✓Model correct — prediction FC ST. Gallen
L. Gortler
33'
(pen.)
A. Vogt
(ast. C. Okoroji)
76'
36'
(ast. P. P. Keny)
I. Cavaleiro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC ST. Gallen a 75% win probability (draw 14%, FC Zurich 9%). The final result was FC ST. Gallen 2–1 FC Zurich. In 3 previous meetings, FC ST. Gallen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Zurich.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
2.31
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
12
Corners
2
12
Tackles
24
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
32'
S. Walker
⚽L. Gortler
(pen.)
33'
36'
ast. P. P. Keny ·
I. Cavaleiro⚽
38'
C. Tsawa
46'
C. Kablan
/
S. Walker
C. Witzig
/ N. Weibel
46'
56'
V. Berisha
L. Gortler
59'
59'
M. Reichmuth
/
V. Berisha
A. Balde
63'
D. Besio
/ A. Vogt
67'
A. Balde
/ M. Efekele
67'
L. Daschner
68'
68'
D. Reverson
75'
S. Hodza
/
C. Kablan
⚽A. Vogt
· ast. C. Okoroji
76'
79'
I. Cavaleiro
82'
J. Perea
/
D. Reverson
82'
U. Emmanuel
/
I. Cavaleiro
83'
M. Reichmuth
M. Efekele
/ C. Konietzke
87'
L. Daschner
/ M. Stevanovic
90'
Pre-match prediction
75.57%
FC ←
14.73%
X
9.7%
FC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC ST. Gallen)
75.57%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.89
2.31
-0.58
0.93
0.62
-0.31
FC ST. Gallen dominated by xG (2.31 vs 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
36
C. Okoroji
1 👟
D
C. Okoroji
1 👟
D
4
J. Stanić
D
J. Stanić
D
26
D
10
L. Daschner
89'
M
L. Daschner
89'
M
7
C. Witzig
45'
M
C. Witzig
45'
M
11
C. Boukhalfa
M
C. Boukhalfa
M
16
L. Görtler
1 ⚽
M
L. Görtler
1 ⚽
M
28
H. Vandermersch
M
H. Vandermersch
M
14
A. Balde
67'
F
A. Balde
67'
F
69
D. Besio
67'
F
D. Besio
67'
F
Bench
18
A. Vogt
1 ⚽
23'
F
A. Vogt
1 ⚽
23'
F
3
C. Kleine-Bekel
D
C. Kleine-Bekel
D
63
C. Konietzke
9'
M
C. Konietzke
9'
M
21
Malamine Efekele
20'
F
Malamine Efekele
20'
F
66
Nino Weibel
45'
M
Nino Weibel
45'
M
1
Silas Huber
G
Silas Huber
G
27
Ilan Sauter
D
Ilan Sauter
D
42
A. Hack
D
A. Hack
D
2
D
44
S. Walker
45'
M
S. Walker
45'
M
15
Nelson Palacio
M
Nelson Palacio
M
23
V. Berisha
59'
M
V. Berisha
59'
M
6
C. Tsawa
M
C. Tsawa
M
8
Ivan Cavaleiro
1 ⚽
82'
F
Ivan Cavaleiro
1 ⚽
82'
F
29
D. Reverson
82'
F
D. Reverson
82'
F
19
P. Keny
1 👟
F
P. Keny
1 👟
F
Bench
9
J. Perea
8'
F
J. Perea
8'
F
38
M. Reichmuth
31'
M
M. Reichmuth
31'
M
14
N. Di Giusto
M
N. Di Giusto
M
32
S. Hodža
15'
D
S. Hodža
15'
D
Best on the pitch
V. Berisha
M · FC
7.90
· 22 pass
P. Keny
F · FC
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 22 pass
L. Görtler
M · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
Nino Weibel
M · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 13 pass
D. Besio
F · FC
7.30
· 12 pass
G · FC
7.20
· 27 pass
FC ST. Gallen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| C. Okoroji | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stanić | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Daschner | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Witzig | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Boukhalfa | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Görtler | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Vandermersch | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Balde | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Besio | F | 67 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Vogt | F | 23 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Konietzke | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Malamine Efekele | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nino Weibel | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
FC Zurich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Huber | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Ilan Sauter | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hack | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Walker | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nelson Palacio | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Berisha | M | 59 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Tsawa | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Ivan Cavaleiro | F | 82 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Reverson | F | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Keny | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Perea | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Reichmuth | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Hodža | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich?
The final score was FC ST. Gallen 2–1 FC Zurich.
What did the model predict before FC ST. Gallen vs FC Zurich?
The model assigned 75% probability to a FC ST. Gallen win, 14% to a draw, and 9% to an FC Zurich win.