CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv
Cup
October 29, 2026 17:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.01%
Win
CSKA Moscow
18.6%
Draw
16.39%
Win
Lokomotiv
2.23
0.93
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
CSKA Moscow
65.01%
Probability
33.3%
1X2 accuracy · 3 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–0
(10.6%)
1X2 Result
1
65%
X
19%
2
16%
Double Chance
1X
84%
X2
35%
12
81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
66%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives CSKA Moscow a 65% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Lokomotiv. Expected goals are 2.2 for CSKA Moscow and 0.9 for Lokomotiv (total 3.2), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.6% probability. In 8 previous meetings, CSKA Moscow have won 4 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Lokomotiv.
Season Stats
6W
4D
5L
5W
5D
4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.4
1.2
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
79%
40%
O 2.5
50%
47%
BTTS
64%
20%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
41%
O 3.5
73%
BTTS
5W
1D
1L
· at home
3W
2D
3L
· away
2.1
gls/g
1.4
1.0
Conceded
1.4
71%
Win %
38%
86%
Win or Draw
63%
86%
O 1.5
75%
71%
O 2.5
75%
43%
O 3.5
38%
71%
BTTS
75%
14%
Clean Sht
13%
14%
Failed to Score
25%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
CSKA Moscow
Attack
59
Defence
63
Form
65
Lokomotiv
Attack
37
Defence
58
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
The model gives CSKA Moscow a 65% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 16% for an Lokomotiv win.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Expected goals: CSKA Moscow 2.2, Lokomotiv 0.9 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.6%.