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Charlotte - CF Montreal

MLS October 29, 2026 00:30 Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Charlotte
#5 · 47 pts
vs
CF Montreal
#15 · 25 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 15.0°C 💨 12 km/h · Charlotte
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.59%
Win
Charlotte
20.9%
Draw
29.51%
Win
CF Montreal
2.14
Expected xG
1.74

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.26%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 21%
2 30%
Double Chance ✓ 90.2% hit rate (61 picks)
1X 71%
X2 50%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 73%
✓ 75.7% hit rate (144 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Charlotte a 49% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 29% for CF Montreal. Expected goals are 2.1 for Charlotte and 1.7 for CF Montreal (total 3.9), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.26% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Charlotte have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for CF Montreal.

Season Stats

Charlotte
7W 4D 4L
CF Montreal
2W 4D 9L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
0.9
1.5
Conceded
2.0
4.5
Shots OT
4.8
4.5
Corners
4.9
46%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
73%
O 2.5
53%
73%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Charlotte
5W 3D 2L · at home
CF Montreal
1W 2D 7L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.0
1.1
Conceded
2.5
50%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
30%
60%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
60%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
30%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Charlotte CF Montreal →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 3.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.4% 7.7% 6.7% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.4% 5.9% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
4 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Charlotte Charlotte
L Portland Timbers 3–2
D Philadelphia Union 2–2
L Columbus Crew 3–1
W FC Dallas 3–2
L Chicago Fire 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
CF Montreal CF Montreal
L Nashville SC 0–2
D Seattle Sounders 1–1
L Atlanta United FC 0–3
L Toronto FC 2–1
W FC Cincinnati 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Charlotte Charlotte
Attack
43
Defence
31
Form
51
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Attack
32
Defence
54
Form
33
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Charlotte
0
Draw
0
CF Montreal
10 Sep 2026 MLS 2–1

Eastern Conference

# Team G Pts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25

What's at stake · Eastern Conference

Top 2 advance to the next round

Charlotte CF Montreal
Current #5 #15
→ Charlotte #5 #15
→ Draw #5 #15
→ CF Montreal #5 #15

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
The model gives Charlotte a 49% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 29% for an CF Montreal win.
How many goals are expected in Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
Expected goals: Charlotte 2.1, CF Montreal 1.7 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.26%.