Finland - San Marino
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
15.4°C
💨 12 km/h
· Tochigi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
80.77%
Win
Finland
15.19%
Draw
4.04%
Win
San Marino
2.3
0.3
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Finland
80.77%
Probability
62.9%
1X2 accuracy · 35 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–0
(19.71%)
1X2 Result
1
81%
X
15%
2
4%
Double Chance
1X
96%
X2
19%
12
85%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Finland a 80% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 4% for San Marino. Expected goals are 2.3 for Finland and 0.3 for San Marino (total 2.6), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 19.71% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Finland have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Marino.
Season Stats
2W
1D
7L
2W
1D
5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.8
1.5
Conceded
2.4
2.9
Shots OT
2.8
4.3
Corners
3.3
53%
Poss.
40%
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
63%
30%
BTTS
38%
20%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
1W
1D
3L
· at home
1W
0D
3L
· away
0.8
gls/g
1.0
1.6
Conceded
2.0
20%
Win %
25%
40%
Win or Draw
25%
80%
O 1.5
75%
60%
O 2.5
75%
20%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
40%
Failed to Score
50%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Finland
San Marino →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 1 | 17.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 19.7% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 15.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Finland
Attack
35
Defence
73
Form
36
San Marino
Attack
17
Defence
32
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League C - Group A
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albania
|
4 | 9 |
| 2 |
Belarus
|
4 | 7 |
| 3 |
Finland
|
4 | 7 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
4 | 0 |
What's at stake · League C - Group A
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #4 |
| → Finland | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #2 | #4 |
| → San Marino | #2 | #4 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Finland vs San Marino?
The model gives Finland a 80% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 4% for an San Marino win.
How many goals are expected in Finland vs San Marino?
Expected goals: Finland 2.3, San Marino 0.3 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Finland vs San Marino?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.71%.