Denmark - Norway
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.07%
Win
Denmark
25.56%
Draw
15.37%
Win
Norway
1.83
0.79
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–0
(12.22%)
1X2 Result
1
59%
X
26%
2
15%
Double Chance
1X
85%
X2
41%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Denmark a 59% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Norway. Expected goals are 1.8 for Denmark and 0.8 for Norway (total 2.6), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 12.22% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Denmark have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Norway.
Season Stats
5W
2D
5L
5W
1D
4L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.1
1.4
Conceded
1.5
4.6
Shots OT
5.7
5.3
Corners
5.4
48%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
90%
42%
O 2.5
90%
42%
BTTS
70%
50%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
57%
BTTS
4W
0D
2L
· at home
1W
1D
3L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.4
1.0
Conceded
2.0
67%
Win %
20%
67%
Win or Draw
40%
83%
O 1.5
80%
33%
O 2.5
80%
17%
O 3.5
40%
33%
BTTS
80%
67%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Denmark
Norway →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 13.3% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Denmark
Attack
45
Defence
61
Form
47
Norway
Attack
42
Defence
46
Form
17
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
24 Sep 2026
2–3
Unavailable
Norway
Injured
What's at stake · League A - Group D
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #4 |
| → Denmark | #2 | #3 |
| → Draw | #2 | #3 |
| → Norway | #2 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Denmark vs Norway?
The model gives Denmark a 59% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 15% for an Norway win.
How many goals are expected in Denmark vs Norway?
Expected goals: Denmark 1.8, Norway 0.8 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Denmark vs Norway?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.22%.