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← Liga 1

Comerciantes Unidos - ADT

Liga 1 October 31, 2026 22:00 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Comerciantes Unidos
#9 · 21 pts
vs
ADT
#10 · 20 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Drizzle 10.9°C 💨 3 km/h 🌧️ 51% · Cutervo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.99%
Win
Comerciantes Unidos
21.73%
Draw
20.28%
Win
ADT
1.86
Expected xG
0.96
Most likely outcome
Comerciantes Unidos
57.99%
Probability
69.8%
1X2 accuracy · 53 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.61%)
1X2 Result ✓ 69.8% hit rate (53 picks)
1 58%
X 22%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 42%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Comerciantes Unidos a 57% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 20% for ADT. Expected goals are 1.9 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.0 for ADT (total 2.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.61% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Comerciantes Unidos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for ADT.

Season Stats

Comerciantes Unidos
3W 5D 7L
ADT
2W 4D 9L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
0.8
1.7
Conceded
1.7
5.6
Shots OT
4.3
3.7
Corners
5.4
54%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
67%
O 2.5
47%
80%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Comerciantes Unidos
4W 4D 2L · at home
ADT
0W 4D 6L · away
1.4
gls/g
0.9
1.0
Conceded
2.2
40%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
60%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Comerciantes Unidos ADT →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 11.1% 10.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
D FBC Melgar 1–1
W Cienciano 3–1
L Sporting Cristal 4–2
D Juan Pablo II College 1–1
L Alianza Atletico 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
ADT ADT
W UCV Moquegua 2–0
D Atletico Grau 1–1
L Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–1
D FC Cajamarca 0–0
W Cienciano 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
Attack
47
Defence
55
Form
47
ADT ADT
Attack
37
Defence
62
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Comerciantes Unidos
0
Draw
1
ADT
17 May 2026 Liga 1 0–2

Primera Division: Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16

What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Comerciantes Unidos ADT
Current #9 #10
→ Comerciantes Unidos #8 #10
→ Draw #8 #10
→ ADT #10 #8

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
The model gives Comerciantes Unidos a 57% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 20% for an ADT win.
How many goals are expected in Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
Expected goals: Comerciantes Unidos 1.9, ADT 1.0 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.61%.