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League One · Regular Season - 41 April 22, 2026 20:45
Cardiff
#2 · 91 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Port Vale
#22 · 42 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cardiff
R. Colwill (ast. C. Willock) 79'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 71% win probability (draw 18%, Port Vale 9%). The final result was Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
6
15
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
↕ A. Robertson / O. Kellyman
62'
↕ C. Robinson / C. Willock
62'
↕ G. Osho / W. Fish
62'
72'
B. Waine / M. Sherif ↕
72'
E. Archer / G. Hall ↕
72'
J. Headley / L. Gordon ↕
73'
O. Hernandez / J. Lawrence-Gabriel ↕
⚽R. Colwill · ast. C. Willock
79'
D. Turnbull
81'
↕ C. Scanlon / J. Bagan
83'
85'
J. Shipley / R. Croasdale ↕
↕ J. Colwill / R. Wintle
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
71.88%
Cardiff ←
18.46%
X
9.67%
Port
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cardiff) 71.88% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cardiff
1.99
—
—
Port
0.49
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Cardiff Cardiff 4-3-1-2
13
G 7.20
23
C. Scanlon 83' D 7.20
48
D. Lawlor D 7.20
4
G. Osho 62' D 7.20
44
R. Kpakio D 7.90
14
D. Turnbull M 7.30
18
Alex Robertson 62' M 7.90
27
J. Colwill 89' M 7.20
10
R. Colwill 1 ⚽ M 7.70
47
C. Robinson 62' F 6.60
22 Y. Salech Y. Salech F 6.30
Bench
16 C. Willock C. Willock 1 👟 28' M 7.20
3
J. Bagan 15' D 6.90
8
O. Kellyman 28' M 7.00
11 O. Tanner O. Tanner F
38
P. Ng D
6
R. Wintle 1' M
2
W. Fish 28' D 6.60
Port Vale Port Vale 4-2-3-1
46
G 7.30
27
D 6.20
5
C. Hall D 6.70
25
C. Humphreys D 6.70
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel 72' D 7.00
18
R. Croasdale 85' M 6.70
12
R. Walters M 6.90
15
L. Gordon 72' M 6.70
8
Ben Garrity M 6.30
33
G. Hall 72' M 6.30
21
Martin Sherif 72' F 6.30
Bench
19
Ben Waine 18' F 6.20
11
E. Archer 18' M 6.70
3
J. Headley 18' D 6.00
26
J. Shipley 13' M 6.60
50
O. Hernandez 18' F 7.00
35
T. Magloire D
Best on the pitch
R. Kpakio
D · Cardiff
7.90
· 45 pass
Alex Robertson
M · Cardiff
7.90
1 shots · 74 pass
R. Colwill
M · Cardiff
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
D. Turnbull
M · Cardiff
7.30
· 75 pass
G · Port
7.30
· 27 pass
G · Cardiff
7.20
· 37 pass
Cardiff Cardiff — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 37 29% — — —
C. Scanlon D 83 7.20 — — — 51 40% 2 — —
D. Lawlor D 90 7.20 — — — 75 64% — — —
G. Osho D 62 7.20 — — — 61 57% 1 — —
R. Kpakio D 90 7.90 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
D. Turnbull M 90 7.30 — — — 75 70% 1 1 —
Alex Robertson M 62 7.90 — — 1 74 63% 1 — —
J. Colwill M 89 7.20 — — 2 37 32% 2 — —
R. Colwill M 90 7.70 1 — 1 41 34% 1 — —
C. Robinson F 62 6.60 — — 2 16 16% — — —
Y. Salech F 90 6.30 — — 3 14 8% 1 — —
C. Willock M 28 7.20 — 1 1 11 9% — — —
J. Bagan D 15 6.90 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
O. Kellyman M 28 7.00 — — 1 8 6% 3 — —
R. Wintle M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
W. Fish D 28 6.60 — — — 18 13% — — —
Port Vale Port Vale — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 27 12% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 30 26% — — —
C. Hall D 90 6.70 — — — 26 21% — — —
C. Humphreys D 90 6.70 — — — 28 24% — — —
J. Lawrence-Gabriel D 72 7.00 — — — 15 9% 1 — —
R. Croasdale M 85 6.70 — — — 18 12% 1 — —
R. Walters M 90 6.90 — — — 16 10% 1 — —
L. Gordon M 72 6.70 — — 1 14 8% 1 — —
Ben Garrity M 90 6.30 — — 1 25 17% 4 — —
G. Hall M 72 6.30 — — — 14 8% 1 — —
Martin Sherif F 72 6.30 — — — 19 8% 2 — —
Ben Waine F 18 6.20 — — 2 4 3% — — —
E. Archer M 18 6.70 — — — 14 13% — — —
J. Headley D 18 6.00 — — — 12 8% — — —
J. Shipley M 13 6.60 — — — 14 13% — — —
O. Hernandez F 18 7.00 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Port Vale?
The final score was Cardiff 1–0 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Cardiff win, 18% to a draw, and 9% to an Port Vale win.