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← Brasileirão Série A

Corinthians - Mirassol

Brasileirão Série A October 31, 2026 00:00 Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Corinthians
#18 · 33 pts
vs
Mirassol
#16 · 37 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 17.0°C 💨 4 km/h · Sao Paulo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.14%
Win
Corinthians
21.94%
Draw
45.92%
Win
Mirassol
1.36
Expected xG
1.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.52%)
1X2 Result ✓ 72.9% hit rate (59 picks)
1 32%
X 22%
2 46%
Double Chance ✓ 93.2% hit rate (59 picks)
1X 54%
X2 68%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mirassol a 45% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Corinthians. Expected goals are 1.4 for Corinthians and 1.9 for Mirassol (total 3.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.52% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mirassol.

Season Stats

Corinthians
3W 3D 9L
Mirassol
5W 6D 4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.3
1.6
Conceded
1.4
4.7
Shots OT
4.3
5.9
Corners
4.8
54%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
67%
O 2.5
40%
73%
BTTS
73%
20%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Corinthians
4W 2D 4L · at home
Mirassol
1W 3D 6L · away
1.2
gls/g
0.7
1.1
Conceded
1.5
40%
Win %
10%
60%
Win or Draw
40%
60%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
30%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Corinthians Mirassol →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9% 7.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.3% 10.0% 9.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.8% 6.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Corinthians Corinthians
L Vasco DA Gama 3–2
D Vitoria 1–1
L Palmeiras 4–1
L Internacional 2–1
L Fluminense 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Mirassol Mirassol
D Sao Paulo 1–1
W Internacional 2–0
L Bahia 1–0
D RB Bragantino 1–1
W Botafogo 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Corinthians Corinthians
Attack
36
Defence
40
Form
25
Mirassol Mirassol
Attack
44
Defence
59
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Corinthians
0
Draw
1
Mirassol
4 May 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Corinthians vs Mirassol?
The model gives Corinthians a 32% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 45% for an Mirassol win.
How many goals are expected in Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Expected goals: Corinthians 1.4, Mirassol 1.9 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Corinthians vs Mirassol?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.52%.