Liga MX · Clausura - 15 April 19, 2026 01:00

Cruz Azul

#8 · 12 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Club Tijuana

#5 · 13 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result Draw

G. Fernandez 17' (pen.)

25' M. El Ghezouani

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Club Tijuana 11%). The final result was Cruz Azul 1–1 Club Tijuana. In 2 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Club Tijuana.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

4

6

Shots on target

2

2.37

Actual xG

1.11

1

Saves

5

66%

Possession

34%

4

Corners

1

6

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽G. Fernandez (pen.)

17'

20'

R. Inzunza

25'

M. El Ghezouani⚽

E. Lira

45'+1

↕ E. Lira / J. Paradela

60'

61'

G. Mora / M. El Ghezouani ↕

↕ A. Palavecino / C. Ebere

71'

↕ A. Montano / L. Romero

71'

76'

D. Abreu / K. Castaneda ↕

76'

U. Bilbao / R. Arciga ↕

↕ O. Campos / A. Castro

84'

↕ J. Marquez / A. Morales

84'

W. Ditta

90'+2

90'

A. Zapata

Pre-match prediction

73.69%

Cruz

14.97%

X ←

11.34%

Club

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 14.97% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cruz

2.65

2.37

-0.28

Club

0.71

1.11

+0.4

Cruz Azul dominated by xG (2.37 vs 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	6	16
2	Guadalajara Chivas	7	14
3	Toluca	6	13
4	Club Queretaro	7	13
5	Club Tijuana	7	13
6	Atlas	7	13
7	Puebla	7	13
8	Cruz Azul	7	12
9	CF Pachuca	8	11
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	7	11
11	Leon	7	10
12	Monterrey	6	9
13	Necaxa	8	8
14	Atlante FC	8	7
15	Tigres UANL	7	6
16	Atletico San Luis	7	6
17	Santos Laguna	7	1
18	FC Juarez	7	0

Lineups

Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1

23

G 6.30

29 C. Rotondi D 5.90

33 G. Piovi D 6.90

4 W. Ditta D 7.00

3 O. Campos 84' D 6.20

19 C. Rodríguez M 7.20

6 É. Lira 60' M 6.90

10 A. Montaño 71' M 7.60

8 A. Palavecino 71' M 6.70

16 J. Márquez 84' M 6.90

21 G. Fernández 1 ⚽ F 6.30

Bench

11 C. Ebere 19' F 6.30

20 J. Paradela 30' F 6.90

18 L. Romero 19' F 6.50

Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1

2

G 7.00

33 P. Ortíz D 6.50

6 A. Gómez D 5.90

12

D 6.30

3 Rafael Fernández D 6.90

20 Á. Zapata M 6.50

11

M 7.50

10 K. Castañeda 76' M 6.70

22 José Rivero M 6.70

17 R. Árciga 76' M 6.30

9 Mourad 1 ⚽ 61' F 7.00

Bench

26 A. Perez M

31 D. Abreu 14' F 6.90

19 G. Mora 29' M 6.30

30 Josef Martínez F

Best on the pitch

A. Montaño

M · Cruz

7.60

1 shots · 18 pass

M · Club

7.50

· 17 pass

C. Rodríguez

M · Cruz

7.20

· 63 pass

W. Ditta

D · Cruz

7.00

3 shots · 91 pass

G · Club

7.00

· 41 pass

Mourad

F · Club

7.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

Cruz Azul — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	26	23%	—	—	—
C. Rotondi	D	90	5.90	—	—	2	28	17%	—	—	—
G. Piovi	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	102	81%	1	—	—
W. Ditta	D	90	7.00	—	—	3	91	87%	2	1	—
O. Campos	D	84	6.20	—	—	—	22	16%	—	—	—
C. Rodríguez	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	63	53%	1	—	—
É. Lira	M	60	6.90	—	—	1	44	39%	1	1	—
A. Montaño	M	71	7.60	—	—	1	18	15%	—	—	—
A. Palavecino	M	71	6.70	—	—	1	37	25%	1	—	—
J. Márquez	M	84	6.90	—	—	2	27	24%	—	—	—
G. Fernández	F	90	6.30	1	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
C. Ebere	F	19	6.30	—	—	—	5	1%	—	—	—
J. Paradela	F	30	6.90	—	—	1	18	15%	—	—	—
L. Romero	F	19	6.50	—	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—

Club Tijuana — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	41	20%	—	—	—
P. Ortíz	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
A. Gómez	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	19%	1	—	—
Rafael Fernández	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	24	15%	3	1	—
Á. Zapata	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	22	15%	2	1	—
	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	17	14%	3	—	—
K. Castañeda	M	76	6.70	—	—	—	23	16%	—	—	—
José Rivero	M	90	6.70	—	—	3	16	12%	2	—	—
R. Árciga	M	76	6.30	—	—	—	11	5%	—	—	—
Mourad	F	61	7.00	1	—	1	16	10%	—	—	—
D. Abreu	F	14	6.90	—	—	—	6	3%	2	—	—
G. Mora	M	29	6.30	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—