Cerezo Osaka 6–1 Nagoya Grampus — pre-match prediction — J1 League — May 17, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 17 May 17, 2026 08:00 Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

#11 · 11 pts

6 – 1

Final score

Nagoya Grampus

#17 · 6 pts

S. Tanaka (ast. M. Shibayama) 12'

Y. Yokoyama (ast. M. Nakajima) 22'

Y. Yokoyama 39'

Thiago Andrade (ast. N. Ishiwatari) 54'

S. Sakuragawa (ast. S. Homma) 87'

S. Sakuragawa (ast. S. Homma) 89'

42' Y. Kimura

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nagoya Grampus a 46% win probability (draw 23%, Cerezo Osaka 29%). The final result was Cerezo Osaka 6–1 Nagoya Grampus. In 1 previous meetings, Cerezo Osaka have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nagoya Grampus.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

39%

Possession

61%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽S. Tanaka · ast. M. Shibayama

12'

⚽Y. Yokoyama · ast. M. Nakajima

22'

37'

⚽Y. Yokoyama

39'

42'

Y. Kimura⚽

47'

↕ H. Okuda / A. Ohata

53'

⚽Thiago Andrade · ast. N. Ishiwatari

54'

60'

K. Nagai / Y. Yamagishi ↕

60'

Y. Sato / T. Uchida ↕

↕ Thiago Andrade / S. Sakuragawa

67'

M. Ono / R. Izumi ↕

67'

H. Koda / K. Nakayama ↕

A. Ohata

79'

↕ Y. Yokoyama / S. Kagawa

82'

↕ M. Shibayama / S. Uejo

82'

↕ M. Nakajima / S. Homma

82'

83'

S. Mori / Y. Nogami ↕

⚽S. Sakuragawa · ast. S. Homma

87'

⚽S. Sakuragawa · ast. S. Homma

89'

Pre-match prediction

29.52%

Cerezo ←

23.96%

46.52%

Nagoya

we assigned to the actual result (Cerezo Osaka) 29.52% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Cerezo

1.12

—

Nagoya

1.60

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	8	19
2	Kashiwa Reysol	8	18
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	8	17
4	Machida Zelvia	8	17
5	FC Tokyo	8	17
6	Yokohama F. Marinos	8	14
7	Kawasaki Frontale	8	13
8	Kashima	8	13
9	Fagiano Okayama	8	13
10	Urawa	8	12
11	Cerezo Osaka	8	11
12	Shimizu S-pulse	8	10
13	Mito Hollyhock	8	9
14	Kyoto Sanga	8	8
15	V-varen Nagasaki	8	8
16	Gamba Osaka	8	6
17	Nagoya Grampus	8	6
18	Avispa Fukuoka	8	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	8	4
20	JEF United Chiba	8	4

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1

Kosuke Nakamura G 6.50

H. Okuda 53' D 6.60

S. Hatanaka D 6.90

R. Inoue D 6.60

Dion-Johan Cools D 6.30

S. Tanaka 1 ⚽ M 8.00

N. Ishiwatari 1 👟 M 7.20

Yumeki Yokoyama 2 ⚽ 82' M 9.30

M. Nakajima 1 👟 82' M 6.30

M. Shibayama 1 👟 82' M 7.90

Thiago Andrade 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.50

Bench

A. Ohata 39' D 6.70

Hayato Tanaka D

H. Kida M

Jin Hyeon Kim G

K. Noborizato D

S. Homma 2 👟 10' M 7.90

S. Kagawa 10' M 6.30

S. Sakuragawa 2 ⚽ 25' F 8.50

S. Uejo 10' M 6.70

Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1

D. Schmidt G 5.30

S. Tokumoto D 5.30

H. Fujii D 6.30

Y. Nogami 83' D 6.20

K. Nakayama 67' M 6.30

T. Takamine M 6.20

T. Uchida 60' M 5.60

Y. Asano M 6.70

Y. Kimura 1 ⚽ F 7.30

R. Izumi 67' F 6.30

Y. Yamagishi 60' F 6.70

Bench

A. Pisano G

H. Koda 25' M 6.20

Kennedy Egbus Mikuni D

K. Nagai 32' F 6.50

M. Ono 25' M 6.20

R. Yamanaka M

Shungo Sugiura F

S. Mori 9' D 6.30

Y. Sato 32' D 6.30

Best on the pitch

Yumeki Yokoyama

M · Cerezo

9.30

2 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

S. Sakuragawa

F · Cerezo

8.50

2 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

S. Tanaka

M · Cerezo

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 27 pass

M. Shibayama

M · Cerezo

7.90

1 👟

· 38 pass

S. Homma

M · Cerezo

7.90

2 👟

· 3 pass

Thiago Andrade

F · Cerezo

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 15 pass

Cerezo Osaka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Kosuke Nakamura	G	92	6.50	—	—	—	33	26%	—	—	—
H. Okuda	D	53	6.60	—	—	—	22	17%	—	—	—
S. Hatanaka	D	92	6.90	—	—	—	29	26%	1	—	—
R. Inoue	D	92	6.60	—	—	—	28	23%	2	—	—
Dion-Johan Cools	D	92	6.30	—	—	1	29	23%	3	—	—
S. Tanaka	M	92	8.00	1	—	1	27	21%	1	—	—
N. Ishiwatari	M	92	7.20	—	1	—	34	28%	3	—	—
Yumeki Yokoyama	M	82	9.30	2	—	2	9	6%	—	—	—
M. Nakajima	M	82	6.30	—	1	2	21	17%	—	—	—
M. Shibayama	M	82	7.90	—	1	—	38	31%	—	—	—
Thiago Andrade	F	67	7.50	1	—	3	15	15%	1	—	—
A. Ohata	D	39	6.70	—	—	—	6	4%	—	1	—
S. Homma	M	10	7.90	—	2	—	3	3%	—	—	—
S. Kagawa	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
S. Sakuragawa	F	25	8.50	2	—	2	9	5%	—	—	—
S. Uejo	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—

Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Schmidt	G	92	5.30	—	—	—	61	55%	1	—	—
S. Tokumoto	D	92	5.30	—	—	—	64	53%	1	—	—
H. Fujii	D	92	6.30	—	—	—	80	70%	2	—	—
Y. Nogami	D	83	6.20	—	—	2	34	30%	1	—	—
K. Nakayama	M	67	6.30	—	—	—	19	17%	1	—	—
T. Takamine	M	92	6.20	—	—	—	63	58%	3	—	—
T. Uchida	M	60	5.60	—	—	1	31	26%	—	—	—
Y. Asano	M	92	6.70	—	—	2	33	30%	3	—	—
Y. Kimura	F	92	7.30	1	—	2	14	13%	1	—	—
R. Izumi	F	67	6.30	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
Y. Yamagishi	F	60	6.70	—	—	1	11	8%	—	—	—
H. Koda	M	25	6.20	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
K. Nagai	F	32	6.50	—	—	—	8	3%	—	—	—
M. Ono	M	25	6.20	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
S. Mori	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	1	—	—
Y. Sato	D	32	6.30	—	—	—	23	19%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

The final score was Cerezo Osaka 6–1 Nagoya Grampus.

What did the model predict before Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

The model assigned 29% probability to a Cerezo Osaka win, 23% to a draw, and 46% to an Nagoya Grampus win.