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Model wrong — prediction WSG Wattens, result FC BW Linz wins
S. Weissman 41' (pen.)
Ronivaldo 45' (pen.)
S. Weissman (ast. Ronivaldo) 61'
Ronivaldo (ast. D. Reiter) 67'
N. Maier (ast. D. Bumberger) 87'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave WSG Wattens a 56% win probability (draw 17%, FC BW Linz 26%). The final result was FC BW Linz 5–0 WSG Wattens. In 3 previous meetings, FC BW Linz have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for WSG Wattens.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
0
6
Shots on target
0
3.13
Actual xG
0.16
0
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
40'
40'
Jamie Lawrence
S. Weissman (pen.)
41'
45'+1
Benjamin Böckle
45'+4
Ronivaldo (pen.)
45'
46'
L. Hinterseer / T. Sabitzer
Alexander Briedl
51'
54'
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen
S. Weissman · ast. Ronivaldo
61'
Ronivaldo · ast. D. Reiter
67'
68'
T. Geris / B. Bockle
68'
D. Gugganig / D. Kubatta
68'
T. Anselm / M. Wels
Ronivaldo / Joao Luiz
75'
F. Strauss / D. Riegler
75'
81'
Y. Votter / N. Baden Frederiksen
D. Reiter / I. Dahlqvist
84'
S. Pirkl / D. Bumberger
84'
A. Briedl / C. Cvetko
85'
N. Maier · ast. D. Bumberger
87'
Pre-match prediction
26.05%
FC ←
17.89%
X
56.06%
WSG
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC BW Linz) 26.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
0.64
3.13
+2.49
WSG
2.21
0.16
-2.05
FC BW Linz dominated by xG (3.13 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 3-4-1-2
58
G 6.50
2 Fabio Strauss Fabio Strauss 75' D 6.90
15
D 7.20
17 A. Pašić A. Pašić D 6.30
60 S. Pirkl S. Pirkl 84' M 6.60
19 Alexander Briedl Alexander Briedl 85' M 7.20
20 Simon Seidl Simon Seidl M 6.30
29 Dominik Reiter Dominik Reiter 1 👟 84' M 8.00
30 Nico Maier Nico Maier 1 ⚽ F 7.60
9 Ronivaldo Ronivaldo 2 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 9.70
18
Shon Weissman 2 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
14 Christopher Cvetko Christopher Cvetko 9' M 6.30
23 David Bumberger David Bumberger 1 👟 10' D 7.00
5
Isak Dahlqvist 10' M 6.60
16
Martin Moormann D
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 3-4-3
40
G 5.50
14 D. Kubatta D. Kubatta 68' D 5.90
5 Jamie Lawrence Jamie Lawrence D 5.30
23 M. Boras M. Boras D 6.30
20
B. Bockle 68' M 5.90
30 M. Taferner M. Taferner M 7.30
4 V. Müller V. Müller M 6.60
17 Johannes Naschberger Johannes Naschberger M 6.30
37 Moritz Wels Moritz Wels 68' F 6.50
10 Thomas Sabitzer Thomas Sabitzer 45' F 6.20
8 N. Frederiksen N. Frederiksen 81' F 6.50
Bench
3 David Gugganig David Gugganig 22' D 6.30
16 Lukas Hinterseer Lukas Hinterseer 45' F 6.70
6 Lukas Sulzbacher Lukas Sulzbacher D
Best on the pitch
Ronivaldo
Ronivaldo
F · FC
9.70
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 18 pass
Dominik Reiter
Dominik Reiter
M · FC
8.00
1 👟
· 24 pass
Shon Weissman
F · FC
7.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
Nico Maier
Nico Maier
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 47 pass
M. Taferner
M. Taferner
M · WSG
7.30
· 44 pass
D · FC
7.20
· 65 pass
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 31 17%
Fabio Strauss D 75 6.90 47 40%
D 90 7.20 65 55% 2
A. Pašić D 90 6.30 44 32%
S. Pirkl M 84 6.60 24 13%
Alexander Briedl M 85 7.20 44 34% 2 1
Simon Seidl M 90 6.30 1 39 28% 3
Dominik Reiter M 84 8.00 1 24 19% 5
Nico Maier F 90 7.60 1 2 47 37% 1
Ronivaldo F 75 9.70 2 1 4 18 13%
Shon Weissman F 90 7.90 2 2 24 19% 1
Christopher Cvetko M 9 6.30 8 5%
David Bumberger D 10 7.00 1 5 4%
Isak Dahlqvist M 10 6.60 1 1% 1
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.50 25 13%
D. Kubatta D 68 5.90 41 30% 2
Jamie Lawrence D 90 5.30 43 35% 2 1
M. Boras D 90 6.30 46 32% 2
B. Bockle M 68 5.90 28 13% 1
M. Taferner M 90 7.30 44 39% 8
V. Müller M 90 6.60 62 56% 1
Johannes Naschberger M 90 6.30 15 11% 3
Moritz Wels F 68 6.50 11 7% 1
Thomas Sabitzer F 45 6.20 9 7% 1
N. Frederiksen F 81 6.50 24 16% 1 1
David Gugganig D 22 6.30 22 19%
Lukas Hinterseer F 45 6.70 7 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC BW Linz vs WSG Wattens?
The final score was FC BW Linz 5–0 WSG Wattens.
What did the model predict before FC BW Linz vs WSG Wattens?
The model assigned 26% probability to a FC BW Linz win, 17% to a draw, and 56% to an WSG Wattens win.