League One
· Regular Season - 41
April 22, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Cardiff
R. Colwill
(ast. C. Willock)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 71% win probability (draw 18%, Port Vale 9%). The final result was Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
6
15
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
A. Robertson
/ O. Kellyman
62'
C. Robinson
/ C. Willock
62'
G. Osho
/ W. Fish
62'
72'
B. Waine
/
M. Sherif
72'
E. Archer
/
G. Hall
72'
J. Headley
/
L. Gordon
73'
O. Hernandez
/
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
⚽R. Colwill
· ast. C. Willock
79'
D. Turnbull
81'
C. Scanlon
/ J. Bagan
83'
85'
J. Shipley
/
R. Croasdale
J. Colwill
/ R. Wintle
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
71.88%
Cardiff ←
18.46%
X
9.67%
Port
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cardiff)
71.88%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.99
—
—
0.49
—
—
Lineups
13
G
23
C. Scanlon
83'
D
48
Dylan Lawlor
D
Dylan Lawlor
D
4
G. Osho
62'
D
44
R. Kpakio
D
R. Kpakio
D
14
D. Turnbull
M
18
Alex Robertson
62'
M
27
J. Colwill
89'
M
J. Colwill
89'
M
10
R. Colwill
1 ⚽
M
R. Colwill
1 ⚽
M
47
C. Robinson
62'
F
22
Y. Salech
F
Y. Salech
F
Bench
16
C. Willock
1 👟
28'
M
C. Willock
1 👟
28'
M
3
J. Bagan
15'
D
8
O. Kellyman
28'
M
11
O. Tanner
F
O. Tanner
F
38
P. Ng
D
6
R. Wintle
1'
M
R. Wintle
1'
M
2
W. Fish
28'
D
46
G
27
D
5
C. Hall
D
25
C. Humphreys
D
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
72'
D
18
R. Croasdale
85'
M
12
R. Walters
M
15
L. Gordon
72'
M
8
Ben Garrity
M
33
G. Hall
72'
M
21
Martin Sherif
72'
F
Bench
19
B. Waine
18'
F
B. Waine
18'
F
11
E. Archer
18'
M
3
J. Headley
18'
D
26
J. Shipley
13'
M
50
O. Hernandez
18'
F
35
T. Magloire
D
Best on the pitch
R. Kpakio
D · Cardiff
7.90
· 45 pass
Alex Robertson
M · Cardiff
7.90
1 shots
· 74 pass
R. Colwill
M · Cardiff
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
D. Turnbull
M · Cardiff
7.30
· 75 pass
G · Port
7.30
· 27 pass
G · Cardiff
7.20
· 37 pass
Cardiff — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| C. Scanlon | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Dylan Lawlor | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 64% | — | — | — |
| G. Osho | D | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kpakio | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Turnbull | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alex Robertson | M | 62 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Colwill | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Robinson | F | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Y. Salech | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Willock | M | 28 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Bagan | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kellyman | M | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Wintle | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| W. Fish | D | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
Port Vale — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| C. Hall | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| C. Humphreys | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Lawrence-Gabriel | D | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Croasdale | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Walters | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Gordon | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Garrity | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Hall | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Sherif | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Waine | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| E. Archer | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Headley | D | 18 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Shipley | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| O. Hernandez | F | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Port Vale?
The final score was Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Cardiff win, 18% to a draw, and 9% to an Port Vale win.