Conference League
· Quarter-finals
April 09, 2026 21:00
K. Sano
(ast. S. Kawasaki)
11'
S. Posch
(ast. P. Nebel)
19'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Strasbourg 33%). The final result was FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Strasbourg.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
1.52
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
8
Corners
4
15
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Sano
· ast. S. Kawasaki
11'
⚽S. Posch
· ast. P. Nebel
19'
31'
G. Doue
64'
D. Moreira
/
M. Oyedele
64'
E. Emegha
/
G. Yassine
P. Mwene
/ N. Veratschnig
69'
N. Weiper
/ A. Sieb
69'
S. Kawasaki
/ W. Boving
70'
S. Widmer
/ K. Potulski
80'
85'
S. Nanasi
/
M. Godo
P. Nebel
/ L. Maloney
89'
S. Posch
90'+5
90'+5
D. Moreira
A. Sieb
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
40.7%
FSV ←
25.67%
X
33.63%
Strasbourg
we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05)
40.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
1.52
-0.14
1.44
1.00
-0.44
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.00).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
33
D. Batz
G
D. Batz
G
31
D. Kohr
D
D. Kohr
D
4
S. Posch
1 ⚽
D
S. Posch
1 ⚽
D
21
D. da Costa
D
D. da Costa
D
2
P. Mwene
69'
M
P. Mwene
69'
M
24
S. Kawasaki
1 👟
70'
M
S. Kawasaki
1 👟
70'
M
6
Kaishu Sano
1 ⚽
M
Kaishu Sano
1 ⚽
M
8
P. Nebel
1 👟
89'
M
P. Nebel
1 👟
89'
M
30
S. Widmer
80'
M
S. Widmer
80'
M
20
P. Tietz
F
P. Tietz
F
44
N. Weiper
69'
F
N. Weiper
69'
F
Bench
11
A. Sieb
26'
F
A. Sieb
26'
F
48
K. Potulski
15'
D
K. Potulski
15'
D
22
N. Veratschnig
26'
D
N. Veratschnig
26'
D
39
G
3
B. Chilwell
D
B. Chilwell
D
6
I. Doukouré
D
I. Doukouré
D
2
A. Omobamidele
D
A. Omobamidele
D
22
G. Doué
D
G. Doué
D
20
M. Godo
85'
M
M. Godo
85'
M
8
Maxi Oyedele
64'
M
Maxi Oyedele
64'
M
32
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
80
Gessime Yassine
64'
M
Gessime Yassine
64'
M
29
S. El Mourabet
F
S. El Mourabet
F
19
J. Enciso
F
J. Enciso
F
Bench
7
Diego Moreira
31'
F
Diego Moreira
31'
F
10
Emmanuel Emegha
31'
F
Emmanuel Emegha
31'
F
24
L. Høgsberg
D
L. Høgsberg
D
17
M. Amougou
M
M. Amougou
M
27
S. Amo-Ameyaw
F
S. Amo-Ameyaw
F
11
S. Nanasi
10'
M
S. Nanasi
10'
M
Best on the pitch
Kaishu Sano
M · FSV
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
S. Posch
D · FSV
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
N. Veratschnig
D · FSV
7.70
· 13 pass
G · Strasbourg
7.60
· 24 pass
D. Kohr
D · FSV
7.50
1 shots
· 32 pass
V. Barco
M · Strasbourg
7.30
1 shots
· 69 pass
FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Batz | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Kohr | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| S. Posch | D | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D. da Costa | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mwene | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Kawasaki | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaishu Sano | M | 95 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Nebel | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| S. Widmer | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Tietz | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Weiper | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Sieb | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Potulski | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| N. Veratschnig | D | 26 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
Strasbourg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| B. Chilwell | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Doukouré | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Omobamidele | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 75% | — | — | — |
| G. Doué | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 79% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Godo | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Maxi Oyedele | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| V. Barco | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| S. El Mourabet | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Emegha | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Nanasi | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FSV Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg?
The final score was FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before FSV Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 40% probability to a FSV Mainz 05 win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Strasbourg win.