Samu
(ast. Gustavo)
72'
T. Strata
(ast. Beni)
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitória SC a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Rio Ave 29%). The final result was Vitória SC 2–0 Rio Ave. In 1 previous meetings, Vitória SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Rio Ave.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
0.59
4
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
5
21
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
28'
Andreas Ndoj
Gustavo Silva
57'
D. Sousa
/ G. Nogueira
58'
Maga
/ T. Strata
58'
O. Camara
/ M. Nogueira
58'
60'
Gustavo Mancha
61'
Tamás Nikitscher
Thiago Balieiro
62'
N. Saviolo
/ T. Arcanjo
68'
69'
Ryan Guilherme
/
O. Pohlmann
69'
J. Tome
/
D. Spikic
⚽Samu
· ast. Gustavo
72'
77'
O. Richards
/
N. Abbey
77'
T. Monteiro
/
T. Nikitscher
79'
Diogo Bezerra
Samu
80'
Gustavo
/ N. Oliveira
81'
86'
Rafael Lobato
/
Diogo Bezerra
Tony Strata
90'+3
⚽T. Strata
· ast. Beni
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.39%
Vitória ←
26.41%
X
29.2%
Rio
we assigned to the actual result (Vitória SC)
44.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.13
-0.29
1.18
0.59
-0.59
Vitória SC dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
27
Charles
G
Charles
G
13
João Mendes
D
João Mendes
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
D
Thiago Balieiro
D
4
D
2
Miguel Maga
58'
D
Miguel Maga
58'
D
23
Diogo Sousa
58'
M
Diogo Sousa
58'
M
16
1 👟
M
48
Noah Saviolo
68'
M
Noah Saviolo
68'
M
20
Samu
1 ⚽
M
Samu
1 ⚽
M
19
O. Camara
59'
M
O. Camara
59'
M
11
Gustavo
1 👟
81'
F
Gustavo
1 👟
81'
F
Bench
30
Gonçalo Nogueira
32'
M
Gonçalo Nogueira
32'
M
88
Miguel Nogueira
31'
M
Miguel Nogueira
31'
M
66
T. Strata
1 ⚽
32'
D
T. Strata
1 ⚽
32'
D
1
G
6
Nelson Abbey
77'
D
Nelson Abbey
77'
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
32
Jakub Brabec
D
Jakub Brabec
D
17
M. Vrousai
D
M. Vrousai
D
5
A. Ntoi
M
A. Ntoi
M
44
T. Nikitscher
77'
M
T. Nikitscher
77'
M
18
D. Špikić
69'
M
D. Špikić
69'
M
80
Ole Pohlmann
69'
M
Ole Pohlmann
69'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
86'
M
Diogo Bezerra
86'
M
11
J. Blesa
F
J. Blesa
F
Bench
8
Ryan Guilherme
21'
M
Ryan Guilherme
21'
M
9
Tamble Monteiro
13'
F
Tamble Monteiro
13'
F
Best on the pitch
T. Strata
D · Vitória
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Samu
M · Vitória
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
Thiago Balieiro
D · Vitória
7.30
· 55 pass
Miguel Maga
D · Vitória
7.30
· 34 pass
Charles
G · Vitória
7.20
· 38 pass
D · Vitória
7.20
· 64 pass
Vitória SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | — | — | — |
| João Mendes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Thiago Balieiro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 49% | 1 | — | — | |
| Miguel Maga | D | 58 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Diogo Sousa | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 59% | 1 | — | — | |
| Noah Saviolo | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Samu | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Camara | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| T. Strata | D | 32 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Nelson Abbey | D | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vrousai | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ntoi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Nikitscher | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Špikić | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Ole Pohlmann | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 86 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Blesa | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Guilherme | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Tamble Monteiro | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitória SC vs Rio Ave?
The final score was Vitória SC 2–0 Rio Ave.
What did the model predict before Vitória SC vs Rio Ave?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Vitória SC win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an Rio Ave win.