Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 5
April 20, 2026 01:00
Luiz Fernando
8'
Ruan Carvalho
29'
(og)
Bruno Alves
77'
(og)
13'
(ast. Nicolas)
Fellipe Mateus
50'
(ast. Romarinho)
Bruno Alves
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Criciuma a 33% win probability (draw 34%, Fortaleza EC 32%). The final result was Fortaleza EC 3–2 Criciuma. In 1 previous meetings, Fortaleza EC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Criciuma.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
0.59
Actual xG
0.93
0
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
3
10
Tackles
6
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Luiz Fernando
8'
13'
ast. Nicolas ·
Fellipe Mateus⚽
⚽Ruan Carvalho
(og)
29'
Lucas Emanoel
32'
Ryan
48'
50'
ast. Romarinho ·
Bruno Alves⚽
56'
Marcelo Hermes
60'
Ruan Carvalho
64'
Waguininho
/
Romarinho
Pierre
/ Lucas Sasha
67'
Mauricio Junior
/ Rodriguinho
67'
71'
Hiago Alves
/
Fellipe Mateus
71'
R. Otero
/
Nicolas
Lucas Emanoel
/ Paulo Baya
77'
⚽Bruno Alves
(og)
77'
82'
Leo Mana
/
Ruan Carvalho
82'
Bidu
/
Bruno Alves
Mailton
/ Welliton
88'
Ryan
/ Ronald
88'
Rodriguinho
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
32.48%
Fortaleza ←
34.14%
X
33.38%
Criciuma
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza EC)
32.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
0.59
-0.29
0.99
0.93
-0.06
Criciuma dominated by xG (0.93 vs 0.59).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
3
Lucas Gazal
D
Lucas Gazal
D
33
Kauã Rocha
D
Kauã Rocha
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
13
Mauricio Junior
67'
M
Mauricio Junior
67'
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
88'
M
Ryan Gustavo
88'
M
5
Pierre
67'
M
Pierre
67'
M
22
Maílton
88'
M
Maílton
88'
M
32
Luiz Fernando
1 ⚽
F
Luiz Fernando
1 ⚽
F
7
T. Pochettino
F
T. Pochettino
F
19
Lucas Emanoel
77'
F
Lucas Emanoel
77'
F
Bench
88
Lucas Sasha
29'
M
Lucas Sasha
29'
M
77
Paulo Baya
19'
F
Paulo Baya
19'
F
29
Rodrigo
M
Rodrigo
M
75
Rodriguinho
29'
M
Rodriguinho
29'
M
11
Vitinho
F
Vitinho
F
32
G
4
Luciano Castán
D
Luciano Castán
D
34
Bruno Alves
2 ⚽
82'
D
Bruno Alves
2 ⚽
82'
D
43
Ruan
1 ⚽
82'
D
Ruan
1 ⚽
82'
D
22
Marcelo Hermes
M
Marcelo Hermes
M
50
Thiaguinho
M
Thiaguinho
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
M
Guilherme Lobo
M
6
Marcinho
M
Marcinho
M
7
Fellipe Mateus
1 ⚽
71'
F
Fellipe Mateus
1 ⚽
71'
F
11
Romarinho
1 👟
64'
F
Romarinho
1 👟
64'
F
9
Nicolas
1 👟
71'
F
Nicolas
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
41
Jean Irmer
M
Jean Irmer
M
91
R. Otero
25'
M
R. Otero
25'
M
13
Waguininho
32'
F
Waguininho
32'
F
Best on the pitch
Luiz Fernando
F · Fortaleza
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
G · Criciuma
7.50
· 22 pass
Fellipe Mateus
F · Criciuma
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Ryan Gustavo
M · Fortaleza
6.90
1 shots
· 33 pass
Lucas Sasha
M · Fortaleza
6.90
· 11 pass
T. Pochettino
F · Fortaleza
6.90
· 12 pass
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Rocha | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Mauricio Junior | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Ryan Gustavo | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pierre | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Maílton | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | F | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Emanoel | F | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Baya | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Luciano Castán | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Alves | D | 82 | 6.20 | 2 | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruan | D | 82 | 5.90 | 1 | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marcelo Hermes | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Thiaguinho | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme Lobo | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcinho | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Fellipe Mateus | F | 71 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Romarinho | F | 64 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Otero | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Waguininho | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza EC vs Criciuma?
The final score was Fortaleza EC 3–2 Criciuma.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza EC vs Criciuma?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Fortaleza EC win, 34% to a draw, and 33% to an Criciuma win.