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D. Hrncar (ast. M. Viltard) 48'
55' (ast. A. Ementa) J. Opoku
62' (ast. J. Erenbjerg) J. Opoku
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zulte Waregem a 34% win probability (draw 35%, Dender 30%). The final result was Dender 1–2 Zulte Waregem. In 3 previous meetings, Dender have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Zulte Waregem.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
9
1.91
Actual xG
3.70
6
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
6
21
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
D. Hrncar · ast. M. Viltard
48'
David Hrnčár
50'
55'
ast. A. Ementa · J. Opoku
M. Berte / D. Toshevski
57'
62'
ast. J. Erenbjerg · J. Opoku
M. Viltard / J. A. Kadiri
66'
David Toshevski
69'
73'
M. Mbaye / J. Opoku
73'
W. Paugain / B. Nyssen
B. Goncalves / K. Koton
77'
D. Hrncar / E. Lembi
77'
84'
Y. Cappelle / M. Ake
90'+5
T. Hedl /
Pre-match prediction
30.56%
Dender
35.39%
X
34.04%
Zulte ←
we assigned to the actual result (Zulte Waregem) 34.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dender
0.71
1.91
+1.2
Zulte
0.92
3.70
+2.78
Zulte Waregem dominated by xG (3.70 vs 1.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 5 15
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 5 13
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 5 12
4 Charleroi Charleroi 5 12
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 5 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 5 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 5 8
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Lommel United Lommel United 5 7
12 Antwerp Antwerp 5 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 5 4
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 5 2
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5 0
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
Dender Dender 4-2-3-1
93 G. Gallon G. Gallon G 7.90
7 Bryan Goncalves Bryan Goncalves 77' D 7.00
6 Bo De Kerf Bo De Kerf D 6.90
5 L. Marijnissen L. Marijnissen D 5.90
70 M. Sambu M. Sambu D 6.90
24 M. Viltard M. Viltard 1 👟 66' M 7.60
18 N. Rôdes N. Rôdes M 7.20
20
David Hrnčár 1 ⚽ 77' M 6.30
17 N. Mbamba N. Mbamba M 7.30
27 A. Jahanbakhsh A. Jahanbakhsh M 6.90
90 M. Berte M. Berte 57' F 6.90
Bench
23 Desmond Acquah Desmond Acquah M
9 D. Toševski D. Toševski 33' F 7.30
15 K. Koton K. Koton 13' M 6.60
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 3-4-1-2
13
G 8.60
31
D 6.00
5 J. Kiilerich J. Kiilerich D 7.20
4 L. Lemoine L. Lemoine D 7.30
39 M. Aké M. Aké 84' M 6.70
6 E. Lofolomo E. Lofolomo M 6.00
40
D. Asare M 7.30
19
B. Nyssen 73' M 6.70
10 J. Erenbjerg J. Erenbjerg 1 👟 F 7.20
22 Joseph Okopu Joseph Okopu 2 ⚽ 73' F 8.20
18 A. Ementa A. Ementa 1 👟 F 7.50
Bench
9 J. Vossen J. Vossen F
30 M. Mbaye M. Mbaye 16' F 7.50
20 T. Hedl T. Hedl 1' F
12 Wilguens Paugain Wilguens Paugain 17' D 6.60
55 Y. Cappelle Y. Cappelle 15' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
G · Zulte
8.60
· 42 pass
Joseph Okopu
Joseph Okopu
F · Zulte
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
G. Gallon
G. Gallon
G · Dender
7.90
· 33 pass
M. Viltard
M. Viltard
M · Dender
7.60
1 👟
· 34 pass
M. Mbaye
M. Mbaye
F · Zulte
7.50
1 shots · 4 pass
A. Ementa
A. Ementa
F · Zulte
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 51 pass
Dender Dender — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Gallon G 90 7.90 33 25%
Bryan Goncalves D 77 7.00 1 35 31% 1
Bo De Kerf D 90 6.90 53 41% 3
L. Marijnissen D 90 5.90 35 30% 2
M. Sambu D 90 6.90 49 37% 4
M. Viltard M 66 7.60 1 34 24% 2
N. Rôdes M 90 7.20 2 42 35% 3
David Hrnčár M 77 6.30 1 2 13 7% 1
N. Mbamba M 90 7.30 32 28% 3
A. Jahanbakhsh M 90 6.90 38 27% 1
M. Berte F 57 6.90 1 11 6%
D. Toševski F 33 7.30 1 12 8% 1 1
K. Koton M 13 6.60 1 2 2% 1
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.60 42 30%
D 90 6.00 1 35 26% 1
J. Kiilerich D 90 7.20 1 55 47%
L. Lemoine D 90 7.30 48 42% 3
M. Aké M 84 6.70 1 17 14% 1
E. Lofolomo M 90 6.00 1 32 25% 6
D. Asare M 90 7.30 3 50 43% 4
B. Nyssen M 73 6.70 27 19% 1
J. Erenbjerg F 90 7.20 1 2 49 40% 2
Joseph Okopu F 73 8.20 2 3 18 12%
A. Ementa F 90 7.50 1 1 51 29% 1
M. Mbaye F 16 7.50 1 4 3%
T. Hedl F 1 2
Wilguens Paugain D 17 6.60 8 7%
Y. Cappelle D 15 6.90 2 2% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dender vs Zulte Waregem?
The final score was Dender 1–2 Zulte Waregem.
What did the model predict before Dender vs Zulte Waregem?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Dender win, 35% to a draw, and 34% to an Zulte Waregem win.