Guilherme Castilho
89'
(pen.)
43'
(ast. M. El Ghezouani)
K. Castaneda
52'
R. Arciga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Juarez a 54% win probability (draw 21%, Club Tijuana 23%). The final result was FC Juarez 1–2 Club Tijuana. In 2 previous meetings, FC Juarez have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Club Tijuana.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
17
1
Shots on target
6
2.87
Actual xG
1.57
4
Saves
0
38%
Possession
62%
5
Corners
9
9
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Monchu
4'
11'
I. Tona
30'
A. Gomez
43'
ast. M. El Ghezouani ·
K. Castaneda⚽
46'
D. Blanco
/
A. Perez
52'
R. Arciga⚽
O. Estupinan
/ Guilherme Castilho
61'
Puma
/ E. Ayon
61'
62'
G. Mora
/
I. Tona
R. Pizarro
/ H. E. Martinez Yepez
62'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
/ L. Dupuy
62'
71'
D. Abreu
/
M. El Ghezouani
71'
A. Preciado
/
R. Arciga
D. Garcia
/ Madson
77'
81'
F. Boya
/
K. Castaneda
H. E. Martinez Yepez
84'
⚽Guilherme Castilho
(pen.)
89'
J. Murillo
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
54.61%
FC
21.99%
X
23.4%
Club ←
we assigned to the actual result (Club Tijuana)
23.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
2.87
+0.93
0.88
1.57
+0.69
FC Juarez dominated by xG (2.87 vs 1.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Sebastián Jurado
G
Sebastián Jurado
G
4
D
26
D
2
Jesús Murillo
D
Jesús Murillo
D
22
Javier Aquino
D
Javier Aquino
D
6
Monchu
4'
M
Monchu
4'
M
5
Denzell Garcia
77'
M
Denzell Garcia
77'
M
11
J. Rodríguez
61'
M
J. Rodríguez
61'
M
10
R. Pizarro
62'
M
R. Pizarro
62'
M
20
J. Torres
62'
M
J. Torres
62'
M
19
Óscar Estupiñán
61'
F
Óscar Estupiñán
61'
F
Bench
237
E. Lopez
M
29
Ettson Ayón
29'
F
Ettson Ayón
29'
F
8
Guilherme Castilho
1 ⚽
29'
M
Guilherme Castilho
1 ⚽
29'
M
18
Homer Martinez
28'
M
Homer Martinez
28'
M
17
Luca Martínez Dupuy
28'
F
Luca Martínez Dupuy
28'
F
9
Madson de Souza Silva
13'
F
Madson de Souza Silva
13'
F
13
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
Raymundo Fulgencio
M
2
G
33
Pablo Nicolás Ortíz
D
Pablo Nicolás Ortíz
D
6
Jesús Gómez
D
Jesús Gómez
D
12
D
3
Rafael Fernández
D
Rafael Fernández
D
8
Iván Tona
62'
M
Iván Tona
62'
M
10
Kevin Castañeda
1 ⚽
81'
M
Kevin Castañeda
1 ⚽
81'
M
26
Aldahir Pérez
45'
M
Aldahir Pérez
45'
M
22
José Rivero
M
José Rivero
M
17
R. Árciga
1 ⚽
71'
M
R. Árciga
1 ⚽
71'
M
9
Mourad
1 👟
71'
F
Mourad
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
20
Ángel Zapata
M
Ángel Zapata
M
31
Diego Abreu
19'
F
Diego Abreu
19'
F
27
Domingo Blanco
45'
M
Domingo Blanco
45'
M
19
Gilberto Mora
28'
M
Gilberto Mora
28'
M
30
J. Martinez
F
Best on the pitch
Kevin Castañeda
M · Club
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
Jesús Gómez
D · Club
7.70
2 shots
· 91 pass
Sebastián Jurado
G · FC
7.50
· 29 pass
D · Club
7.50
2 shots
· 58 pass
Guilherme Castilho
M · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Mourad
F · Club
7.20
1 👟
· 5 pass
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Jurado | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jesús Murillo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | 1 |
| Javier Aquino | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 4 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| Denzell Garcia | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Óscar Estupiñán | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ettson Ayón | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 29 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Homer Martinez | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luca Martínez Dupuy | F | 28 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Madson de Souza Silva | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Club Tijuana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Pablo Nicolás Ortíz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Jesús Gómez | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 91 | 85% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 56% | 3 | — | — | |
| Rafael Fernández | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Tona | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Castañeda | M | 81 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Aldahir Pérez | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| José Rivero | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Árciga | M | 71 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Mourad | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego Abreu | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Domingo Blanco | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Mora | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
The final score was FC Juarez 1–2 Club Tijuana.
What did the model predict before FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
The model assigned 54% probability to a FC Juarez win, 21% to a draw, and 23% to an Club Tijuana win.