FA Cup
· Quarter-finals
April 04, 2026 18:15
✓Model correct — prediction Chelsea
Jorrel Hato
2'
João Pedro
(ast. Pedro Neto)
25'
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
42'
(og)
Tosin Adarabioyo
(ast. Malo Gusto)
57'
Andrey Santos
(ast. Estêvão)
69'
Estêvão
82'
Alejandro Garnacho
90'+2
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Port Vale 14%). The final result was Chelsea 7–0 Port Vale.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
11
Shots on target
0
0
Saves
5
77%
Possession
23%
8
Corners
2
7
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Jorrel Hato
2'
⚽João Pedro
· ast. Pedro Neto
25'
33'
Martin Sherif
⚽Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
(og)
42'
⚽Tosin Adarabioyo
· ast. Malo Gusto
57'
João Pedro
/ Liam Delap
61'
Pedro Neto
/ Alejandro Garnacho
61'
Cole Palmer
/ Dário Essugo
62'
65'
Elijah Campbell
/
Liam Gordon
65'
Andre Gray
/
Martin Sherif
65'
George Hall
/
Ben Waine
⚽Andrey Santos
· ast. Estêvão
69'
74'
Ethon Archer
/
Ben Garrity
Roméo Lavia
/ Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
78'
⚽Estêvão
82'
84'
Malo Gusto
/ Josh Acheampong
85'
85'
Tyler Magloire
/
Kyle John
⚽Alejandro Garnacho
(pen.)
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
63.64%
Chelsea ←
22.1%
X
14.26%
Port
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea)
63.64%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
—
—
0.73
—
—
Lineups
1
R. Sanchez
G
27
Malo Gusto
1 👟
85'
D
29
Wesley Fofana
D
4
T. Adarabioyo
1 ⚽
D
21
J. Hato
1 ⚽
D
45
R. Lavia
78'
M
17
Andrey Santos
1 ⚽
M
7
Pedro Neto
1 👟
61'
M
10
C. Palmer
62'
M
C. Palmer
62'
M
41
Estêvão
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
20
João Pedro
1 ⚽
61'
F
João Pedro
1 ⚽
61'
F
Bench
49
A. Garnacho
1 ⚽
29'
F
14
Dário Essugo
28'
M
9
L. Delap
29'
F
3
Marc Cucurella
D
25
M. Caicedo
M
M. Caicedo
M
46
G
14
M
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
1 ⚽
D
24
Kyle John
85'
D
25
C. Humphreys
D
5
C. Hall
D
15
L. Gordon
65'
D
8
Ben Garrity
74'
M
12
R. Walters
M
21
Martin Sherif
65'
F
19
Ben Waine
65'
F
Bench
11
E. Archer
16'
M
33
G. Hall
25'
M
26
J. Shipley
M
9
J. Stockley
F
18
R. Croasdale
M
35
T. Magloire
8'
D
Best on the pitch
T. Adarabioyo
D · Chelsea
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 98 pass
Estêvão
M · Chelsea
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 43 pass
Andrey Santos
M · Chelsea
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 87 pass
J. Hato
D · Chelsea
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 61 pass
A. Garnacho
F · Chelsea
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
Wesley Fofana
D · Chelsea
7.70
· 98 pass
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sanchez | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Malo Gusto | D | 85 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 71 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Wesley Fofana | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 98 | 94% | — | — | — |
| T. Adarabioyo | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 98 | 93% | — | — | — |
| J. Hato | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrey Santos | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 87 | 83% | 4 | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 61 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 44% | — | — | — |
| C. Palmer | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Estêvão | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| João Pedro | F | 61 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Garnacho | F | 29 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Dário Essugo | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Delap | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Port Vale — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Lawrence-Gabriel | D | 90 | 4.20 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyle John | D | 85 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Humphreys | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Hall | D | 90 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Gordon | D | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| Ben Garrity | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Walters | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Sherif | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Ben Waine | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Archer | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Hall | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Magloire | D | 8 | 5.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Port Vale?
The final score was Chelsea 7–0 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Chelsea win, 22% to a draw, and 14% to an Port Vale win.