Iceland - Luxembourg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.28%
Win
Iceland
32.29%
Draw
12.44%
Win
Luxembourg
1.3
0.46
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(20.66%)
1X2 Result
1
55%
X
32%
2
12%
Double Chance
1X
88%
X2
45%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Iceland a 55% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 12% for Luxembourg. Expected goals are 1.3 for Iceland and 0.5 for Luxembourg (total 1.8), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.66% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Iceland have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Luxembourg.
Season Stats
4W
3D
5L
3W
3D
6L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
0.8
1.6
Conceded
1.2
4.4
Shots OT
3.2
4.6
Corners
3.4
48%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
92%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
33%
58%
BTTS
25%
42%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
2D
2L
· at home
2W
2D
2L
· away
1.8
gls/g
0.8
1.7
Conceded
0.8
33%
Win %
33%
67%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
17%
50%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Iceland
Luxembourg →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 14.5% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Iceland
Attack
38
Defence
72
Form
59
Luxembourg
Attack
29
Defence
56
Form
19
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League C - Group D
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Iceland
|
4 | 8 |
| 2 |
Estonia
|
4 | 6 |
| 3 |
Bulgaria
|
4 | 4 |
| 4 |
Luxembourg
|
4 | 3 |
What's at stake · League C - Group D
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #4 |
| → Iceland | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #4 |
| → Luxembourg | #1 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Iceland vs Luxembourg?
The model gives Iceland a 55% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 12% for an Luxembourg win.
How many goals are expected in Iceland vs Luxembourg?
Expected goals: Iceland 1.3, Luxembourg 0.5 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Iceland vs Luxembourg?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.66%.