Croatia - Czechia
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
13.8°C
💨 10 km/h
· Tochigi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.64%
Win
Croatia
35.68%
Draw
13.68%
Win
Czechia
1.13
0.47
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(21.86%)
1X2 Result
1
51%
X
36%
2
14%
Double Chance
1X
86%
X2
49%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Croatia a 50% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 13% for Czechia. Expected goals are 1.1 for Croatia and 0.5 for Czechia (total 1.6), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 21.86% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Croatia have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Czechia.
Season Stats
4W
2D
6L
3W
2D
5L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.1
2.0
Conceded
1.8
4.4
Shots OT
3.6
4.0
Corners
3.4
45%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
90%
58%
O 2.5
60%
58%
BTTS
60%
17%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
3W
1D
2L
· at home
0W
2D
3L
· away
1.2
gls/g
0.6
1.8
Conceded
2.2
50%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
40%
83%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
60%
17%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
17%
Failed to Score
40%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Croatia
Czechia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 13.0% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Croatia
Attack
29
Defence
46
Form
21
Czechia
Attack
20
Defence
44
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
Czechia
Injured
What's at stake · League A - Group C
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #4 |
| → Croatia | #3 | #4 |
| → Draw | #3 | #4 |
| → Czechia | #4 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Croatia vs Czechia?
The model gives Croatia a 50% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 13% for an Czechia win.
How many goals are expected in Croatia vs Czechia?
Expected goals: Croatia 1.1, Czechia 0.5 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Croatia vs Czechia?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.86%.