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Model wrong — prediction WSG Wattens, result FC BW Linz wins
S. Weissman 41' (pen.)
Ronivaldo 45' (pen.)
S. Weissman (ast. Ronivaldo) 61'
Ronivaldo (ast. D. Reiter) 67'
N. Maier (ast. D. Bumberger) 87'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave WSG Wattens a 56% win probability (draw 17%, FC BW Linz 26%). The final result was FC BW Linz 5–0 WSG Wattens. In 3 previous meetings, FC BW Linz have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for WSG Wattens.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
0
6
Shots on target
0
3.13
Actual xG
0.16
0
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
40'
40'
Jamie Lawrence
S. Weissman (pen.)
41'
45'+1
Benjamin Böckle
45'+4
Ronivaldo (pen.)
45'
46'
L. Hinterseer / T. Sabitzer
Alexander Briedl
51'
54'
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen
S. Weissman · ast. Ronivaldo
61'
Ronivaldo · ast. D. Reiter
67'
68'
T. Geris / B. Bockle
68'
D. Gugganig / D. Kubatta
68'
T. Anselm / M. Wels
Ronivaldo / Joao Luiz
75'
F. Strauss / D. Riegler
75'
81'
Y. Votter / N. Baden Frederiksen
D. Reiter / I. Dahlqvist
84'
S. Pirkl / D. Bumberger
84'
A. Briedl / C. Cvetko
85'
N. Maier · ast. D. Bumberger
87'
Pre-match prediction
26.05%
FC ←
17.89%
X
56.06%
WSG
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC BW Linz) 26.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
0.64
3.13
+2.49
WSG
2.21
0.16
-2.05
FC BW Linz dominated by xG (3.13 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 5 15
2 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 6 15
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 6 14
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 5 8
5 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 6 8
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 6 7
7 Grazer AK Grazer AK 6 7
8 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 6 6
9 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 6 5
10 Ried Ried 6 5
11 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 6 5
12 SCR Altach SCR Altach 6 3
Lineups
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 3-4-1-2
58
G 6.50
2 Fabio Strauss Fabio Strauss 75' D 6.90
15
D 7.20
17 A. Pašić A. Pašić D 6.30
60 S. Pirkl S. Pirkl 84' M 6.60
19 A. Briedl A. Briedl 85' M 7.20
20 S. Seidl S. Seidl M 6.30
29 Dominik Reiter Dominik Reiter 1 👟 84' M 8.00
30 N. Maier N. Maier 1 ⚽ F 7.60
9 Ronivaldo Ronivaldo 2 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 9.70
18 S. Weissman S. Weissman 2 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
14 C. Cvetko C. Cvetko 9' M 6.30
23 David Bumberger David Bumberger 1 👟 10' D 7.00
5 I. Dahlqvist I. Dahlqvist 10' M 6.60
16 M. Moormann M. Moormann D
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 3-4-3
40
G 5.50
14 D. Kubatta D. Kubatta 68' D 5.90
5 J. Lawrence J. Lawrence D 5.30
23 M. Boras M. Boras D 6.30
20 B. Böckle B. Böckle 68' M 5.90
30 M. Taferner M. Taferner M 7.30
4 V. Müller V. Müller M 6.60
17 Johannes Naschberger Johannes Naschberger M 6.30
37 M. Wels M. Wels 68' F 6.50
10 T. Sabitzer T. Sabitzer 45' F 6.20
8 N. Frederiksen N. Frederiksen 81' F 6.50
Bench
3 D. Gugganig D. Gugganig 22' D 6.30
16 L. Hinterseer L. Hinterseer 45' F 6.70
6 Lukas Sulzbacher Lukas Sulzbacher D
Best on the pitch
Ronivaldo
Ronivaldo
F · FC
9.70
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 18 pass
Dominik Reiter
Dominik Reiter
M · FC
8.00
1 👟
· 24 pass
S. Weissman
S. Weissman
F · FC
7.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
N. Maier
N. Maier
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 47 pass
M. Taferner
M. Taferner
M · WSG
7.30
· 44 pass
D · FC
7.20
· 65 pass
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 31 17%
Fabio Strauss D 75 6.90 47 40%
D 90 7.20 65 55% 2
A. Pašić D 90 6.30 44 32%
S. Pirkl M 84 6.60 24 13%
A. Briedl M 85 7.20 44 34% 2 1
S. Seidl M 90 6.30 1 39 28% 3
Dominik Reiter M 84 8.00 1 24 19% 5
N. Maier F 90 7.60 1 2 47 37% 1
Ronivaldo F 75 9.70 2 1 4 18 13%
S. Weissman F 90 7.90 2 2 24 19% 1
C. Cvetko M 9 6.30 8 5%
David Bumberger D 10 7.00 1 5 4%
I. Dahlqvist M 10 6.60 1 1% 1
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.50 25 13%
D. Kubatta D 68 5.90 41 30% 2
J. Lawrence D 90 5.30 43 35% 2 1
M. Boras D 90 6.30 46 32% 2
B. Böckle M 68 5.90 28 13% 1
M. Taferner M 90 7.30 44 39% 8
V. Müller M 90 6.60 62 56% 1
Johannes Naschberger M 90 6.30 15 11% 3
M. Wels F 68 6.50 11 7% 1
T. Sabitzer F 45 6.20 9 7% 1
N. Frederiksen F 81 6.50 24 16% 1 1
D. Gugganig D 22 6.30 22 19%
L. Hinterseer F 45 6.70 7 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC BW Linz vs WSG Wattens?
The final score was FC BW Linz 5–0 WSG Wattens.
What did the model predict before FC BW Linz vs WSG Wattens?
The model assigned 26% probability to a FC BW Linz win, 17% to a draw, and 56% to an WSG Wattens win.