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J1 League · Regular Season - 17 May 17, 2026 08:00 Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
#3 · 0 pts
6 – 1
Final score
Nagoya Grampus
#6 · 0 pts
S. Tanaka (ast. M. Shibayama) 12'
Y. Yokoyama (ast. M. Nakajima) 22'
Y. Yokoyama 39'
Thiago Andrade (ast. N. Ishiwatari) 54'
S. Sakuragawa (ast. S. Homma) 87'
S. Sakuragawa (ast. S. Homma) 89'
42' Y. Kimura
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nagoya Grampus a 46% win probability (draw 23%, Cerezo Osaka 29%). The final result was Cerezo Osaka 6–1 Nagoya Grampus. In 1 previous meetings, Cerezo Osaka have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nagoya Grampus.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽S. Tanaka · ast. M. Shibayama
12'
⚽Y. Yokoyama · ast. M. Nakajima
22'
37'
⚽Y. Yokoyama
39'
42'
Y. Kimura⚽
47'
↕ H. Okuda / A. Ohata
53'
⚽Thiago Andrade · ast. N. Ishiwatari
54'
60'
K. Nagai / Y. Yamagishi ↕
60'
Y. Sato / T. Uchida ↕
↕ Thiago Andrade / S. Sakuragawa
67'
67'
M. Ono / R. Izumi ↕
67'
H. Koda / K. Nakayama ↕
A. Ohata
79'
↕ Y. Yokoyama / S. Kagawa
82'
↕ M. Shibayama / S. Uejo
82'
↕ M. Nakajima / S. Homma
82'
83'
S. Mori / Y. Nogami ↕
⚽S. Sakuragawa · ast. S. Homma
87'
⚽S. Sakuragawa · ast. S. Homma
89'
Pre-match prediction
29.52%
Cerezo ←
23.96%
X
46.52%
Nagoya
we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka) 29.52% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cerezo
1.12
—
—
Nagoya
1.60
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 0 0
2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0 0
3 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0 0
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0 0
5 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0 0
6 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0 0
7 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 0 0
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0 0
9 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0 0
10 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0 0
11 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 0 0
12 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0 0
13 Urawa Urawa 0 0
14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0
15 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0 0
16 Kashima Kashima 0 0
17 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0 0
18 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0 0
19 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0 0
20 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 0 0
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
23 Kosuke Nakamura Kosuke Nakamura G 6.50
16 Hayato Okuda Hayato Okuda 53' D 6.60
44 Shinnosuke Hatanaka Shinnosuke Hatanaka D 6.90
4 Rikito Inoue Rikito Inoue D 6.60
27 Dion Cools Dion Cools D 6.30
10 Shunta Tanaka Shunta Tanaka 1 ⚽ M 8.00
18 Nelson Ishiwatari Nelson Ishiwatari 1 👟 M 7.20
14 Yumeki Yokoyama Yumeki Yokoyama 2 ⚽ 82' M 9.30
13 M. Nakajima M. Nakajima 1 👟 82' M 6.30
48 M. Shibayama M. Shibayama 1 👟 82' M 7.90
11 Thiago Andrade Thiago Andrade 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.50
Bench
66 A. Ohata A. Ohata 39' D 6.70
3 Hayato Tanaka Hayato Tanaka D
5 Hinata Kida Hinata Kida M
21 Jin Hyeon Kim Jin Hyeon Kim G
6 Kyohei Noborizato Kyohei Noborizato D
7 Satoki Uejo Satoki Uejo 10' M 6.70
