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Pro League · Relegation Group - 34 April 24, 2026 20:45
Cercle Brugge
#17 · 3 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Dender
✓Model correct — prediction Cercle Brugge
O. Diakite (ast. E. Diop) 29'
O. Diakite (ast. I. Diakite) 69'
84' M. Viltard
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 77% win probability (draw 12%, Dender 9%). The final result was Cercle Brugge 2–1 Dender. In 3 previous meetings, Cercle Brugge have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dender.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
0.76
Actual xG
0.55
2
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
6
29
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
⚽O. Diakite · ast. E. Diop
29'
↕ H. van der Bruggen / P. Gerkens
46'
46'
L. De Fougerolles / B. De Kerf ↕
54'
Luc Marijnissen
↕ S. Ngoura / D. Vanzeir
62'
62'
B. Nsimba / D. Toshevski ↕
62'
M. Berte / D. Acquah ↕
⚽O. Diakite · ast. I. Diakite
69'
72'
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui / A. Jahanbakhsh ↕
↕ O. Diakite / O. Adewumi
73'
↕ I. Diaby / L. Agyekum
73'
73'
K. Koton / R. Oratmangoen ↕
↕ I. Diakite / H. Jurado
81'
84'
M. Viltard⚽
Pre-match prediction
77.74%
Cercle ←
12.95%
X
9.31%
Dender
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cercle Brugge) 77.74% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cercle
3.06
0.76
-2.3
Dender
0.63
0.55
-0.08
xG dominance was balanced (0.76 – 0.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 7 19
2 Gent Gent 7 19
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 7 18
4 Charleroi Charleroi 7 18
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 7 13
6 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 7 11
7 Standard Liege Standard Liege 7 11
8 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 7 10
9 SK Beveren SK Beveren 7 9
10 Genk Genk 7 9
11 St. Truiden St. Truiden 7 8
12 Lommel United Lommel United 7 8
13 Antwerp Antwerp 7 7
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 7 4
15 OH Leuven OH Leuven 7 4
16 Kortrijk Kortrijk 7 3
17 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 7 3
18 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 7 3
Lineups
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-5-2
1
G 6.90
12 V. Konaté V. Konaté D 7.20
24 G. Kondo G. Kondo D 7.50
5 Emmanuel Kakou Emmanuel Kakou D 7.20
20 Flávio Nazinho Flávio Nazinho M 6.90
37 E. Diop E. Diop 1 👟 M 8.00
28 H. Van der Bruggen H. Van der Bruggen 45' M 6.70
19 Makaya Ibrahima Diaby Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 73' M 6.90
2 I. Diakité I. Diakité 1 👟 81' M 7.20
9 S. Ngoura S. Ngoura 62' F 6.90
10 O. Diakité O. Diakité 2 ⚽ 73' F 8.30
Bench
13 D. Vanzeir D. Vanzeir 28' F 6.50
23 H. Jurado H. Jurado 9' M 6.30
6 Lawrence Agyekum Lawrence Agyekum 17' M 6.30
17 O. Adewumi O. Adewumi 17' F 7.20
18
P. Gerkens 45' M 7.20
33 Royer Caicedo Royer Caicedo D
Dender Dender 4-2-3-1
30
G 6.30
7 Bryan Goncalves Bryan Goncalves D 6.30
6
B. De Kerf
5 L. Marijnissen L. Marijnissen D 6.30
70 M. Sambu M. Sambu D 6.00
24 M. Viltard M. Viltard 1 ⚽ M 8.50
18 N. Rôdes N. Rôdes M 6.30
11
Ragnar Oratmangoen 73' M 6.20
23 Desmond Acquah Desmond Acquah 62' M 6.30
27 A. Jahanbakhsh A. Jahanbakhsh 72' M 6.30
9 D. Toševski D. Toševski 62' F 6.30
Bench
77 B. Nsimba B. Nsimba 28' F 6.90
15 K. Koton K. Koton 17' M 6.60
44 Luc De Fougerolles Luc De Fougerolles 45' D 6.60
90 M. Berte M. Berte 28' F 6.20
67 Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui 18' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Viltard
M. Viltard
M · Dender
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
O. Diakité
O. Diakité
F · Cercle
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
E. Diop
E. Diop
M · Cercle
8.00
1 👟
· 54 pass
G. Kondo
G. Kondo
D · Cercle
7.50
· 65 pass
V. Konaté
V. Konaté
D · Cercle
7.20
1 shots · 54 pass
Emmanuel Kakou
Emmanuel Kakou
D · Cercle
7.20
1 shots · 54 pass
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 33 27% — — —
V. Konaté D 90 7.20 — — 1 54 42% 8 — —
G. Kondo D 90 7.50 — — — 65 58% 1 — —
Emmanuel Kakou D 90 7.20 — — 1 54 40% 2 — —
Flávio Nazinho M 90 6.90 — — — 39 31% 3 — —
E. Diop M 90 8.00 — 1 — 54 50% 3 — —
H. Van der Bruggen M 45 6.70 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby M 73 6.90 — — — 25 20% 2 — —
I. Diakité M 81 7.20 — 1 — 21 15% 3 — —
S. Ngoura F 62 6.90 — — 2 14 8% 1 — —
O. Diakité F 73 8.30 2 — 2 18 16% — — —
D. Vanzeir F 28 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
H. Jurado M 9 6.30 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Lawrence Agyekum M 17 6.30 — — — 9 4% 2 — —
O. Adewumi F 17 7.20 — — — 3 1% — — —
P. Gerkens M 45 7.20 — — — 21 17% 2 — —
Dender Dender — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 29 12% — — —
Bryan Goncalves D 90 6.30 — — 1 50 37% 3 — —
B. De Kerf — — — — — — — — — —
L. Marijnissen D 90 6.30 — — 1 43 34% 2 1 —
M. Sambu D 90 6.00 — — — 34 22% 3 — —
M. Viltard M 90 8.50 1 — 1 54 40% 1 — —
N. Rôdes M 90 6.30 — — — 42 34% 2 — —
Ragnar Oratmangoen M 73 6.20 — — — 22 19% — — —
Desmond Acquah M 62 6.30 — — 2 21 18% — — —
A. Jahanbakhsh M 72 6.30 — — 1 29 21% 1 1 —
D. Toševski F 62 6.30 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
B. Nsimba F 28 6.90 — — — 6 4% — — —
K. Koton M 17 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
Luc De Fougerolles D 45 6.60 — — — 21 20% 2 — —
M. Berte F 28 6.20 — — 2 4 2% — — —
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui D 18 6.90 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Dender?
The final score was Cercle Brugge 2–1 Dender.
What did the model predict before Cercle Brugge vs Dender?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Cercle Brugge win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an Dender win.