Pro League
· Relegation Group - 34
April 24, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Cercle Brugge
O. Diakite
(ast. E. Diop)
29'
O. Diakite
(ast. I. Diakite)
69'
84'
M. Viltard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 77% win probability (draw 12%, Dender 9%). The final result was Cercle Brugge 2–1 Dender. In 3 previous meetings, Cercle Brugge have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dender.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
0.76
Actual xG
0.55
2
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
6
29
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
⚽O. Diakite
· ast. E. Diop
29'
H. van der Bruggen
/ P. Gerkens
46'
46'
L. De Fougerolles
/
B. De Kerf
54'
Luc Marijnissen
S. Ngoura
/ D. Vanzeir
62'
62'
B. Nsimba
/
D. Toshevski
62'
M. Berte
/
D. Acquah
⚽O. Diakite
· ast. I. Diakite
69'
72'
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
/
A. Jahanbakhsh
O. Diakite
/ O. Adewumi
73'
I. Diaby
/ L. Agyekum
73'
73'
K. Koton
/
R. Oratmangoen
I. Diakite
/ H. Jurado
81'
84'
M. Viltard⚽
Pre-match prediction
77.74%
Cercle ←
12.95%
X
9.31%
Dender
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cercle Brugge)
77.74%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.06
0.76
-2.3
0.63
0.55
-0.08
xG dominance was balanced (0.76 – 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
12
K. Valy
D
24
G. Kondo
D
5
E. Kakou
D
20
Flávio Nazinho
M
Flávio Nazinho
M
37
Edan Diop
1 👟
M
28
Hannes Van Der Bruggen
45'
M
19
I. Diaby
73'
M
2
I. Diakite
1 👟
81'
M
9
S. Ngoura
62'
F
10
O. Diakité
2 ⚽
73'
F
O. Diakité
2 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
13
D. Vanzeir
28'
F
23
H. Jurado
9'
M
6
L. Agyekum
17'
M
17
O. Adewumi
17'
F
18
P. Gerkens
45'
M
33
R. Caicedo
D
30
G
7
Bryan Goncalves
D
Bryan Goncalves
D
6
B. De Kerf
5
Luc Marijnissen
D
Luc Marijnissen
D
70
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni
D
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni
D
24
Malcolm Viltard
1 ⚽
M
Malcolm Viltard
1 ⚽
M
18
Nathan Rodes
M
Nathan Rodes
M
11
Ragnar Oratmangoen
73'
M
23
Desmond Acquah
62'
M
Desmond Acquah
62'
M
27
A. Jahanbakhsh
72'
M
A. Jahanbakhsh
72'
M
9
D. Toševski
62'
F
D. Toševski
62'
F
Bench
77
B. Nsimba
28'
F
B. Nsimba
28'
F
15
Krzysztof Koton
17'
M
Krzysztof Koton
17'
M
44
L. De Fougerolles
45'
D
L. De Fougerolles
45'
D
90
Mohamed Berte
28'
F
Mohamed Berte
28'
F
67
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
18'
D
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
18'
D
Best on the pitch
Malcolm Viltard
M · Dender
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
O. Diakité
F · Cercle
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Edan Diop
M · Cercle
8.00
1 👟
· 54 pass
G. Kondo
D · Cercle
7.50
· 65 pass
K. Valy
D · Cercle
7.20
1 shots
· 54 pass
E. Kakou
D · Cercle
7.20
1 shots
· 54 pass
Cercle Brugge — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| K. Valy | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 42% | 8 | — | — |
| G. Kondo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kakou | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Flávio Nazinho | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Edan Diop | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 54 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Hannes Van Der Bruggen | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Diaby | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Diakite | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ngoura | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Diakité | F | 73 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Vanzeir | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Jurado | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Agyekum | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Adewumi | F | 17 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| P. Gerkens | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
Dender — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Bryan Goncalves | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| B. De Kerf | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Luc Marijnissen | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Malcolm Viltard | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Rodes | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Ragnar Oratmangoen | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Desmond Acquah | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Jahanbakhsh | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Toševski | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nsimba | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Krzysztof Koton | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Berte | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Dender?
The final score was Cercle Brugge 2–1 Dender.
What did the model predict before Cercle Brugge vs Dender?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Cercle Brugge win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an Dender win.