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← Brasileirão Série B

Botafogo SP - Sport Recife

#12 · 47 pts
vs
#7 · 54 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 21.9°C 💨 4 km/h 🌧️ 36% · Ribeirao Preto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.15%
Win
Botafogo SP
25.69%
Draw
28.16%
Win
Sport Recife
1.43
Expected xG
1.02

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.93%)
1X2 Result
1 46%
X 26%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 54%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 44%
✓ 61.5% hit rate (39 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Botafogo SP a 46% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Sport Recife. Expected goals are 1.4 for Botafogo SP and 1.0 for Sport Recife (total 2.5), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.93% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo SP have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sport Recife.

Season Stats

Botafogo SP
7W 2D 6L
Sport Recife
8W 1D 6L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.3
3.3
Shots OT
4.2
6.2
Corners
4.5
49%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
93%
40%
O 2.5
73%
47%
BTTS
73%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Botafogo SP
5W 1D 4L · at home
Sport Recife
2W 2D 6L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.0
1.4
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Botafogo SP Sport Recife →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 8.8% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.6% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.0% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

W Avai 0–2
W CRB 0–1
W Ceara 1–0
W Operario-PR 1–2
L Vila Nova 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
W Criciuma 2–1
L Fortaleza EC 0–2
D Atletico Goianiense 1–1
W São Bernardo 2–1
W Athletic Club 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Attack
34
Defence
70
Form
56
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Attack
40
Defence
58
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Botafogo SP
1
Draw
0
Sport Recife
11 Jul 2026 Brasileirão Série B 3–3

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Novorizontino Novorizontino 35 64
2 Juventude Juventude 35 64
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 35 62
4 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 35 61
5 Criciuma Criciuma 35 59
6 CRB CRB 35 55
7 Sport Recife Sport Recife 35 54
8 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 35 54
9 Goias Goias 35 52
10 Operario-PR Operario-PR 35 51
11 São Bernardo São Bernardo 35 49
12 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 35 47
13 Cuiaba Cuiaba 35 47
14 Athletic Club Athletic Club 35 44
15 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 35 43
16 Ceara Ceara 35 43
17 Avai Avai 35 37
18 Londrina Londrina 35 32
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 35 23
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 35 15
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?
The model gives Botafogo SP a 46% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 28% for an Sport Recife win.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?
Expected goals: Botafogo SP 1.4, Sport Recife 1.0 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.93%.