8 Shinji Kagawa Shinji Kagawa 10' M 6.30
19 Shion Homma Shion Homma 2 👟 10' M 7.90
9 S. Sakuragawa S. Sakuragawa 2 ⚽ 25' F 8.50
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
1 Daniel Schmidt Daniel Schmidt G 5.30
55 Shuhei Tokumoto Shuhei Tokumoto D 5.30
13 Haruya Fujii Haruya Fujii D 6.30
2 Yuki Nogami Yuki Nogami 83' D 6.20
27 K. Nakayama K. Nakayama 67' M 6.30
31 Tomoki Takamine Tomoki Takamine M 6.20
17 Takuya Uchida Takuya Uchida 60' M 5.60
9 Yuya Asano Yuya Asano M 6.70
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura 1 ⚽ F 7.30
7 Ryuji Izumi Ryuji Izumi 67' F 6.30
11 Y. Yamagishi Y. Yamagishi 60' F 6.70
Bench
35 Alexandre Pisano Alexandre Pisano G
19 Hidemasa Koda Hidemasa Koda 25' M 6.20
20 Kennedy Egbus Mikuni Kennedy Egbus Mikuni D
18 Kensuke Nagai Kensuke Nagai 32' F 6.50
41 Masahito Ono Masahito Ono 25' M 6.20
66 Ryosuke Yamanaka Ryosuke Yamanaka M
30 Shungo Sugiura Shungo Sugiura F
44 Soichiro Mori Soichiro Mori 9' D 6.30
3 Yota Sato Yota Sato 32' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Yumeki Yokoyama
Yumeki Yokoyama
M · Cerezo
9.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
S. Sakuragawa
S. Sakuragawa
F · Cerezo
8.50
2 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Shunta Tanaka
Shunta Tanaka
M · Cerezo
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
M. Shibayama
M. Shibayama
M · Cerezo
7.90
1 👟
· 38 pass
Shion Homma
Shion Homma
M · Cerezo
7.90
2 👟
· 3 pass
Thiago Andrade
Thiago Andrade
F · Cerezo
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kosuke Nakamura G 92 6.50 — — — 33 26% — — —
Hayato Okuda D 53 6.60 — — — 22 17% — — —
Shinnosuke Hatanaka D 92 6.90 — — — 29 26% 1 — —
Rikito Inoue D 92 6.60 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
Dion Cools D 92 6.30 — — 1 29 23% 3 — —
Shunta Tanaka M 92 8.00 1 — 1 27 21% 1 — —
Nelson Ishiwatari M 92 7.20 — 1 — 34 28% 3 — —
Yumeki Yokoyama M 82 9.30 2 — 2 9 6% — — —
M. Nakajima M 82 6.30 — 1 2 21 17% — — —
M. Shibayama M 82 7.90 — 1 — 38 31% — — —
Thiago Andrade F 67 7.50 1 — 3 15 15% 1 — —
A. Ohata D 39 6.70 — — — 6 4% — 1 —
Satoki Uejo M 10 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
Shinji Kagawa M 10 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
Shion Homma M 10 7.90 — 2 — 3 3% — — —
S. Sakuragawa F 25 8.50 2 — 2 9 5% — — —
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Schmidt G 92 5.30 — — — 61 55% 1 — —
Shuhei Tokumoto D 92 5.30 — — — 64 53% 1 — —
Haruya Fujii D 92 6.30 — — — 80 70% 2 — —
Yuki Nogami D 83 6.20 — — 2 34 30% 1 — —
K. Nakayama M 67 6.30 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
Tomoki Takamine M 92 6.20 — — — 63 58% 3 — —
Takuya Uchida M 60 5.60 — — 1 31 26% — — —
Yuya Asano M 92 6.70 — — 2 33 30% 3 — —
Y. Kimura F 92 7.30 1 — 2 14 13% 1 — —
Ryuji Izumi F 67 6.30 — — 1 14 11% — — —
Y. Yamagishi F 60 6.70 — — 1 11 8% — — —
Hidemasa Koda M 25 6.20 — — — 10 9% — — —
Kensuke Nagai F 32 6.50 — — — 8 3% — — —
Masahito Ono M 25 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
Soichiro Mori D 9 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Yota Sato D 32 6.30 — — — 23 19% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?
The final score was Cerezo Osaka 6–1 Nagoya Grampus.
What did the model predict before Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Cerezo Osaka win, 23% to a draw, and 46% to an Nagoya Grampus win.