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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 18 April 26, 2026 03:30
Independiente Medellin
#6 · 20 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Fortaleza FC
#15 · 22 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
Yony Gonzalez 86'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Fortaleza FC 12%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
1
1.06
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
4
9
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Serna
50'
↕ L. Chaverra / E. Mena Perea
56'
↕ A. Serna / D. Moreno
56'
57'
J. Cajares
67'
K. A. Balanta Carabali / C. Orozco ↕
↕ H. Loboa / J. Montano
68'
↕ D. Catano / B. Perlaza
69'
75'
J. Herrera
78'
S. Navarro / R. D. Rivas Torres ↕
78'
J. Medina Obando / J. Balanta ↕
79'
J. Martinez / J. Cajares ↕
↕ F. Chaverra / H. Palacios
81'
83'
A. Batioja / J. Velasquez ↕
⚽Yony Gonzalez
86'
Pre-match prediction
61.75%
Independiente ←
25.98%
X
12.27%
Fortaleza
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 61.75% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.66
1.06
-0.6
Fortaleza
0.51
0.24
-0.27
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 America de Cali America de Cali 11 24
2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 12 24
3 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 10 22
4 Millonarios Millonarios 13 21
5 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 10 20
6 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 11 20
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 11 19
8 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 11 18
9 Llaneros Llaneros 11 14
10 Once Caldas Once Caldas 11 12
11 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 12 12
12 Cucuta Cucuta 11 12
13 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 10 11
14 Chico Chico 10 11
15 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 12 11
16 Junior Junior 10 9
17 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 11 9
18 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 10 8
19 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 11 8
20 Jaguares Jaguares 10 7
Lineups
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-4-2
25 E. Chaux E. Chaux G 7.00
18 F. Fabra F. Fabra D 7.30
33 D. Londoño D. Londoño D 7.30
24 J. Ortiz J. Ortiz D 7.20
2 L. Chaverra L. Chaverra 56' D 7.00
11 Y. González Y. González 1 ⚽ M 7.90
16 H. Loboa H. Loboa 68' M 7.20
8 Alexis Serna Alexis Serna 56' M 6.90
13 F. Chaverra F. Chaverra 81' M 6.90
19 F. Fydriszewski F. Fydriszewski F 6.90
10 D. Cataño D. Cataño 69' F 6.90
Bench
14 B. Perlaza B. Perlaza 21' M 6.60
6 D. Moreno D. Moreno 34' M 7.20
31 D. Moreno D. Moreno M
26 E. Mena E. Mena 34' M 7.00
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios 9' D 6.90
20 J. Montaño J. Montaño 22' F 6.50
5 L. Escorcia L. Escorcia D
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 4-4-1-1
1
G 6.60
15 S. Cuero S. Cuero D 7.20
18 Jhon Balanta Jhon Balanta 78' D 6.70
6 Y. Díaz Y. Díaz D 6.70
16 Joan Cajares Joan Cajares 78' D 6.90
26 Richardson Rivas Richardson Rivas 78' M 6.60
20
C. Orozco 67' M 6.90
14 L. Pico L. Pico M 6.30
10 Jhon Velásquez Jhon Velásquez 83' M 6.90
33 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo F 6.90
9 Sebastian Herrera Sebastian Herrera F 6.30
Bench
17 Kevin Balanta Kevin Balanta 23' M 6.30
8 S. Navarro S. Navarro 12' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Y. González
Y. González
M · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
F. Fabra
F. Fabra
D · Independiente
7.30
1 shots · 46 pass
D. Londoño
D. Londoño
D · Independiente
7.30
· 44 pass
J. Ortiz
J. Ortiz
D · Independiente
7.20
· 33 pass
H. Loboa
H. Loboa
M · Independiente
7.20
1 shots · 28 pass
D. Moreno
D. Moreno
M · Independiente
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Chaux G 90 7.00 — — — 18 13% — — —
F. Fabra D 90 7.30 — — 1 46 33% — — —
D. Londoño D 90 7.30 — — — 44 39% — — —
J. Ortiz D 90 7.20 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
L. Chaverra D 56 7.00 — — — 24 23% 1 — —
Y. González M 90 7.90 1 — 2 23 19% 2 — —
H. Loboa M 68 7.20 — — 1 28 27% — — —
Alexis Serna M 56 6.90 — — — 32 30% 2 1 —
F. Chaverra M 81 6.90 — — 2 26 21% 2 — —
F. Fydriszewski F 90 6.90 — — — 14 10% — — —
D. Cataño F 69 6.90 — — 1 39 34% 1 — —
B. Perlaza M 21 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
D. Moreno M 34 7.20 — — 1 22 18% — — —
E. Mena M 34 7.00 — — — 14 12% — — —
H. Palacios D 9 6.90 — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Montaño F 22 6.50 — — — 6 3% — — —
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 34 26% — — —
S. Cuero D 90 7.20 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
Jhon Balanta D 78 6.70 — — — 29 21% — — —
Y. Díaz D 90 6.70 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
Joan Cajares D 78 6.90 — — — 33 24% 1 1 —
Richardson Rivas M 78 6.60 — — — 12 10% — — —
C. Orozco M 67 6.90 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
L. Pico M 90 6.30 — — — 33 29% — — —
Jhon Velásquez M 83 6.90 — — — 42 31% — — —
A. Arroyo F 90 6.90 — — — 28 23% 1 — —
Sebastian Herrera F 90 6.30 — — 3 18 13% — 1 —
Kevin Balanta M 23 6.30 — — — 7 4% — — —
S. Navarro M 12 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FC.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Fortaleza FC win.