← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 35 May 04, 2026 18:30
Heart Of Midlothian
#1 · 70 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Rangers
#2 · 69 pts
S. Kingsley 54'
L. Shankland 71'
23' D. Sterling

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 41% win probability (draw 21%, Rangers 36%). The final result was Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers. In 3 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rangers.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
0.92
Actual xG
0.73
2
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
D. Sterling⚽
L. Shankland
37'
↕ I. Chesnokov / B. Spittal
46'
⚽S. Kingsley
54'
69'
D. Gassama / A. Skov Olsen ↕
⚽L. Shankland
71'
72'
M. Diomande
75'
T. Aasgaard / M. Moore ↕
75'
T. Rommens / D. Sterling ↕
75'
R. Naderi / N. Raskin ↕
80'
E. Fernandez
↕ A. Kyziridis / J. McCart
82'
↕ C. Braga / P. Kabore
83'
83'
B. Miovski / M. Diomande ↕
↕ L. Shankland / J. Altena
90'+4
↕ S. Kingsley / F. Kent
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.48%
Heart ←
21.8%
X
36.72%
Rangers
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian) 41.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heart
2.00
0.92
-1.08
Rangers
1.92
0.73
-1.19
xG dominance was balanced (0.92 – 0.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 3-4-2-1
25
G 6.70
19
D 7.20
4
D 7.50
15 Michael Steinwender Michael Steinwender D 6.90
3 Stephen Kingsley Stephen Kingsley 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.70
6
M 6.20
49 Marc Leonard Marc Leonard M 7.20
89 Alexandros Kyziridis Alexandros Kyziridis 82' M 7.00
99 Islam Chesnokov Islam Chesnokov 45' F 6.50
9 Lawrence Shankland Lawrence Shankland 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.30
10 Cláudio Braga Cláudio Braga 83' F 6.30
Bench
16 Blair Spittal Blair Spittal 45' M 7.20
23 Jordi Altena Jordi Altena 1' D
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré Pierre Landry Kaboré 15' F 6.20
Rangers Rangers 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.60
21 Dujon Sterling Dujon Sterling 1 ⚽ 75' D 6.90
37 Emmanuel Fernandez Emmanuel Fernandez D 6.50
24
D 6.60
2 J. Tavernier J. Tavernier D 7.60
43 N. Raskin N. Raskin 75' M 6.30
42 Tochi Chukwuani Tochi Chukwuani M 6.50
47 Mikey Moore Mikey Moore 75' M 6.20
10 Mohammed Diomande Mohammed Diomande 83' M 6.50
7 Andreas Skov Olsen Andreas Skov Olsen 69' M 6.50
9 Youssef Chermiti Youssef Chermiti F 6.50
Bench
28 Bojan Miovski Bojan Miovski 15' F 6.30
23 Djeidi Gassama Djeidi Gassama 21' F 6.30
31 Liam Kelly Liam Kelly G
3 Max Aarons Max Aarons D
20 R. Naderi R. Naderi 15' F 6.30
11 Thelo Aasgaard Thelo Aasgaard 15' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Stephen Kingsley
Stephen Kingsley
M · Heart
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
J. Tavernier
J. Tavernier
D · Rangers
7.60
1 shots · 48 pass
D · Heart
7.50
1 shots · 33 pass
Lawrence Shankland
Lawrence Shankland
F · Heart
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
D · Heart
7.20
1 shots · 31 pass
Blair Spittal
Blair Spittal
M · Heart
7.20
2 shots · 14 pass
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 23 11% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — 1 31 25% 2 — —
D 90 7.50 — — 1 33 29% — — —
Michael Steinwender D 90 6.90 — — 1 30 15% 4 — —
Stephen Kingsley M 89 7.70 1 — 1 26 17% — — —
M 90 6.20 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
Marc Leonard M 90 7.20 — — — 42 36% 3 — —
Alexandros Kyziridis M 82 7.00 — — 2 35 31% 3 — —
Islam Chesnokov F 45 6.50 — — — 6 3% 1 — —
Lawrence Shankland F 89 7.30 1 — 1 21 13% 1 1 —
Cláudio Braga F 83 6.30 — — 1 18 10% — — —
Blair Spittal M 45 7.20 — — 2 14 8% 2 — —
Jordi Altena D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Pierre Landry Kaboré F 15 6.20 — — — 2 — — — —
Rangers Rangers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 31 19% — — —
Dujon Sterling D 75 6.90 1 — 1 14 9% 2 — —
Emmanuel Fernandez D 90 6.50 — — 1 46 35% 1 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 51 48% 1 — —
J. Tavernier D 90 7.60 — — 1 48 35% 1 — —
N. Raskin M 75 6.30 — — — 22 15% 3 — —
Tochi Chukwuani M 90 6.50 — — 1 55 44% 4 — —
Mikey Moore M 75 6.20 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
Mohammed Diomande M 83 6.50 — — — 51 44% 2 1 —
Andreas Skov Olsen M 69 6.50 — — 1 20 16% 1 — —
Youssef Chermiti F 90 6.50 — — 1 24 15% — — —
Bojan Miovski F 15 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Djeidi Gassama F 21 6.30 — — 1 2 — — — —
R. Naderi F 15 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
Thelo Aasgaard M 15 6.30 — — 1 14 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
The final score was Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers.
What did the model predict before Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Heart Of Midlothian win, 21% to a draw, and 36% to an Rangers win.