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#4 · 15 pts
1 – 3
Final score
A. Thibaut (ast. J. Powell) 75'
12' (ast. L. Kelly) C. Nelson
45'+1 (ast. N. Mendez-Laing) M. Ekpiteta
66' (ast. M. Ekpiteta) A. Gilbey
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Milton Keynes Dons a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Crewe 35%). The final result was Crewe 1–3 Milton Keynes Dons. In 1 previous meetings, Crewe have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Milton Keynes Dons.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
2
Corners
6
12
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
ast. L. Kelly · C. Nelson⚽
45'+1
ast. N. Mendez-Laing · M. Ekpiteta⚽
↕ T. O'Reilly / A. Thibaut
46'
↕ C. Agius / A. Pond
46'
M. H. Sanders
59'
60'
A. Gilbey
66'
C. Lemonheigh-Evans / N. Mendez-Laing ↕
66'
ast. M. Ekpiteta · A. Gilbey⚽
↕ M. Holicek / J. Powell
74'
↕ M. H. Sanders / C. Thomas
74'
⚽A. Thibaut · ast. J. Powell
75'
84'
R. Hepburn-Murphy / L. Kelly ↕
Pre-match prediction
35.32%
Crewe
24.09%
X
40.59%
Milton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Milton Keynes Dons) 40.59% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Crewe
1.42
—
—
Milton
1.60
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Salford City Salford City 9 16
2 Barnet Barnet 7 15
3 Cheltenham Cheltenham 8 15
4 Crewe Crewe 9 15
5 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 9 15
6 York York 8 14
7 Walsall Walsall 8 14
8 Chesterfield Chesterfield 9 14
9 Grimsby Grimsby 9 13
10 Gillingham Gillingham 9 13
11 Tranmere Tranmere 9 11
12 Swindon Town Swindon Town 8 11
13 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 9 11
14 Newport County Newport County 9 10
15 Rotherham Rotherham 9 10
16 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 9 10
17 Colchester Colchester 8 10
18 Rochdale Rochdale 8 10
19 Exeter City Exeter City 9 9
20 Accrington ST Accrington ST 8 7
21 Oldham Oldham 8 7
22 Northampton Northampton 7 6
23 Port Vale Port Vale 7 5
24 Crawley Town Crawley Town 7 4
Lineups
Crewe Crewe 4-2-3-1
41
G 5.70
3 Reece Hutchinson Reece Hutchinson D 5.30
5 M. Demetriou M. Demetriou D 6.60
18
D 6.90
2
D 6.00
6
M. H. Sanders 74' M 7.20
17 Matúš Holíček Matúš Holíček 74' M 7.00
20 Calum Agius Calum Agius 45' M 6.90
26 T. O'Reilly T. O'Reilly 45' M 6.20
24 J. March J. March M 6.20
36 E. Tezgel E. Tezgel F 6.50
Bench
29 Adrien Thibaut Adrien Thibaut 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.70
25 Alfie Pond Alfie Pond 45' D 6.90
23
J. Powell 1 👟 16' M 7.20
1
G 7.30
32 J. Sanders J. Sanders D 6.50
25 C. Nelson C. Nelson 1 ⚽ D 7.90
21 M. Ekpiteta M. Ekpiteta 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.00
6 L. Kelly L. Kelly 1 👟 84' M 7.30
14
M 7.20
8 A. Gilbey A. Gilbey 1 ⚽ M 7.50
26 B. Wiles B. Wiles M 6.20
2 G. Jones G. Jones M 6.20
11 N. Mendez-Laing N. Mendez-Laing 1 👟 66' F 6.90
13 C. Paterson C. Paterson F 5.90
Bench
16 Aaron Nemane Aaron Nemane F
10 A. Collins A. Collins F
7 D. Crowley D. Crowley M
Best on the pitch
M. Ekpiteta
M. Ekpiteta
D · Milton
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 33 pass
C. Nelson
C. Nelson
D · Milton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
Adrien Thibaut
Adrien Thibaut
F · Crewe
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
A. Gilbey
A. Gilbey
M · Milton
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
G · Milton
7.30
· 31 pass
L. Kelly
L. Kelly
M · Milton
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 47 pass
Crewe Crewe — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.70 — — — 29 19% — — —
Reece Hutchinson D 90 5.30 — — — 30 20% — — —
M. Demetriou D 90 6.60 — — — 59 45% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 58 52% — — —
D 90 6.00 — — — 54 38% 1 — —
M. H. Sanders M 74 7.20 — — 1 64 52% 1 1 —
Matúš Holíček M 74 7.00 — — 1 42 35% 1 — —
Calum Agius M 45 6.90 — — — 5 3% 4 — —
T. O'Reilly M 45 6.20 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
J. March M 90 6.20 — — 2 17 13% 3 — —
E. Tezgel F 90 6.50 — — — 15 11% — — —
Adrien Thibaut F 45 7.70 1 — 2 4 2% — — —
Alfie Pond D 45 6.90 — — — 34 31% 1 — —
J. Powell M 16 7.20 — 1 — 26 22% — — —
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 31 16% — — —
J. Sanders D 90 6.50 — — 1 35 25% — — —
C. Nelson D 90 7.90 1 — 1 28 22% 1 — —
M. Ekpiteta D 90 8.00 1 1 3 33 28% 3 — —
L. Kelly M 84 7.30 — 1 1 47 31% 3 — —
M 90 7.20 — — — 25 17% 4 — —
A. Gilbey M 90 7.50 1 — 1 28 21% — 1 —
B. Wiles M 90 6.20 — — 2 19 15% — — —
G. Jones M 90 6.20 — — — 21 14% — — —
N. Mendez-Laing F 66 6.90 — 1 2 27 23% — — —
C. Paterson F 90 5.90 — — 2 12 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The final score was Crewe 1–3 Milton Keynes Dons.
What did the model predict before Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Crewe win, 24% to a draw, and 40% to an Milton Keynes Dons win.