Germany - Netherlands
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
16.2°C
💨 16 km/h
· Iwaki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.39%
Win
Germany
32.82%
Draw
29.79%
Win
Netherlands
1.19
1.06
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.37%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
33%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
63%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Germany a 37% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Netherlands. Expected goals are 1.2 for Germany and 1.1 for Netherlands (total 2.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.37% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Germany have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Netherlands.
Season Stats
6W
5D
3L
4W
7D
1L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.1
1.0
Conceded
1.4
5.8
Shots OT
6.2
5.6
Corners
5.8
62%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
79%
O 1.5
92%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
83%
36%
Clean Sht
8%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
36%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
4W
1D
3L
· at home
1W
4D
1L
· away
2.4
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
17%
63%
Win or Draw
83%
75%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
50%
38%
O 3.5
33%
25%
BTTS
83%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
17%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Germany
Netherlands →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.6% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Germany
Attack
42
Defence
75
Form
36
Netherlands
Attack
58
Defence
64
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
Germany
Injured
Injured
League A - Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netherlands
|
4 | 8 |
| 2 |
Greece
|
4 | 8 |
| 3 |
Germany
|
4 | 5 |
| 4 |
Serbia
|
4 | 0 |
What's at stake · League A - Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Germany | #3 | #1 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Netherlands | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Germany vs Netherlands?
The model gives Germany a 37% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 29% for an Netherlands win.
How many goals are expected in Germany vs Netherlands?
Expected goals: Germany 1.2, Netherlands 1.1 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Germany vs Netherlands?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.37%.