Liga MX
· Clausura - 14
April 11, 2026 05:06
Guilherme Castilho
89'
(pen.)
43'
(ast. M. El Ghezouani)
K. Castaneda
52'
R. Arciga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Juarez a 54% win probability (draw 21%, Club Tijuana 23%). The final result was FC Juarez 1–2 Club Tijuana. In 2 previous meetings, FC Juarez have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Club Tijuana.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
17
1
Shots on target
6
2.87
Actual xG
1.57
4
Saves
0
38%
Possession
62%
5
Corners
9
9
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Monchu
4'
11'
I. Tona
30'
A. Gomez
43'
ast. M. El Ghezouani ·
K. Castaneda⚽
46'
D. Blanco
/
A. Perez
52'
R. Arciga⚽
O. Estupinan
/ Guilherme Castilho
61'
Puma
/ E. Ayon
61'
62'
G. Mora
/
I. Tona
R. Pizarro
/ H. E. Martinez Yepez
62'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
/ L. Dupuy
62'
71'
D. Abreu
/
M. El Ghezouani
71'
A. Preciado
/
R. Arciga
D. Garcia
/ Madson
77'
81'
F. Boya
/
K. Castaneda
H. E. Martinez Yepez
84'
⚽Guilherme Castilho
(pen.)
89'
J. Murillo
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
54.61%
FC
21.99%
X
23.4%
Club ←
we assigned to the actual result (Club Tijuana)
23.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
2.87
+0.93
0.88
1.57
+0.69
FC Juarez dominated by xG (2.87 vs 1.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Jurado
G
4
D
26
D
2
J. Murillo
D
22
J. Aquino
D
6
Monchu
4'
M
5
D. Garcia
77'
M
11
Puma
61'
M
10
R. Pizarro
62'
M
20
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.
62'
M
19
O. Estupinan
61'
F
Bench
29
E. Ayon
29'
F
237
E. Lopez
M
8
Guilherme Castilho
1 ⚽
29'
M
18
H. E. Martinez Yepez
28'
M
17
L. Dupuy
28'
F
9
Madson
13'
F
13
R. Fulgencio
M
2
G
33
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
D
6
A. Gomez
D
12
D
3
R. Inzunza
D
8
I. Tona
62'
M
10
K. Castaneda
1 ⚽
81'
M
26
A. Perez
45'
M
22
I. Rivero
M
17
R. Arciga
1 ⚽
71'
M
9
M. El Ghezouani
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
20
A. Zapata
M
31
D. Abreu
19'
F
27
D. Blanco
45'
M
19
G. Mora
28'
M
30
J. Martinez
F
Best on the pitch
K. Castaneda
M · Club
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
A. Gomez
D · Club
7.70
2 shots
· 91 pass
S. Jurado
G · FC
7.50
· 29 pass
D · Club
7.50
2 shots
· 58 pass
Guilherme Castilho
M · FC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
M. El Ghezouani
F · Club
7.20
1 👟
· 5 pass
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jurado | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Murillo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Aquino | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Monchu | M | 4 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| D. Garcia | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Puma | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pizarro | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. M. Torres Ramirez I. | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Estupinan | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ayon | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Castilho | M | 29 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| H. E. Martinez Yepez | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Dupuy | F | 28 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Madson | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Club Tijuana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| P. N. Ortiz Orozco | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Gomez | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 91 | 85% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 56% | 3 | — | — | |
| R. Inzunza | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Tona | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Castaneda | M | 81 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| A. Perez | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| I. Rivero | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Arciga | M | 71 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. El Ghezouani | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Abreu | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Blanco | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Mora | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
The final score was FC Juarez 1–2 Club Tijuana.
What did the model predict before FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
The model assigned 54% probability to a FC Juarez win, 21% to a draw, and 23% to an Club Tijuana win.