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Talisca 28'
Talisca (ast. Fred) 57'
Talisca (ast. Fred) 72'
36' (ast. K. Karatas) A. Harit
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 49% win probability (draw 20%, Başakşehir 29%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 3–1 Başakşehir. In 1 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Başakşehir.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
4
2.05
Actual xG
0.89
3
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
10
Corners
2
11
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Talisca
28'
36'
ast. K. Karatas · A. Harit⚽
J. Oosterwolde
45'+2
45'+3
J. Opoku
46'
O. Ba / J. Opoku ↕
46'
O. Ba
⚽Talisca · ast. Fred
57'
61'
I. Brnic / A. Harit ↕
61'
D. Selke / B. Yildirim ↕
61'
O. Ergun / U. Gunes ↕
↕ A. Musaba / O. Aydin
66'
⚽Talisca · ast. Fred
72'
74'
N. Da Costa / E. Shomurodov ↕
N. Kante
82'
↕ Talisca / S. Cherif
82'
↕ Fred / E. Alvarez
90'
Pre-match prediction
49.35%
Fenerbahçe ←
20.77%
X
29.88%
Başakşehir
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe) 49.35% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fenerbahçe
2.03
2.05
+0.02
Başakşehir
1.65
0.89
-0.76
Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (2.05 vs 0.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Amed Amed 6 13
2 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6 13
3 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 6 12
4 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 6 12
5 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 6 11
6 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 6 10
7 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 6 10
8 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 6 10
9 Rizespor Rizespor 6 10
10 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 6 8
11 Çorum FK Çorum FK 6 7
12 Başakşehir Başakşehir 6 7
13 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 6 7
14 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 6 7
15 Konyaspor Konyaspor 6 4
16 Samsunspor Samsunspor 6 4
17 Göztepe Göztepe 6 3
18 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 6 3
Lineups
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
34
G 6.50
22 Levent Mercan Levent Mercan D 6.20
24 Jayden Oosterwolde Jayden Oosterwolde D 8.30
4 Çağlar Söyüncü Çağlar Söyüncü D 6.90
27 Nélson Semedo Nélson Semedo D 6.70
17 N'Golo Kanté N'Golo Kanté M 7.00
5 İ. Yüksek İ. Yüksek M 7.50
9 K. Aktürkoğlu K. Aktürkoğlu M 6.60
7 Fred Fred 2 👟 89' M 7.70
20 A. Musaba A. Musaba 66' M 5.70
94 Talisca Talisca 3 ⚽ 82' F 9.70
Bench
21 Marco Asensio Marco Asensio M
37 M. Škriniar M. Škriniar D
26 S. Cherif S. Cherif 8' F 6.30
Başakşehir Başakşehir 4-2-3-1
16
G 9.20
88
1 👟 D 6.70
3
J. Opoku 45' D 6.50
5 Léo Duarte Léo Duarte D 6.70
42 Ömer Ali Şahiner Ömer Ali Şahiner D 6.30
20 Umut Güneş Umut Güneş 61' M 6.50
8 O. Kemen O. Kemen M 7.60
25 A. Harit A. Harit 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.90
14 E. Shomurodov E. Shomurodov 74' M 6.30
7 Yusuf Sarı Yusuf Sarı M 6.70
91 B. Yıldırım B. Yıldırım 61' F 6.30
Bench
11
Abbosbek Fayzullaev M
9 Davie Selke Davie Selke 29' F 6.20
77 Ivan Brnić Ivan Brnić 29' F 6.70
13 Miguel Crespo Miguel Crespo M
27 Ousseynou Ba Ousseynou Ba 45' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
Talisca
Talisca
F · Fenerbahçe
9.70
3 ⚽
6 shots · 18 pass
G · Başakşehir
9.20
· 54 pass
Jayden Oosterwolde
Jayden Oosterwolde
D · Fenerbahçe
8.30
1 shots · 38 pass
A. Harit
A. Harit
M · Başakşehir
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Fred
Fred
M · Fenerbahçe
7.70
2 👟
3 shots · 49 pass
O. Kemen
O. Kemen
M · Başakşehir
7.60
1 shots · 52 pass
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 31 16% — — —
Levent Mercan D 90 6.20 — — — 36 30% 1 — —
Jayden Oosterwolde D 90 8.30 — — 1 38 33% — 1 —
Çağlar Söyüncü D 90 6.90 — — — 44 40% 1 — —
Nélson Semedo D 90 6.70 — — — 35 30% 1 — —
N'Golo Kanté M 90 7.00 — — — 50 48% 1 1 —
İ. Yüksek M 90 7.50 — — 1 41 36% 5 — —
K. Aktürkoğlu M 90 6.60 — — — 33 25% 1 — —
Fred M 89 7.70 — 2 3 49 39% 1 — —
A. Musaba M 66 5.70 — — 3 17 12% — — —
Talisca F 82 9.70 3 — 6 18 15% — — —
S. Cherif F 8 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Başakşehir Başakşehir — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.20 — — — 54 40% — — —
D 90 6.70 — 1 1 46 37% 3 — —
J. Opoku D 45 6.50 — — — 18 16% — 1 —
Léo Duarte D 90 6.70 — — — 51 49% 1 — —
Ömer Ali Şahiner D 90 6.30 — — — 30 26% 1 — —
Umut Güneş M 61 6.50 — — — 26 22% 2 — —
O. Kemen M 90 7.60 — — 1 52 47% 1 — —
A. Harit M 61 7.90 1 — 1 23 18% 3 — —
E. Shomurodov M 74 6.30 — — 2 18 9% 1 — —
Yusuf Sarı M 90 6.70 — — 1 33 29% — — —
B. Yıldırım F 61 6.30 — — 1 13 6% — — —
Davie Selke F 29 6.20 — — 3 5 3% — — —
Ivan Brnić F 29 6.70 — — 2 7 6% — — —
Ousseynou Ba D 45 6.20 — — — 24 24% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir?
The final score was Fenerbahçe 3–1 Başakşehir.
What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 20% to a draw, and 29% to an Başakşehir win.