Botafogo SP - Sport Recife
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
21.9°C
💨 4 km/h
🌧️ 36%
· Ribeirao Preto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.15%
Win
Botafogo SP
25.69%
Draw
28.16%
Win
Sport Recife
1.43
1.02
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.93%)
1X2 Result
1
46%
X
26%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
54%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
44%
✓ 61.5% hit rate (39 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Botafogo SP a 46% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Sport Recife. Expected goals are 1.4 for Botafogo SP and 1.0 for Sport Recife (total 2.5), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.93% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo SP have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sport Recife.
Season Stats
7W
2D
6L
8W
1D
6L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.3
3.3
Shots OT
4.2
6.2
Corners
4.5
49%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
93%
40%
O 2.5
73%
47%
BTTS
73%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
5W
1D
4L
· at home
2W
2D
6L
· away
1.6
gls/g
1.0
1.4
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Botafogo SP
Sport Recife →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Botafogo SP
Attack
34
Defence
70
Form
56
Sport Recife
Attack
40
Defence
58
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
11 Jul 2026
3–3
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Novorizontino
|
35 | 64 |
| 2 |
Juventude
|
35 | 64 |
| 3 |
Vila Nova
|
35 | 62 |
| 4 |
Fortaleza EC
|
35 | 61 |
| 5 |
Criciuma
|
35 | 59 |
| 6 |
CRB
|
35 | 55 |
| 7 |
Sport Recife
|
35 | 54 |
| 8 |
Atletico Goianiense
|
35 | 54 |
| 9 |
Goias
|
35 | 52 |
| 10 |
Operario-PR
|
35 | 51 |
| 11 |
São Bernardo
|
35 | 49 |
| 12 |
Botafogo SP
|
35 | 47 |
| 13 |
Cuiaba
|
35 | 47 |
| 14 |
Athletic Club
|
35 | 44 |
| 15 |
Nautico Recife
|
35 | 43 |
| 16 |
Ceara
|
35 | 43 |
| 17 |
Avai
|
35 | 37 |
| 18 |
Londrina
|
35 | 32 |
| 19 |
America Mineiro
|
35 | 23 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
|
35 | 15 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?
The model gives Botafogo SP a 46% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 28% for an Sport Recife win.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?
Expected goals: Botafogo SP 1.4, Sport Recife 1.0 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.93%.