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Cyprus - Montenegro

UEFA Nations League November 15, 2026 15:00 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Cyprus
#2 · 7 pts
vs
Montenegro
#1 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.61%
Win
Cyprus
35.31%
Draw
25.08%
Win
Montenegro
1.1
Expected xG
0.82

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (16.69%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 35%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 60%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cyprus a 39% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Montenegro. Expected goals are 1.1 for Cyprus and 0.8 for Montenegro (total 1.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 16.69% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Cyprus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Montenegro.

Season Stats

Cyprus
4W 1D 5L
Montenegro
4W 1D 5L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.1
1.8
Conceded
1.3
4.0
Shots OT
3.9
4.7
Corners
5.0
44%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
70%
70%
O 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Cyprus
3W 0D 2L · at home
Montenegro
2W 0D 3L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.0
1.8
Conceded
1.4
60%
Win %
40%
60%
Win or Draw
40%
100%
O 1.5
60%
80%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
40%
Failed to Score
60%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cyprus Montenegro →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6% 12.1% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% —
1 16.1% 13.2% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 7.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Cyprus Cyprus
W Latvia 2–1
W Armenia 2–0
D Latvia 0–0
L Montenegro 2–1
L Romania 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Montenegro Montenegro
D Armenia 0–0
W Latvia 1–2
W Armenia 2–3
W Cyprus 2–1
W Türkiye 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Cyprus Cyprus
Attack
41
Defence
78
Form
52
Montenegro Montenegro
Attack
46
Defence
71
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Cyprus
0
Draw
1
Montenegro
25 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League 1–2

League C - Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Montenegro Montenegro 4 10
2 Cyprus Cyprus 4 7
3 Armenia Armenia 4 4
4 Latvia Latvia 4 1

What's at stake · League C - Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Cyprus Montenegro
Current #2 #1
→ Cyprus #2 #1
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Montenegro #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cyprus vs Montenegro?
The model gives Cyprus a 39% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 25% for an Montenegro win.
How many goals are expected in Cyprus vs Montenegro?
Expected goals: Cyprus 1.1, Montenegro 0.8 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Cyprus vs Montenegro?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.69%.