Czechia - Spain
⚡ Pre-match analysis
6.1%
Win
Czechia
19.26%
Draw
74.64%
Win
Spain
0.42
2.08
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Spain
74.64%
Probability
62.9%
1X2 accuracy · 35 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–2
(17.86%)
1X2 Result
1
6%
X
19%
2
75%
Double Chance
1X
25%
X2
94%
12
81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spain a 74% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 6% for Czechia. Expected goals are 0.4 for Czechia and 2.1 for Spain (total 2.5), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 17.86% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Czechia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Spain.
Season Stats
3W
2D
5L
10W
4D
0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.6
1.8
Conceded
1.4
3.6
Shots OT
6.9
3.4
Corners
5.1
44%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
90%
O 1.5
86%
60%
O 2.5
86%
60%
BTTS
79%
20%
Clean Sht
21%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
39%
O 3.5
73%
BTTS
3W
0D
2L
· at home
4W
3D
0L
· away
1.6
gls/g
2.1
1.4
Conceded
1.3
60%
Win %
57%
60%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
86%
60%
O 2.5
86%
20%
O 3.5
57%
60%
BTTS
86%
20%
Clean Sht
14%
20%
Failed to Score
14%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Czechia
Spain →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Czechia
Attack
20
Defence
44
Form
0
Spain
Attack
62
Defence
75
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
3 Oct 2026
1–3
Unavailable
Czechia
Injured
What's at stake · League A - Group C
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #1 |
| → Czechia | #3 | #1 |
| → Draw | #4 | #1 |
| → Spain | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Czechia vs Spain?
The model gives Czechia a 6% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 74% for an Spain win.
How many goals are expected in Czechia vs Spain?
Expected goals: Czechia 0.4, Spain 2.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Czechia vs Spain?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.86%.