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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 18 April 26, 2026 03:30
Independiente Medellin
#11 · 26 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Fortaleza FC
#15 · 22 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
Yony Gonzalez 86'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Fortaleza FC 12%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
1
1.06
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
4
9
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Serna
50'
↕ L. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
56'
↕ A. Serna / D. Moreno
56'
57'
J. Cajares
67'
K. A. Balanta Carabali / C. Orozco ↕
↕ H. Loboa / J. Montano
68'
↕ D. Catano / B. Perlaza
69'
75'
J. Herrera
78'
S. Navarro / R. D. Rivas Torres ↕
78'
J. Medina Obando / J. Balanta ↕
79'
J. Martinez / J. Cajares ↕
↕ F. Chaverra / H. Palacios
81'
83'
A. Batioja / J. Velasquez ↕
⚽Yony Gonzalez
86'
Pre-match prediction
61.75%
Independiente ←
25.98%
X
12.27%
Fortaleza
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 61.75% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.66
1.06
-0.6
Fortaleza
0.51
0.24
-0.27
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-4-2
25
E. Chaux G 7.00
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra D 7.30
33
D. Londono D 7.30
24
J. Ortiz D 7.20
2
L. Chaverra 56' D 7.00
11
Yony Gonzalez 1 ⚽ M 7.90
16
H. Loboa 68' M 7.20
8
A. Serna 56' M 6.90
13
F. Chaverra 81' M 6.90
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski F 6.90
10
D. Catano 69' F 6.90
Bench
14
B. Perlaza 21' M 6.60
6
D. Moreno 34' M 7.20
31
D. Moreno M
26
E. Mena Perea 34' M 7.00
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios 9' D 6.90
20
J. Montano 22' F 6.50
5
L. Escorcia D
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 4-4-1-1
1
G 6.60
15
S. Cuero D 7.20
18
J. Balanta 78' D 6.70
6
Y. Diaz D 6.70
16
J. Cajares 78' D 6.90
26
R. D. Rivas Torres 78' M 6.60
20
C. Orozco 67' M 6.90
14
Leonardo Pico M 6.30
10
J. Velasquez 83' M 6.90
33 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo F 6.90
9
J. Herrera F 6.30
Bench
17
K. A. Balanta Carabali 23' M 6.30
8
S. Navarro 12' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Yony Gonzalez
M · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
F. Fabra
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
7.30
1 shots · 46 pass
D. Londono
D · Independiente
7.30
· 44 pass
J. Ortiz
D · Independiente
7.20
· 33 pass
H. Loboa
M · Independiente
7.20
1 shots · 28 pass
D. Moreno
M · Independiente
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Chaux G 90 7.00 — — — 18 13% — — —
F. Fabra D 90 7.30 — — 1 46 33% — — —
D. Londono D 90 7.30 — — — 44 39% — — —
J. Ortiz D 90 7.20 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
L. Chaverra D 56 7.00 — — — 24 23% 1 — —
Yony Gonzalez M 90 7.90 1 — 2 23 19% 2 — —
H. Loboa M 68 7.20 — — 1 28 27% — — —
A. Serna M 56 6.90 — — — 32 30% 2 1 —
F. Chaverra M 81 6.90 — — 2 26 21% 2 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 90 6.90 — — — 14 10% — — —
D. Catano F 69 6.90 — — 1 39 34% 1 — —
B. Perlaza M 21 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
D. Moreno M 34 7.20 — — 1 22 18% — — —
E. Mena Perea M 34 7.00 — — — 14 12% — — —
H. Palacios D 9 6.90 — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Montano F 22 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 34 26% — — —
S. Cuero D 90 7.20 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
J. Balanta D 78 6.70 — — — 29 21% — — —
Y. Diaz D 90 6.70 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
J. Cajares D 78 6.90 — — — 33 24% 1 1 —
R. D. Rivas Torres M 78 6.60 — — — 12 10% — — —
C. Orozco M 67 6.90 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
Leonardo Pico M 90 6.30 — — — 33 29% — — —
J. Velasquez M 83 6.90 — — — 42 31% — — —
A. Arroyo F 90 6.90 — — — 28 23% 1 — —
J. Herrera F 90 6.30 — — 3 18 13% — 1 —
K. A. Balanta Carabali M 23 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
S. Navarro M 12 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FC.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Fortaleza FC win.