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FC Lugano - NSI Runavik

Conference League August 06, 2026 20:30
FC Lugano
vs
NSI Runavik
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.29%
Win
FC Lugano
22.84%
Draw
23.87%
Win
NSI Runavik
2.05
Expected xG
1.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.76%)
1X2 Result ✓ 76.9% hit rate (13 picks)
1 53%
X 23%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 47%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Lugano a 53% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 23% for NSI Runavik. Expected goals are 2.0 for FC Lugano and 1.2 for NSI Runavik (total 3.2), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.76% probability.

Season Stats

FC Lugano
3W 0D 1L
NSI Runavik
3W 1D 2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.5
2.0
Conceded
1.5
6.0
Shots OT
—
4.0
Corners
—
58%
Poss.
—
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
33%
25%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
FC Lugano
1W 0D 1L · at home
NSI Runavik
2W 0D 1L · away
0.5
gls/g
1.3
2.5
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
67%
50%
Win or Draw
67%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
O 3.5
33%
0%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
50%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FC Lugano NSI Runavik →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.2% 9.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 6.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

FC Lugano FC Lugano
W Dukagjini 1–5
W Dukagjini 1–0
W Celje 2–4
L Celje 0–5
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
NSI Runavik NSI Runavik
W Koper 0–2
L Koper 0–2
W Hamrun Spartans 1–2
D Hamrun Spartans 1–1
L HJK Helsinki 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

FC Lugano FC Lugano
Attack
53
Defence
78
Form
76
NSI Runavik NSI Runavik
Attack
37
Defence
78
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?
The model gives FC Lugano a 53% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 23% for an NSI Runavik win.
How many goals are expected in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?
Expected goals: FC Lugano 2.0, NSI Runavik 1.2 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.76%.