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Bonaire - Cuba

CONCACAF Nations League November 11, 2026 22:00
Bonaire
vs
Cuba
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.04%
Win
Bonaire
24.9%
Draw
50.06%
Win
Cuba
0.93
Expected xG
1.5

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.83%)
1X2 Result ✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1 25%
X 25%
2 50%
Double Chance ✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X 50%
X2 75%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 44%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cuba a 50% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Bonaire. Expected goals are 0.9 for Bonaire and 1.5 for Cuba (total 2.4), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.83% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bonaire have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cuba.

Season Stats

Bonaire
1W 0D 3L
Cuba
2W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.5
2.0
Conceded
1.2
4.8
Shots OT
7.3
4.3
Corners
6.3
42%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Bonaire
0W 0D 2L · at home
Cuba
1W 1D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
3.0
2.5
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bonaire Cuba →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 13.2% 9.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Bonaire Bonaire
W Grenada 1–4
L Grenada 2–3
L Cuba 2–0
L St. Kitts and Nevis 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Cuba Cuba
D St. Kitts and Nevis 2–2
D St. Kitts and Nevis 3–3
W Bonaire 2–0
W Grenada 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Bonaire Bonaire
Attack
41
Defence
49
Form
43
Cuba Cuba
Attack
64
Defence
65
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Bonaire
0
Draw
1
Cuba
28 Sep 2026 CONCACAF Nations League 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bonaire vs Cuba?
The model gives Bonaire a 25% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 50% for an Cuba win.
How many goals are expected in Bonaire vs Cuba?
Expected goals: Bonaire 0.9, Cuba 1.5 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Bonaire vs Cuba?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.83%.