Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 00:00
Lucas Colitto
37'
58'
(ast. Mikel Amondarain)
Tiago Palacios
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estudiantes L.P. a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Cusco 27%). The final result was Cusco 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estudiantes L.P..
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
2
2.02
Actual xG
0.86
1
Saves
7
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Lucas Colitto
37'
41'
Alexis Castro
Aldair Fuentes
45'
58'
ast. Mikel Amondarain ·
Tiago Palacios⚽
Iván Colman
/ Juan Tévez
61'
Lucas Colitto
/ Nicolás Silva
61'
65'
Edwuin Cetré
/
Fabricio Pérez
65'
Facundo Farías
/
Guido Carrillo
Diego Soto
/ Gabriel Carabajal
75'
76'
Eros Mancuso
/
Alexis Castro
85'
Facundo Farías
85'
Lucas Alario
/
Eric Meza
85'
Santiago Núñez
/
Tiago Palacios
Marlon Ruidías
/ Jose Bolivar
86'
89'
Gabriel Neves
Pre-match prediction
27.05%
Cusco
25.83%
X ←
47.12%
Estudiantes
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
2.02
+1.08
1.43
0.86
-0.57
Cusco dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
6
D
28
P. Díaz
G
P. Díaz
G
24
M. Ruidías
86'
D
M. Ruidías
86'
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
A. Fuentes
D
21
J. Zevallos
D
J. Zevallos
D
88
D. Soto
75'
M
D. Soto
75'
M
16
O. Valenzuela
M
O. Valenzuela
M
22
L. Colitto
1 ⚽
61'
M
L. Colitto
1 ⚽
61'
M
10
I. Colman
61'
M
I. Colman
61'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
M
J. Manzaneda
M
9
F. Callejo
F
F. Callejo
F
Bench
14
C. Diez
M
C. Diez
M
27
Gabriel Carabajal
20'
M
Gabriel Carabajal
20'
M
15
J. Bolívar
9'
D
J. Bolívar
9'
D
77
J. Herrera
M
J. Herrera
M
11
J. Tévez
34'
F
J. Tévez
34'
F
32
Julinho Astudillo
D
Julinho Astudillo
D
5
M. Aucca
M
26
N. Silva
34'
F
N. Silva
34'
F
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
20
E. Meza
85'
D
E. Meza
85'
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
24
Tomás Palacios
D
Tomás Palacios
D
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
8
G. Neves
M
G. Neves
M
22
A. Castro
76'
M
A. Castro
76'
M
32
M. Amondarain
1 👟
M
M. Amondarain
1 👟
M
10
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
85'
M
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
85'
M
29
F. Pérez Escudero
65'
M
F. Pérez Escudero
65'
M
9
G. Carrillo
65'
F
G. Carrillo
65'
F
Bench
28
B. Aguirre
F
B. Aguirre
F
18
E. Cetré
30'
F
E. Cetré
30'
F
40
E. Mancuso
19'
D
E. Mancuso
19'
D
11
F. Farías
30'
M
F. Farías
30'
M
36
J. Pereyra
D
J. Pereyra
D
7
J. Sosa
M
J. Sosa
M
27
L. Alario
10'
F
L. Alario
10'
F
26
R. Funes Mori
D
R. Funes Mori
D
4
S. Núñez
10'
D
S. Núñez
10'
D
Best on the pitch
F. Muslera
G · Estudiantes
8.60
· 37 pass
L. Colitto
M · Cusco
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
T. Palacios
M · Estudiantes
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
M. Amondarain
M · Estudiantes
7.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
I. Colman
M · Cusco
7.20
3 shots
· 37 pass
J. Manzaneda
M · Cusco
7.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | — | — | — | |
| P. Díaz | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Ruidías | D | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — |
| A. Fuentes | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Zevallos | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | — | — | — |
| D. Soto | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Valenzuela | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Colitto | M | 61 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| I. Colman | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzaneda | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Callejo | F | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bolívar | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Tévez | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Silva | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 95 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| E. Meza | D | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. González | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Palacios | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| G. Neves | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Castro | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 85 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Pérez Escudero | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Cetré | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mancuso | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Farías | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Alario | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Núñez | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The final score was Cusco 1–1 Estudiantes L.P..
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Cusco win, 25% to a draw, and 47% to an Estudiantes L.P. win.