Liga MX
· Clausura - 13
April 05, 2026 03:05
✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result CF Pachuca vince
C. Ebere
45'
5'
Kenedy
58'
(ast. O. Idrissi)
Kenedy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 58% win probability (draw 22%, CF Pachuca 19%). The final result was Cruz Azul 1–2 CF Pachuca. In 1 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for CF Pachuca.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
0.98
Actual xG
1.06
2
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
4
20
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
-5'
Víctor Guzmán
5'
Kenedy⚽
Gonzalo Piovi
23'
J. Rodarte
/ O. Campos
32'
⚽C. Ebere
45'
58'
ast. O. Idrissi ·
Kenedy⚽
L. Romero
/ G. Fernandez
61'
69'
A. Dominguez
/
Kenedy
69'
E. Valencia
/
S. Rondon
69'
S. Rodriguez
/
E. Montiel
76'
L. Quinones
/
O. Idrissi
C. Rodriguez
/ A. Morales
80'
J. Marquez
/ E. Lira
80'
C. Ebere
/ A. Montano
80'
83'
84'
Christian Rivera
87'
P. Pedraza
/
V. Guzman
90'
Pedro Pedraza
90'
Sergio Rodríguez
Pre-match prediction
58.93%
Cruz
22.06%
X
19.01%
CF ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (CF Pachuca)
19.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
0.98
-1.0
1.02
1.06
+0.04
xG dominance was balanced (0.98 – 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
Gonzalo Piovi
D
Gonzalo Piovi
D
17
Amaury Garcia
D
Amaury Garcia
D
4
Willer Ditta
D
Willer Ditta
D
11
Osinachi Ebere
1 ⚽
80'
M
Osinachi Ebere
1 ⚽
80'
M
16
Jeremy Márquez
80'
M
Jeremy Márquez
80'
M
19
Carlos Rodríguez
80'
M
Carlos Rodríguez
80'
M
22
J. Rodarte
18
Luka Romero
61'
F
Luka Romero
61'
F
20
José Paradela
F
José Paradela
F
7
N. Ibanez
F
Bench
10
Andres Montaño
10'
M
Andres Montaño
10'
M
6
É. Lira
10'
M
É. Lira
10'
M
21
Gabriel Fernández
29'
F
Gabriel Fernández
29'
F
3
Omar Campos
58'
D
Omar Campos
58'
D
25
Carlos Moreno
G
Carlos Moreno
G
12
Brian García
D
Brian García
D
2
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
14
Carlos Sánchez
D
Carlos Sánchez
D
16
Christian Rivera
84'
M
Christian Rivera
84'
M
8
Víctor Guzmán
87'
M
Víctor Guzmán
87'
M
11
Oussama Idrissi
1 👟
76'
M
Oussama Idrissi
1 👟
76'
M
28
Elías Montiel
69'
M
Elías Montiel
69'
M
29
Kenedy
2 ⚽
69'
M
Kenedy
2 ⚽
69'
M
23
Salomón Rondón
69'
F
Salomón Rondón
69'
F
Bench
26
Alan Bautista
M
Alan Bautista
M
18
Alexei Domínguez
21'
F
Alexei Domínguez
21'
F
10
Enner Valencia
21'
F
Enner Valencia
21'
F
7
Luis Quiñones
14'
F
Luis Quiñones
14'
F
5
Pedro Pedraza
13'
M
Pedro Pedraza
13'
M
188
S. Rodriguez
Best on the pitch
Kenedy
M · CF
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
Osinachi Ebere
M · Cruz
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Luka Romero
F · Cruz
7.70
1 shots
· 19 pass
Jeremy Márquez
M · Cruz
7.30
3 shots
· 46 pass
Víctor Guzmán
M · CF
7.20
3 shots
· 19 pass
Willer Ditta
D · Cruz
7.00
1 shots
· 72 pass
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Gonzalo Piovi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 40% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Amaury Garcia | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Willer Ditta | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Osinachi Ebere | M | 80 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Jeremy Márquez | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Rodríguez | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodarte | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Luka Romero | F | 61 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| José Paradela | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| N. Ibanez | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Andres Montaño | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| É. Lira | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Fernández | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Campos | D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Moreno | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Brian García | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Christian Rivera | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 4 | — | 1 |
| Víctor Guzmán | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 16% | 4 | — | 1 |
| Oussama Idrissi | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Elías Montiel | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 69 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 3 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Salomón Rondón | F | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Enner Valencia | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Luis Quiñones | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Pedraza | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs CF Pachuca?
The final score was Cruz Azul 1–2 CF Pachuca.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs CF Pachuca?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an CF Pachuca win.