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Fluminense - Palmeiras

Copa Libertadores October 13, 2026 22:00 Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Shintomi
Fluminense
#2 · 8 pts
vs
Palmeiras
#2 · 11 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.8%
Win
Fluminense
29.61%
Draw
36.58%
Win
Palmeiras
0.96
Expected xG
1.03

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (14.82%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 30%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 66%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 59%
Over 2.5 32%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fluminense. Expected goals are 1.0 for Fluminense and 1.0 for Palmeiras (total 2.0), with a 59% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.82% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Fluminense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.

Season Stats

Fluminense
3W 4D 3L
Palmeiras
5W 3D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.5
1.0
Conceded
0.9
3.9
Shots OT
5.6
3.1
Corners
6.4
63%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Fluminense
3W 1D 1L · at home
Palmeiras
2W 2D 1L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.4
0.8
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
20%
20%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Fluminense Palmeiras →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8% 14.2% 7.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.3% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Fluminense Fluminense
L Platense 2–1
W Platense 2–0
D Independ. Rivadavia 1–1
D Independ. Rivadavia 0–0
W Deportivo La Guaira 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 41%
Palmeiras Palmeiras
L LDU de Quito 3–2
W LDU de Quito 1–0
W Cerro Porteno 0–1
D Cerro Porteno 1–1
W Junior 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 41%

Playing profile

Fluminense Fluminense
Attack
36
Defence
62
Form
56
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
45
Defence
78
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Fluminense
0
Draw
1
Palmeiras
15 Aug 2026 Brasileirão Série A 3–2
26 Feb 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The model gives Fluminense a 33% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Palmeiras win.
How many goals are expected in Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Expected goals: Fluminense 1.0, Palmeiras 1.0 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 59%.
What is the most likely score in Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.82%.