%
O 1.5
80%
20%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
0%
20%
BTTS
40%
80%
Clean Sht
40%
40%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Belarus Albania →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.7% 13.2% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% —
1 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 8.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% — —
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Belarus Belarus
W Finland 1–0
W San Marino 4–0
D Finland 0–0
L Albania 2–0
D Bulgaria 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Albania Albania
W San Marino 2–1
L Finland 2–1
W San Marino 0–3
W Belarus 2–0
L Ukraine 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Belarus Belarus
Attack
38
Defence
77
Form
55
Albania Albania
Attack
40
Defence
77
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Belarus
0
Draw
1
Albania
26 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League 0–2

League C - Group A

# Team G Pts
1 Albania Albania 4 9
2 Belarus Belarus 4 7
3 Finland Finland 4 7
4 San Marino San Marino 4 0

What's at stake · League C - Group A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Belarus Albania
Current #2 #1
→ Belarus #1 #2
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Albania #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Belarus vs Albania?
The model gives Belarus a 38% win probability, 37% for a draw, and 23% for an Albania win.
How many goals are expected in Belarus vs Albania?
Expected goals: Belarus 1.0, Albania 0.7 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Belarus vs Albania?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.73%.