Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 00:00
Lucas Colitto
37'
58'
(ast. Mikel Amondarain)
Tiago Palacios
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Cusco 27%). The final result was Cusco 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estudiantes L.P..
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
2
2.02
Actual xG
0.86
1
Saves
7
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Lucas Colitto
37'
41'
Alexis Castro
Aldair Fuentes
45'
58'
ast. Mikel Amondarain ·
Tiago Palacios⚽
Iván Colman
/ Juan Tévez
61'
Lucas Colitto
/ Nicolás Silva
61'
65'
Edwuin Cetré
/
Fabricio Pérez
65'
Facundo Farías
/
Guido Carrillo
Diego Soto
/ Gabriel Carabajal
75'
76'
Eros Mancuso
/
Alexis Castro
85'
Facundo Farías
85'
Lucas Alario
/
Eric Meza
85'
Santiago Núñez
/
Tiago Palacios
Marlon Ruidías
/ Jose Bolivar
86'
89'
Gabriel Neves
Pre-match prediction
27.05%
Cusco
25.83%
X ←
47.12%
Estudiantes
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
2.02
+1.08
1.43
0.86
-0.57
Cusco dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
6
D
28
Pedro Diaz
G
Pedro Diaz
G
24
Marlon Ruidías
86'
D
Marlon Ruidías
86'
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
A. Fuentes
D
21
J. Zevallos
D
J. Zevallos
D
88
Diego Soto
75'
M
Diego Soto
75'
M
16
Oswaldo Valenzuela
M
Oswaldo Valenzuela
M
22
Lucas Colitto
1 ⚽
61'
M
Lucas Colitto
1 ⚽
61'
M
10
Iván Colman
61'
M
Iván Colman
61'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
M
J. Manzaneda
M
9
F. Callejo
F
F. Callejo
F
Bench
14
Carlo Diez
M
Carlo Diez
M
27
Gabriel Carabajal
20'
M
Gabriel Carabajal
20'
M
77
Joel Herrera
M
Joel Herrera
M
15
Jose Bolivar
9'
D
Jose Bolivar
9'
D
11
Juan Tévez
34'
F
Juan Tévez
34'
F
32
Julinho Astudillo
D
Julinho Astudillo
D
5
M. Aucca
M
26
Nicolás Silva
34'
F
Nicolás Silva
34'
F
16
Fernando Muslera
G
Fernando Muslera
G
20
Eric Meza
85'
D
Eric Meza
85'
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
24
T. Palacios
D
T. Palacios
D
13
Gastón Benedetti
D
Gastón Benedetti
D
8
Gabriel Neves
M
Gabriel Neves
M
22
Alexis Castro
76'
M
Alexis Castro
76'
M
32
M. Amondarain
1 👟
M
M. Amondarain
1 👟
M
10
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
85'
M
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
85'
M
29
Fabricio Pérez
65'
M
Fabricio Pérez
65'
M
9
Guido Carrillo
65'
F
Guido Carrillo
65'
F
Bench
28
Brian Aguirre
F
Brian Aguirre
F
18
Edwuin Cetré
30'
F
Edwuin Cetré
30'
F
40
Eros Mancuso
19'
D
Eros Mancuso
19'
D
11
Facundo Farías
30'
M
Facundo Farías
30'
M
36
Joaquin Pereyra
D
Joaquin Pereyra
D
7
J. Sosa
M
J. Sosa
M
27
Lucas Alario
10'
F
Lucas Alario
10'
F
26
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
Ramiro Funes Mori
D
4
Santiago Núñez
10'
D
Santiago Núñez
10'
D
Best on the pitch
Fernando Muslera
G · Estudiantes
8.60
· 37 pass
Lucas Colitto
M · Cusco
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
T. Palacios
M · Estudiantes
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
M. Amondarain
M · Estudiantes
7.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
Iván Colman
M · Cusco
7.20
3 shots
· 37 pass
J. Manzaneda
M · Cusco
7.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Diaz | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Ruidías | D | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — |
| A. Fuentes | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Zevallos | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Diego Soto | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Oswaldo Valenzuela | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Lucas Colitto | M | 61 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Iván Colman | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzaneda | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Callejo | F | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jose Bolivar | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Juan Tévez | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Silva | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Muslera | G | 95 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Eric Meza | D | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Gastón Benedetti | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Neves | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alexis Castro | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 85 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabricio Pérez | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Guido Carrillo | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwuin Cetré | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Eros Mancuso | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Farías | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Alario | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Núñez | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The final score was Cusco 1–1 Estudiantes L.P..
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Cusco win, 25% to a draw, and 47% to an Estudiantes L.P. win.