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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 18 April 26, 2026 03:30
Independiente Medellin
#2 · 0 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Fortaleza FC
#15 · 22 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
Yony Gonzalez 86'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Fortaleza FC 12%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
1
1.06
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
4
9
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Serna
50'
↕ L. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
56'
↕ A. Serna / D. Moreno
56'
57'
J. Cajares
67'
K. A. Balanta Carabali / C. Orozco ↕
↕ H. Loboa / J. Montano
68'
↕ D. Catano / B. Perlaza
69'
75'
J. Herrera
78'
S. Navarro / R. D. Rivas Torres ↕
78'
J. Medina Obando / J. Balanta ↕
79'
J. Martinez / J. Cajares ↕
↕ F. Chaverra / H. Palacios
81'
83'
A. Batioja / J. Velasquez ↕
⚽Yony Gonzalez
86'
Pre-match prediction
61.75%
Independiente ←
25.98%
X
12.27%
Fortaleza
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 61.75% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.66
1.06
-0.6
Fortaleza
0.51
0.24
-0.27
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Chico Chico 0 0
2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0 0
3 America de Cali America de Cali 0 0
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0 0
5 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 0 0
6 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0 0
7 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0 0
8 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 0 0
9 Cucuta Cucuta 0 0
10 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0 0
11 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0 0
12 Junior Junior 0 0
13 Millonarios Millonarios 0 0
14 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0 0
15 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0 0
16 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 0 0
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 0 0
18 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 0 0
19 Llaneros Llaneros 0 0
20 Jaguares Jaguares 0 0
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-4-2
25 Eder Chaux Eder Chaux G 7.00
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra D 7.30
33 Daniel Londoño Daniel Londoño D 7.30
24 José Ortiz José Ortiz D 7.20
2 Léyser Chaverra Léyser Chaverra 56' D 7.00
11 Y. González Y. González 1 ⚽ M 7.90
16 Halam Loboa Halam Loboa 68' M 7.20
8 Alexis Serna Alexis Serna 56' M 6.90
13 F. Chaverra F. Chaverra 81' M 6.90
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski F 6.90
10 Daniel Cataño Daniel Cataño 69' F 6.90
Bench
14 Baldomero Perlaza Baldomero Perlaza 21' M 6.60
6 Didier Moreno Didier Moreno 34' M 7.20
31
D. Moreno M
26 Esneyder Mena Esneyder Mena 34' M 7.00
30 Hayen Palacios Hayen Palacios 9' D 6.90
20 John Edwin Montaño John Edwin Montaño 22' F 6.50
5 Luis Escorcia Luis Escorcia D
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 4-4-1-1
1
G 6.60
15
S. Cuero D 7.20
18
J. Balanta 78' D 6.70
6
Y. Diaz D 6.70
16
J. Cajares 78' D 6.90
26
R. D. Rivas Torres 78' M 6.60
20
C. Orozco 67' M 6.90
14
Leonardo Pico M 6.30
10
J. Velasquez 83' M 6.90
33 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo F 6.90
9
J. Herrera F 6.30
Bench
17
K. A. Balanta Carabali 23' M 6.30
8
S. Navarro 12' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Y. González
Y. González
M · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
F. Fabra
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
7.30
1 shots · 46 pass
Daniel Londoño
Daniel Londoño
D · Independiente
7.30
· 44 pass
José Ortiz
José Ortiz
D · Independiente
7.20
· 33 pass
Halam Loboa
Halam Loboa
M · Independiente
7.20
1 shots · 28 pass
Didier Moreno
Didier Moreno
M · Independiente
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Eder Chaux G 90 7.00 — — — 18 13% — — —
F. Fabra D 90 7.30 — — 1 46 33% — — —
Daniel Londoño D 90 7.30 — — — 44 39% — — —
José Ortiz D 90 7.20 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
Léyser Chaverra D 56 7.00 — — — 24 23% 1 — —
Y. González M 90 7.90 1 — 2 23 19% 2 — —
Halam Loboa M 68 7.20 — — 1 28 27% — — —
Alexis Serna M 56 6.90 — — — 32 30% 2 1 —
F. Chaverra M 81 6.90 — — 2 26 21% 2 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 90 6.90 — — — 14 10% — — —
Daniel Cataño F 69 6.90 — — 1 39 34% 1 — —
Baldomero Perlaza M 21 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
Didier Moreno M 34 7.20 — — 1 22 18% — — —
Esneyder Mena M 34 7.00 — — — 14 12% — — —
Hayen Palacios D 9 6.90 — — — 1 1% — — —
John Edwin Montaño F 22 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 34 26% — — —
S. Cuero D 90 7.20 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
J. Balanta D 78 6.70 — — — 29 21% — — —
Y. Diaz D 90 6.70 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
J. Cajares D 78 6.90 — — — 33 24% 1 1 —
R. D. Rivas Torres M 78 6.60 — — — 12 10% — — —
C. Orozco M 67 6.90 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
Leonardo Pico M 90 6.30 — — — 33 29% — — —
J. Velasquez M 83 6.90 — — — 42 31% — — —
A. Arroyo F 90 6.90 — — — 28 23% 1 — —
J. Herrera F 90 6.30 — — 3 18 13% — 1 —
K. A. Balanta Carabali M 23 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
S. Navarro M 12 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FC.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Fortaleza FC win.