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Hungary - Northern Ireland

UEFA Nations League November 17, 2026 20:45 Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki
Hungary
#2 · 7 pts
vs
Northern Ireland
#1 · 8 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 18.1°C 💨 14 km/h · Iwaki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.37%
Win
Hungary
40.97%
Draw
19.66%
Win
Northern Ireland
0.87
Expected xG
0.53

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (26.45%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 41%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 61%
12 59%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 44%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hungary a 39% win probability, against 40% for a draw and 19% for Northern Ireland. Expected goals are 0.9 for Hungary and 0.5 for Northern Ireland (total 1.4), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 26.45% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Hungary have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Northern Ireland.

Season Stats

Hungary
3W 4D 5L
Northern Ireland
5W 4D 1L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.5
1.6
Conceded
0.3
3.8
Shots OT
4.4
4.5
Corners
5.3
44%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
50%
42%
O 2.5
30%
33%
BTTS
10%
33%
Clean Sht
80%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
27%
BTTS
Hungary
1W 3D 2L · at home
Northern Ireland
2W 2D 1L · away
0.5
gls/g
1.2
1.0
Conceded
0.6
17%
Win %
40%
67%
Win or Draw
80%
50%
O 1.5
40%
17%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
20%
33%
BTTS
20%
33%
Clean Sht
60%
50%
Failed to Score
40%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hungary Northern Ireland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 24.7% 13.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 21.5% 11.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 9.3% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% — —
3 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Hungary Hungary
W Ukraine 1–2
W Georgia 1–0
D Northern Ireland 0–0
L Ukraine 0–1
L Türkiye 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland
D Georgia 0–0
W Ukraine 0–3
D Hungary 0–0
W Georgia 0–1
D Luxembourg 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 45%

Playing profile

Hungary Hungary
Attack
35
Defence
79
Form
51
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland
Attack
31
Defence
77
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Hungary
1
Draw
0
Northern Ireland
28 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League 0–0

League B - Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 4 8
2 Hungary Hungary 4 7
3 Ukraine Ukraine 4 4
4 Georgia Georgia 4 2

What's at stake · League B - Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Hungary Northern Ireland
Current #2 #1
→ Hungary #1 #2
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Northern Ireland #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
The model gives Hungary a 39% win probability, 40% for a draw, and 19% for an Northern Ireland win.
How many goals are expected in Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
Expected goals: Hungary 0.9, Northern Ireland 0.5 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 26.45%.