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League One · Regular Season - 41 April 22, 2026 20:45
Cardiff
1 – 0
Final score
Port Vale
✓Model correct — prediction Cardiff
R. Colwill (ast. C. Willock) 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 71% win probability (draw 18%, Port Vale 9%). The final result was Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
6
15
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
↕ A. Robertson / O. Kellyman
62'
↕ C. Robinson / C. Willock
62'
↕ G. Osho / W. Fish
62'
72'
B. Waine / M. Sherif ↕
72'
E. Archer / G. Hall ↕
72'
J. Headley / L. Gordon ↕
73'
O. Hernandez / J. Lawrence-Gabriel ↕
⚽R. Colwill · ast. C. Willock
79'
D. Turnbull
81'
↕ C. Scanlon / J. Bagan
83'
85'
J. Shipley / R. Croasdale ↕
↕ J. Colwill / R. Wintle
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
71.88%
Cardiff ←
18.46%
X
9.67%
Port
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cardiff) 71.88% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cardiff
1.99
—
—
Port
0.49
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 14 29
2 Stockport County Stockport County 14 26
3 Oxford United Oxford United 13 26
4 Luton Luton 14 24
5 Plymouth Plymouth 14 23
6 Reading Reading 14 22
7 Bradford Bradford 13 22
8 Cambridge United Cambridge United 14 21
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 13 20
10 Leicester Leicester 13 19
11 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 13 19
12 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 13 18
13 Wycombe Wycombe 13 18
14 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 13 17
15 Burton Albion Burton Albion 14 17
16 Stevenage Stevenage 12 16
17 Notts County Notts County 12 14
18 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 13 13
19 Blackpool Blackpool 12 12
20 Doncaster Doncaster 13 12
21 Wigan Wigan 14 11
22 Peterborough Peterborough 13 10
23 Barnsley Barnsley 12 9
24 Bromley Bromley 13 9
Lineups
Cardiff Cardiff 4-3-1-2
13
G 7.20
23 C. Scanlon C. Scanlon 83' D 7.20
48 D. Lawlor D. Lawlor D 7.20
4 G. Osho G. Osho 62' D 7.20
44 R. Kpakio R. Kpakio D 7.90
14 D. Turnbull D. Turnbull M 7.30
18 A. Robertson A. Robertson 62' M 7.90
27 J. Colwill J. Colwill 89' M 7.20
10 R. Colwill R. Colwill 1 ⚽ M 7.70
47 C. Robinson C. Robinson 62' F 6.60
22 Y. Salech Y. Salech F 6.30
Bench
16 C. Willock C. Willock 1 👟 28' M 7.20
3 J. Bagan J. Bagan 15' D 6.90
8 O. Kellyman O. Kellyman 28' M 7.00
11 O. Tanner O. Tanner F
38 P. Ng P. Ng D
6 R. Wintle R. Wintle 1' M
2 W. Fish W. Fish 28' D 6.60
Port Vale Port Vale 4-2-3-1
46
G 7.30
27
D 6.20
5 Connor Hall Connor Hall D 6.70
25 Cameron Humphreys Cameron Humphreys D 6.70
6 Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 72' D 7.00
18 Ryan Croasdale Ryan Croasdale 85' M 6.70
12 Rhys Walters Rhys Walters M 6.90
15 L. Gordon L. Gordon 72' M 6.70
8
Ben Garrity M 6.30
33 George Hall George Hall 72' M 6.30
21
Martin Sherif 72' F 6.30
Bench
19 B. Waine B. Waine 18' F 6.20
11 E. Archer E. Archer 18' M 6.70
3 Jaheim Headley Jaheim Headley 18' D 6.00
26 J. Shipley J. Shipley 13' M 6.60
50 Onel Hernández Onel Hernández 18' F 7.00
35
T. Magloire D
Best on the pitch
R. Kpakio
R. Kpakio
D · Cardiff
7.90
· 45 pass
A. Robertson
A. Robertson
M · Cardiff
7.90
1 shots · 74 pass
R. Colwill
R. Colwill
M · Cardiff
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
D. Turnbull
D. Turnbull
M · Cardiff
7.30
· 75 pass
G · Port
7.30
· 27 pass
G · Cardiff
7.20
· 37 pass
Cardiff Cardiff — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 37 29% — — —
C. Scanlon D 83 7.20 — — — 51 40% 2 — —
D. Lawlor D 90 7.20 — — — 75 64% — — —
G. Osho D 62 7.20 — — — 61 57% 1 — —
R. Kpakio D 90 7.90 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
D. Turnbull M 90 7.30 — — — 75 70% 1 1 —
A. Robertson M 62 7.90 — — 1 74 63% 1 — —
J. Colwill M 89 7.20 — — 2 37 32% 2 — —
R. Colwill M 90 7.70 1 — 1 41 34% 1 — —
C. Robinson F 62 6.60 — — 2 16 16% — — —
Y. Salech F 90 6.30 — — 3 14 8% 1 — —
C. Willock M 28 7.20 — 1 1 11 9% — — —
J. Bagan D 15 6.90 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
O. Kellyman M 28 7.00 — — 1 8 6% 3 — —
R. Wintle M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
W. Fish D 28 6.60 — — — 18 13% — — —
Port Vale Port Vale — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 27 12% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 30 26% — — —
Connor Hall D 90 6.70 — — — 26 21% — — —
Cameron Humphreys D 90 6.70 — — — 28 24% — — —
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel D 72 7.00 — — — 15 9% 1 — —
Ryan Croasdale M 85 6.70 — — — 18 12% 1 — —
Rhys Walters M 90 6.90 — — — 16 10% 1 — —
L. Gordon M 72 6.70 — — 1 14 8% 1 — —
Ben Garrity M 90 6.30 — — 1 25 17% 4 — —
George Hall M 72 6.30 — — — 14 8% 1 — —
Martin Sherif F 72 6.30 — — — 19 8% 2 — —
B. Waine F 18 6.20 — — 2 4 3% — — —
E. Archer M 18 6.70 — — — 14 13% — — —
Jaheim Headley D 18 6.00 — — — 12 8% — — —
J. Shipley M 13 6.60 — — — 14 13% — — —
Onel Hernández F 18 7.00 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Port Vale?
The final score was Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Cardiff win, 18% to a draw, and 9% to an Port Vale win.