Liga MX · Clausura - 15 April 19, 2026 01:00

Cruz Azul

#3 · 29 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Club Tijuana

#6 · 22 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result Draw

G. Fernandez 17' (pen.)

25' M. El Ghezouani

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Club Tijuana 11%). The final result was Cruz Azul 1–1 Club Tijuana. In 2 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Club Tijuana.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

4

6

Shots on target

2

2.37

Actual xG

1.11

1

Saves

5

66%

Possession

34%

4

Corners

1

6

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽G. Fernandez (pen.)

17'

20'

R. Inzunza

25'

M. El Ghezouani⚽

E. Lira

45'+1

↕ E. Lira / J. Paradela

60'

61'

G. Mora / M. El Ghezouani ↕

↕ A. Palavecino / C. Ebere

71'

↕ A. Montano / L. Romero

71'

76'

D. Abreu / K. Castaneda ↕

76'

U. Bilbao / R. Arciga ↕

↕ O. Campos / A. Castro

84'

↕ J. Marquez / A. Morales

84'

W. Ditta

90'+2

90'

A. Zapata

Pre-match prediction

73.69%

Cruz

14.97%

X ←

11.34%

Club

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 14.97% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cruz

2.65

2.37

-0.28

Club

0.71

1.11

+0.4

Cruz Azul dominated by xG (2.37 vs 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	15	29
2	Guadalajara Chivas	15	29
3	Cruz Azul	15	29
4	Atlas	15	27
5	Toluca	15	24
6	Club Tijuana	15	22
7	Leon	15	22
8	Santos Laguna	15	22
9	Monterrey	14	21
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	15	20
11	Club Queretaro	14	20
12	CF Pachuca	15	19
13	Atletico San Luis	15	19
14	Puebla	15	16
15	Tigres UANL	15	15
16	Atlante FC	15	14
17	Necaxa	15	10
18	FC Juarez	15	8

Lineups

Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1

23

G 6.30

29 C. Rotondi D 5.90

33 G. Piovi D 6.90

4 W. Ditta D 7.00

3 O. Campos 84' D 6.20

19 C. Rodríguez M 7.20

6 É. Lira 60' M 6.90

10 A. Montaño 71' M 7.60

8 A. Palavecino 71' M 6.70

16 J. Márquez 84' M 6.90

21 G. Fernández 1 ⚽ F 6.30

Bench

11 C. Ebere 19' F 6.30

20 J. Paradela 30' F 6.90

18 L. Romero 19' F 6.50

Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1

2

G 7.00

33 P. Ortíz D 6.50

6 A. Gómez D 5.90

12

D 6.30

3 R. Fernández D 6.90

20 Á. Zapata M 6.50

11

M 7.50

10 K. Castañeda 76' M 6.70

22 I. Rivero M 6.70

17 R. Árciga 76' M 6.30

9 Mourad 1 ⚽ 61' F 7.00

Bench

26 A. Perez M

31 D. Abreu 14' F 6.90

19 G. Mora 29' M 6.30

30 Josef Martínez F

Best on the pitch

A. Montaño

M · Cruz

7.60

1 shots · 18 pass

M · Club

7.50

· 17 pass

C. Rodríguez

M · Cruz

7.20

· 63 pass

W. Ditta

D · Cruz

7.00

3 shots · 91 pass

G · Club

7.00

· 41 pass

Mourad

F · Club

7.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

Cruz Azul — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	26	23%	—	—	—
C. Rotondi	D	90	5.90	—	—	2	28	17%	—	—	—
G. Piovi	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	102	81%	1	—	—
W. Ditta	D	90	7.00	—	—	3	91	87%	2	1	—
O. Campos	D	84	6.20	—	—	—	22	16%	—	—	—
C. Rodríguez	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	63	53%	1	—	—
É. Lira	M	60	6.90	—	—	1	44	39%	1	1	—
A. Montaño	M	71	7.60	—	—	1	18	15%	—	—	—
A. Palavecino	M	71	6.70	—	—	1	37	25%	1	—	—
J. Márquez	M	84	6.90	—	—	2	27	24%	—	—	—
G. Fernández	F	90	6.30	1	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
C. Ebere	F	19	6.30	—	—	—	5	1%	—	—	—
J. Paradela	F	30	6.90	—	—	1	18	15%	—	—	—
L. Romero	F	19	6.50	—	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—

Club Tijuana — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	41	20%	—	—	—
P. Ortíz	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
A. Gómez	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	19%	1	—	—
R. Fernández	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	24	15%	3	1	—
Á. Zapata	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	22	15%	2	1	—
	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	17	14%	3	—	—
K. Castañeda	M	76	6.70	—	—	—	23	16%	—	—	—
I. Rivero	M	90	6.70	—	—	3	16	12%	2	—	—
R. Árciga	M	76	6.30	—	—	—	11	5%	—	—	—
Mourad	F	61	7.00	1	—	1	16	10%	—	—	—
D. Abreu	F	14	6.90	—	—	—	6	3%	2	—	—
G. Mora	M	29	6.30	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—