Liga MX · Clausura - 15 April 19, 2026 01:00

Cruz Azul

#1 · 4 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Club Tijuana

#2 · 3 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result Draw

G. Fernandez 17' (pen.)

25' M. El Ghezouani

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Club Tijuana 11%). The final result was Cruz Azul 1–1 Club Tijuana. In 1 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Club Tijuana.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

4

6

Shots on target

2

2.37

Actual xG

1.11

1

Saves

5

66%

Possession

34%

4

Corners

1

6

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽G. Fernandez (pen.)

17'

20'

R. Inzunza

25'

M. El Ghezouani⚽

E. Lira

45'+1

↕ E. Lira / J. Paradela

60'

61'

G. Mora / M. El Ghezouani ↕

↕ A. Palavecino / C. Ebere

71'

↕ A. Montano / L. Romero

71'

76'

D. Abreu / K. Castaneda ↕

76'

U. Bilbao / R. Arciga ↕

↕ O. Campos / A. Castro

84'

↕ J. Marquez / A. Morales

84'

W. Ditta

90'+2

90'

A. Zapata

Pre-match prediction

73.69%

Cruz

14.97%

X ←

11.34%

Club

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 14.97% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cruz

2.65

2.37

-0.28

Club

0.71

1.11

+0.4

Cruz Azul dominated by xG (2.37 vs 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cruz Azul	2	4
2	Toluca	2	4
3	Tigres UANL	2	3
4	Monterrey	2	3
5	Club America	2	3
6	Club Tijuana	2	3
7	Guadalajara Chivas	2	1
8	FC Juarez	2	1

Lineups

Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1

23

G 6.30

29 C. Rotondi D 5.90

33 G. Piovi D 6.90

4 W. Ditta D 7.00

3 O. Campos 84' D 6.20

19 C. Rodríguez M 7.20

6 Erik Lira 60' M 6.90

10 Andres Montaño 71' M 7.60

8 A. Palavecino 71' M 6.70

16 Jeremy Márquez 84' M 6.90

21 G. Fernández 1 ⚽ F 6.30

Bench

20 J. Paradela 30' F 6.90

18 L. Romero 19' F 6.50

11 Osinachi Ebere 19' F 6.30

Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1

2

G 7.00

33

P. N. Ortiz Orozco D 6.50

6 Jesús Gómez D 5.90

12

D 6.30

3 R. Fernández D 6.90

20

A. Zapata M 6.50

11

M 7.50

10 K. Castañeda 76' M 6.70

22

I. Rivero M 6.70

17 R. Árciga 76' M 6.30

9

M. El Ghezouani 1 ⚽ 61' F 7.00

Bench

26

A. Perez M

31

D. Abreu 14' F 6.90

19 Gilberto Mora 29' M 6.30

30

J. Martinez F

Best on the pitch

Andres Montaño

M · Cruz

7.60

1 shots · 18 pass

M · Club

7.50

· 17 pass

C. Rodríguez

M · Cruz

7.20

· 63 pass

W. Ditta

D · Cruz

7.00

3 shots · 91 pass

M. El Ghezouani

F · Club

7.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

G · Club

7.00

· 41 pass

Cruz Azul — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	26	23%	—	—	—
C. Rotondi	D	90	5.90	—	—	2	28	17%	—	—	—
G. Piovi	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	102	81%	1	—	—
W. Ditta	D	90	7.00	—	—	3	91	87%	2	1	—
O. Campos	D	84	6.20	—	—	—	22	16%	—	—	—
C. Rodríguez	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	63	53%	1	—	—
Erik Lira	M	60	6.90	—	—	1	44	39%	1	1	—
Andres Montaño	M	71	7.60	—	—	1	18	15%	—	—	—
A. Palavecino	M	71	6.70	—	—	1	37	25%	1	—	—
Jeremy Márquez	M	84	6.90	—	—	2	27	24%	—	—	—
G. Fernández	F	90	6.30	1	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
J. Paradela	F	30	6.90	—	—	1	18	15%	—	—	—
L. Romero	F	19	6.50	—	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—
Osinachi Ebere	F	19	6.30	—	—	—	5	1%	—	—	—

Club Tijuana — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	41	20%	—	—	—
P. N. Ortiz Orozco	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
Jesús Gómez	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	19%	1	—	—
R. Fernández	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	24	15%	3	1	—
A. Zapata	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	22	15%	2	1	—
	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	17	14%	3	—	—
K. Castañeda	M	76	6.70	—	—	—	23	16%	—	—	—
I. Rivero	M	90	6.70	—	—	3	16	12%	2	—	—
R. Árciga	M	76	6.30	—	—	—	11	5%	—	—	—
M. El Ghezouani	F	61	7.00	1	—	1	16	10%	—	—	—
D. Abreu	F	14	6.90	—	—	—	6	3%	2	—	—
Gilberto Mora	M	29	6.30	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—