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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 19:00 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Fenerbahçe
#2 · 74 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Başakşehir
#5 · 57 pts
Talisca 28'
Talisca (ast. Fred) 57'
Talisca (ast. Fred) 72'
36' (ast. K. Karatas) A. Harit
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 49% win probability (draw 20%, Başakşehir 29%). The final result was Fenerbahçe 3–1 Başakşehir. In 1 previous meetings, Fenerbahçe have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Başakşehir.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
4
2.05
Actual xG
0.89
3
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
10
Corners
2
11
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Talisca
28'
36'
ast. K. Karatas · A. Harit⚽
J. Oosterwolde
45'+2
45'+3
J. Opoku
46'
O. Ba / J. Opoku ↕
46'
O. Ba
⚽Talisca · ast. Fred
57'
61'
I. Brnic / A. Harit ↕
61'
D. Selke / B. Yildirim ↕
61'
O. Ergun / U. Gunes ↕
↕ A. Musaba / O. Aydin
66'
⚽Talisca · ast. Fred
72'
74'
N. Da Costa / E. Shomurodov ↕
N. Kante
82'
↕ Talisca / S. Cherif
82'
↕ Fred / E. Alvarez
90'
Pre-match prediction
49.35%
Fenerbahçe ←
20.77%
X
29.88%
Başakşehir
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe) 49.35% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fenerbahçe
2.03
2.05
+0.02
Başakşehir
1.65
0.89
-0.76
Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (2.05 vs 0.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray 34 77
2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 34 74
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 34 69
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 34 60
5 Başakşehir Başakşehir 34 57
6 Göztepe Göztepe 34 55
7 Samsunspor Samsunspor 34 51
8 Rizespor Rizespor 34 41
9 Konyaspor Konyaspor 34 40
10 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 34 37
11 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 34 37
12 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 34 37
13 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 34 35
14 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 34 34
15 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 34 33
16 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 34 32
17 Kayserispor Kayserispor 34 30
18 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 34 30
Lineups
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
34
G 6.50
22 Levent Mercan Levent Mercan D 6.20
24 J. Oosterwolde J. Oosterwolde D 8.30
4 Ç. Söyüncü Ç. Söyüncü D 6.90
27 Nélson Semedo Nélson Semedo D 6.70
17 N'Golo Kanté N'Golo Kanté M 7.00
5 İ. Yüksek İ. Yüksek M 7.50
9 K. Aktürkoğlu K. Aktürkoğlu M 6.60
7 Fred Fred 2 👟 89' M 7.70
20 Anthony Musaba Anthony Musaba 66' M 5.70
94 Talisca Talisca 3 ⚽ 82' F 9.70
Bench
21 Marco Asensio Marco Asensio M
37
Milan Škriniar D
26
S. Cherif 8' F 6.30
Başakşehir Başakşehir 4-2-3-1
16
G 9.20
88
1 👟 D 6.70
3 J. Opoku J. Opoku 45' D 6.50
5
L. Duarte D 6.70
42 Ömer Ali Şahiner Ömer Ali Şahiner D 6.30
20 Umut Güneş Umut Güneş 61' M 6.50
8 Olivier Kemen Olivier Kemen M 7.60
25 Amine Harit Amine Harit 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.90
14 E. Shomurodov E. Shomurodov 74' M 6.30
7 Y. Sarı Y. Sarı M 6.70
91 B. Yıldırım B. Yıldırım 61' F 6.30
Bench
11 A. Fayzullaev A. Fayzullaev M
9 D. Selke D. Selke 29' F 6.20
77 Ivan Brnić Ivan Brnić 29' F 6.70
13 Miguel Crespo Miguel Crespo M
27 Ousseynou Ba Ousseynou Ba 45' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
Talisca
Talisca
F · Fenerbahçe
9.70
3 ⚽
6 shots · 18 pass
G · Başakşehir
9.20
· 54 pass
J. Oosterwolde
J. Oosterwolde
D · Fenerbahçe
8.30
1 shots · 38 pass
Amine Harit
Amine Harit
M · Başakşehir
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Fred
Fred
M · Fenerbahçe
7.70
2 👟
3 shots · 49 pass
Olivier Kemen
Olivier Kemen
M · Başakşehir
7.60
1 shots · 52 pass
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 31 16% — — —
Levent Mercan D 90 6.20 — — — 36 30% 1 — —
J. Oosterwolde D 90 8.30 — — 1 38 33% — 1 —
Ç. Söyüncü D 90 6.90 — — — 44 40% 1 — —
Nélson Semedo D 90 6.70 — — — 35 30% 1 — —
N'Golo Kanté M 90 7.00 — — — 50 48% 1 1 —
İ. Yüksek M 90 7.50 — — 1 41 36% 5 — —
K. Aktürkoğlu M 90 6.60 — — — 33 25% 1 — —
Fred M 89 7.70 — 2 3 49 39% 1 — —
Anthony Musaba M 66 5.70 — — 3 17 12% — — —
Talisca F 82 9.70 3 — 6 18 15% — — —
S. Cherif F 8 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Başakşehir Başakşehir — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.20 — — — 54 40% — — —
D 90 6.70 — 1 1 46 37% 3 — —
J. Opoku D 45 6.50 — — — 18 16% — 1 —
L. Duarte D 90 6.70 — — — 51 49% 1 — —
Ömer Ali Şahiner D 90 6.30 — — — 30 26% 1 — —
Umut Güneş M 61 6.50 — — — 26 22% 2 — —
Olivier Kemen M 90 7.60 — — 1 52 47% 1 — —
Amine Harit M 61 7.90 1 — 1 23 18% 3 — —
E. Shomurodov M 74 6.30 — — 2 18 9% 1 — —
Y. Sarı M 90 6.70 — — 1 33 29% — — —
B. Yıldırım F 61 6.30 — — 1 13 6% — — —
D. Selke F 29 6.20 — — 3 5 3% — — —
Ivan Brnić F 29 6.70 — — 2 7 6% — — —
Ousseynou Ba D 45 6.20 — — — 24 24% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir?
The final score was Fenerbahçe 3–1 Başakşehir.
What did the model predict before Fenerbahçe vs Başakşehir?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Fenerbahçe win, 20% to a draw, and 29% to an Başakşehir win.