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Gibraltar - Malta

UEFA Nations League November 16, 2026 20:45 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Gibraltar
#2 · 2 pts
vs
Malta
#1 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.16%
Win
Gibraltar
38.57%
Draw
27.26%
Win
Malta
0.88
Expected xG
0.78

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (21.1%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 39%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 66%
12 61%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gibraltar a 34% win probability, against 38% for a draw and 27% for Malta. Expected goals are 0.9 for Gibraltar and 0.8 for Malta (total 1.7), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 21.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Gibraltar have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Malta.

Season Stats

Gibraltar
1W 5D 2L
Malta
4W 2D 3L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
0.7
0.8
Conceded
1.0
2.1
Shots OT
4.3
3.0
Corners
3.6
42%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
38%
O 1.5
56%
13%
O 2.5
22%
38%
BTTS
22%
38%
Clean Sht
44%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Gibraltar
1W 2D 1L · at home
Malta
2W 0D 2L · away
0.8
gls/g
0.8
0.8
Conceded
1.5
25%
Win %
50%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
25%
O 1.5
75%
25%
O 2.5
50%
25%
O 3.5
0%
25%
BTTS
25%
50%
Clean Sht
25%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Gibraltar Malta →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.1% 14.8% 5.7% 1.5% 0.3% —
1 16.8% 13.0% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% —
2 7.4% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% — —
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Gibraltar Gibraltar
D Malta 1–1
D Andorra 0–0
L Latvia 1–0
L Latvia 0–1
D San Marino 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Malta Malta
W Andorra 1–0
D Gibraltar 1–1
W Andorra 1–2
L Luxembourg 3–0
L Luxembourg 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Gibraltar Gibraltar
Attack
36
Defence
82
Form
47
Malta Malta
Attack
46
Defence
78
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Gibraltar
1
Draw
0
Malta
1 Oct 2026 UEFA Nations League 1–1

League D - Group A

# Team G Pts
1 Malta Malta 3 7
2 Gibraltar Gibraltar 2 2
3 Andorra Andorra 3 1

What's at stake · League D - Group A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Gibraltar Malta
Current #2 #1
→ Gibraltar #2 #1
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Malta #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gibraltar vs Malta?
The model gives Gibraltar a 34% win probability, 38% for a draw, and 27% for an Malta win.
How many goals are expected in Gibraltar vs Malta?
Expected goals: Gibraltar 0.9, Malta 0.8 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Gibraltar vs Malta?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.1%.