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FYR Macedonia - Slovenia

UEFA Nations League November 16, 2026 20:45 Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki
FYR Macedonia
#4 · 0 pts
vs
Slovenia
#2 · 7 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 16.2°C 💨 16 km/h · Iwaki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
10.58%
Win
FYR Macedonia
32.61%
Draw
56.81%
Win
Slovenia
0.3
Expected xG
1.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (25.33%)
1X2 Result
1 11%
X 33%
2 57%
Double Chance
1X 43%
X2 89%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 46%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Slovenia a 56% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 10% for FYR Macedonia. Expected goals are 0.3 for FYR Macedonia and 1.2 for Slovenia (total 1.5), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 25.33% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FYR Macedonia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Slovenia.

Season Stats

FYR Macedonia
5W 1D 4L
Slovenia
5W 4D 3L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.0
2.9
Shots OT
3.7
2.8
Corners
3.4
52%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
30%
O 2.5
42%
10%
BTTS
42%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
FYR Macedonia
3W 0D 2L · at home
Slovenia
2W 2D 2L · away
0.8
gls/g
0.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
60%
Win %
33%
60%
Win or Draw
67%
60%
O 1.5
67%
20%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
40%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FYR Macedonia Slovenia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.4% 26.6% 16.5% 6.8% 2.1% 0.5%
1 6.4% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
2 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
L Switzerland 3–0
L Scotland 0–2
L Slovenia 2–0
L Switzerland 0–3
W Faroe Islands 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Slovenia Slovenia
W Scotland 1–2
L Switzerland 2–1
W FYR Macedonia 2–0
D Scotland 0–0
W Slovakia 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
Attack
3
Defence
33
Form
0
Slovenia Slovenia
Attack
32
Defence
64
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
FYR Macedonia
0
Draw
1
Slovenia
29 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League 0–2

League B - Group A

# Team G Pts
1 Switzerland Switzerland 4 12
2 Slovenia Slovenia 4 7
3 Scotland Scotland 4 4
4 FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia 4 0

What's at stake · League B - Group A

Top 2 advance to the next round

FYR Macedonia Slovenia
Current #4 #2
→ FYR Macedonia #4 #2
→ Draw #4 #2
→ Slovenia #4 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
The model gives FYR Macedonia a 10% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 56% for an Slovenia win.
How many goals are expected in FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
Expected goals: FYR Macedonia 0.3, Slovenia 1.2 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 25.33%.