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Chicago Fire - Orlando City SC

MLS October 29, 2026 01:30 Soldier Field, Chicago
Chicago Fire
#4 · 51 pts
vs
Orlando City SC
#7 · 42 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 14.9°C 💨 13 km/h · Chicago
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.28%
Win
Chicago Fire
16.22%
Draw
20.5%
Win
Orlando City SC
3.22
Expected xG
1.85
Most likely outcome
Chicago Fire
63.28%
Probability
62.3%
1X2 accuracy · 61 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (6.57%)
1X2 Result
1 63%
X 16%
2 21%
Double Chance ✓ 90.2% hit rate (61 picks)
1X 80%
X2 37%
12 84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 84%
✓ 75.7% hit rate (144 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chicago Fire a 63% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 20% for Orlando City SC. Expected goals are 3.2 for Chicago Fire and 1.9 for Orlando City SC (total 5.1), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 6.57% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Orlando City SC.

Season Stats

Chicago Fire
7W 4D 4L
Orlando City SC
7W 4D 4L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.2
1.6
Conceded
1.9
5.1
Shots OT
5.0
4.5
Corners
4.1
51%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
73%
O 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
80%
7%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 3.5
90%
BTTS
Chicago Fire
5W 1D 4L · at home
Orlando City SC
3W 2D 5L · away
1.7
gls/g
2.5
1.7
Conceded
3.0
50%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
90%
O 2.5
90%
40%
O 3.5
90%
100%
BTTS
80%
0%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Chicago Fire Orlando City SC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
2 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.5% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.2% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.8% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%

Recent form

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
W Atlanta United FC 2–3
L New England Revolution 1–0
L Philadelphia Union 1–3
W New York City FC 2–1
W Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 17%
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
D New York City FC 2–2
W DC United 4–1
D Toronto FC 3–3
W Columbus Crew 3–2
L Philadelphia Union 4–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 17%

Playing profile

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Attack
44
Defence
63
Form
53
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
Attack
59
Defence
38
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Chicago Fire
0
Draw
0
Orlando City SC
20 Aug 2026 MLS 2–1

Eastern Conference

# Team G Pts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25

What's at stake · Eastern Conference

Top 2 advance to the next round

Chicago Fire Orlando City SC
Current #4 #7
→ Chicago Fire #4 #8
→ Draw #4 #7
→ Orlando City SC #4 #7

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
The model gives Chicago Fire a 63% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 20% for an Orlando City SC win.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
Expected goals: Chicago Fire 3.2, Orlando City SC 1.9 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.57%.