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Pro League · Relegation Group - 34 April 24, 2026 22:45
Cercle Brugge
#2 · 41 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Dender
#4 · 25 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cercle Brugge
O. Diakite (ast. E. Diop) 29'
O. Diakite (ast. I. Diakite) 69'
84' M. Viltard

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 77% win probability (draw 12%, Dender 9%). The final result was Cercle Brugge 2–1 Dender. In 3 previous meetings, Cercle Brugge have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dender.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
0.76
Actual xG
0.55
2
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
6
29
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
⚽O. Diakite · ast. E. Diop
29'
↕ H. van der Bruggen / P. Gerkens
46'
46'
L. De Fougerolles / B. De Kerf ↕
54'
Luc Marijnissen
↕ S. Ngoura / D. Vanzeir
62'
62'
B. Nsimba / D. Toshevski ↕
62'
M. Berte / D. Acquah ↕
⚽O. Diakite · ast. I. Diakite
69'
72'
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui / A. Jahanbakhsh ↕
↕ O. Diakite / O. Adewumi
73'
↕ I. Diaby / L. Agyekum
73'
73'
K. Koton / R. Oratmangoen ↕
↕ I. Diakite / H. Jurado
81'
84'
M. Viltard⚽
Pre-match prediction
77.74%
Cercle ←
12.95%
X
9.31%
Dender
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cercle Brugge) 77.74% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cercle
3.06
0.76
-2.3
Dender
0.63
0.55
-0.08
xG dominance was balanced (0.76 – 0.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-5-2
1
G 6.90
12
K. Valy D 7.20
24
G. Kondo D 7.50
5
E. Kakou D 7.20
20
Flávio Nazinho M 6.90
37
Edan Diop 1 👟 M 8.00
28
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 45' M 6.70
19
I. Diaby 73' M 6.90
2
I. Diakite 1 👟 81' M 7.20
9
S. Ngoura 62' F 6.90
10
O. Diakite 2 ⚽ 73' F 8.30
Bench
13
D. Vanzeir 28' F 6.50
23
H. Jurado 9' M 6.30
6
L. Agyekum 17' M 6.30
17
O. Adewumi 17' F 7.20
18
P. Gerkens 45' M 7.20
33
R. Caicedo D
Dender Dender 4-2-3-1
30
G 6.30
7
B. Goncalves D 6.30
6
B. De Kerf
5
L. Marijnissen D 6.30
70
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ D 6.00
24
M. Viltard 1 ⚽ M 8.50
18
N. Rodes M 6.30
11
R. Oratmangoen 73' M 6.20
23
D. Acquah 62' M 6.30
27
A. Jahanbakhsh 72' M 6.30
9
David Toshevski 62' F 6.30
Bench
77
B. Nsimba 28' F 6.90
15
K. Koton 17' M 6.60
44
L. De Fougerolles 45' D 6.60
90
M. Berte 28' F 6.20
67
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui 18' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Viltard
M · Dender
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
O. Diakite
F · Cercle
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Edan Diop
M · Cercle
8.00
1 👟
· 54 pass
G. Kondo
D · Cercle
7.50
· 65 pass
K. Valy
D · Cercle
7.20
1 shots · 54 pass
E. Kakou
D · Cercle
7.20
1 shots · 54 pass
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 33 27% — — —
K. Valy D 90 7.20 — — 1 54 42% 8 — —
G. Kondo D 90 7.50 — — — 65 58% 1 — —
E. Kakou D 90 7.20 — — 1 54 40% 2 — —
Flávio Nazinho M 90 6.90 — — — 39 31% 3 — —
Edan Diop M 90 8.00 — 1 — 54 50% 3 — —
Hannes Van Der Bruggen M 45 6.70 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
I. Diaby M 73 6.90 — — — 25 20% 2 — —
I. Diakite M 81 7.20 — 1 — 21 15% 3 — —
S. Ngoura F 62 6.90 — — 2 14 8% 1 — —
O. Diakite F 73 8.30 2 — 2 18 16% — — —
D. Vanzeir F 28 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
H. Jurado M 9 6.30 — — 1 1 1% — — —
L. Agyekum M 17 6.30 — — — 9 4% 2 — —
O. Adewumi F 17 7.20 — — — 3 1% — — —
P. Gerkens M 45 7.20 — — — 21 17% 2 — —
Dender Dender — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 29 12% — — —
B. Goncalves D 90 6.30 — — 1 50 37% 3 — —
B. De Kerf — — — — — — — — — —
L. Marijnissen D 90 6.30 — — 1 43 34% 2 1 —
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ D 90 6.00 — — — 34 22% 3 — —
M. Viltard M 90 8.50 1 — 1 54 40% 1 — —
N. Rodes M 90 6.30 — — — 42 34% 2 — —
R. Oratmangoen M 73 6.20 — — — 22 19% — — —
D. Acquah M 62 6.30 — — 2 21 18% — — —
A. Jahanbakhsh M 72 6.30 — — 1 29 21% 1 1 —
David Toshevski F 62 6.30 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
B. Nsimba F 28 6.90 — — — 6 4% — — —
K. Koton M 17 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
L. De Fougerolles D 45 6.60 — — — 21 20% 2 — —
M. Berte F 28 6.20 — — 2 4 2% — — —
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui D 18 6.90 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Dender?
The final score was Cercle Brugge 2–1 Dender.
What did the model predict before Cercle Brugge vs Dender?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Cercle Brugge win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an Dender win.