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DC United - FC Cincinnati

MLS October 25, 2026 01:30 Audi Field, Washington
DC United
#13 · 33 pts
vs
FC Cincinnati
#8 · 39 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 8.5°C 💨 7 km/h · Washington
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.21%
Win
DC United
19.44%
Draw
48.35%
Win
FC Cincinnati
1.8
Expected xG
2.35

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (7.88%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.0% hit rate (60 picks)
1 32%
X 19%
2 48%
Double Chance ✓ 91.7% hit rate (60 picks)
1X 52%
X2 68%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 77%
✓ 74.3% hit rate (140 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Cincinnati a 48% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 32% for DC United. Expected goals are 1.8 for DC United and 2.3 for FC Cincinnati (total 4.1), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.88% probability. In 1 previous meetings, DC United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Season Stats

DC United
3W 6D 6L
FC Cincinnati
5W 4D 6L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.7
1.9
Conceded
2.3
4.4
Shots OT
6.1
5.5
Corners
5.4
38%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
73%
O 2.5
80%
73%
BTTS
80%
13%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
DC United
3W 5D 2L · at home
FC Cincinnati
2W 4D 4L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.6
1.5
Conceded
2.5
30%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
100%
70%
O 2.5
90%
20%
O 3.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
30%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ DC United FC Cincinnati →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 3.7% 4.4% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9%
1 2.8% 6.7% 7.8% 6.1% 3.6% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.5% 3.6% 4.2% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9%
4 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

DC United DC United
L FC Cincinnati 2–1
L Orlando City SC 4–1
W New York Red Bulls 2–1
L Inter Miami 4–0
D Vancouver Whitecaps 3–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
W DC United 2–1
L Columbus Crew 0–2
L New England Revolution 2–3
W Atlanta United FC 1–3
L CF Montreal 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

DC United DC United
Attack
42
Defence
41
Form
43
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
Attack
53
Defence
54
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
DC United
0
Draw
1
FC Cincinnati
22 Oct 2026 MLS 1–2

Eastern Conference

# Team G Pts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 30 67
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 30 55
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 30 52
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 30 48
5 Charlotte Charlotte 30 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 30 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 30 41
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 30 39
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 30 36
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 30 36
11 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 30 35
12 New York City FC New York City FC 30 34
13 DC United DC United 30 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 30 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 30 25

What's at stake · Eastern Conference

Top 2 advance to the next round

DC United FC Cincinnati
Current #13 #8
→ DC United #10 #8
→ Draw #13 #8
→ FC Cincinnati #13 #7

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
The model gives DC United a 32% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 48% for an FC Cincinnati win.
How many goals are expected in DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
Expected goals: DC United 1.8, FC Cincinnati 2.3 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in DC United vs FC Cincinnati?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.88%.