Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United FC
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
18.0°C
💨 5 km/h
· Houston
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.85%
Win
Houston Dynamo
18.31%
Draw
23.84%
Win
Minnesota United FC
2.62
1.63
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.03%)
1X2 Result
✓ 65.0% hit rate (60 picks)
1
58%
X
18%
2
24%
Double Chance
✓ 91.7% hit rate (60 picks)
1X
76%
X2
42%
12
82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
76%
✓ 74.3% hit rate (140 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Houston Dynamo a 57% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Minnesota United FC. Expected goals are 2.6 for Houston Dynamo and 1.6 for Minnesota United FC (total 4.2), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.03% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Minnesota United FC.
Season Stats
6W
6D
3L
2W
6D
7L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.9
1.0
Conceded
2.2
3.9
Shots OT
5.5
4.2
Corners
5.3
52%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
93%
47%
O 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
93%
47%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
5W
4D
1L
· at home
3W
2D
5L
· away
1.3
gls/g
2.1
0.8
Conceded
2.2
50%
Win %
30%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
60%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
80%
20%
O 3.5
60%
40%
BTTS
90%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Houston Dynamo
Attack
37
Defence
53
Form
45
Minnesota United FC
Attack
49
Defence
38
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
11 Oct 2026
2–2
Western Conference
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
30 | 55 |
| 2 |
St. Louis City
|
30 | 51 |
| 3 |
FC Dallas
|
30 | 51 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
30 | 48 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
30 | 47 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
31 | 46 |
| 7 |
Seattle Sounders
|
30 | 42 |
| 8 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
31 | 40 |
| 9 |
Colorado Rapids
|
30 | 39 |
| 10 |
Real Salt Lake
|
30 | 36 |
| 11 |
Portland Timbers
|
30 | 34 |
| 12 |
San Diego
|
30 | 34 |
| 13 |
Minnesota United FC
|
30 | 34 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
30 | 31 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
30 | 22 |
What's at stake · Western Conference
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #5 | #13 |
| → Houston Dynamo | #4 | #13 |
| → Draw | #5 | #11 |
| → Minnesota United FC | #5 | #10 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC?
The model gives Houston Dynamo a 57% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 23% for an Minnesota United FC win.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC?
Expected goals: Houston Dynamo 2.6, Minnesota United FC 1.6 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.03%.