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Israel - Austria

UEFA Nations League November 17, 2026 20:45 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Israel
#4 · 2 pts
vs
Austria
#1 · 8 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
19.53%
Win
Israel
36.61%
Draw
43.86%
Win
Austria
0.6
Expected xG
1.08

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (20.59%)
1X2 Result
1 20%
X 37%
2 44%
Double Chance
1X 56%
X2 81%
12 63%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Austria a 43% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 19% for Israel. Expected goals are 0.6 for Israel and 1.1 for Austria (total 1.7), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 20.59% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Israel have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Austria.

Season Stats

Israel
1W 3D 6L
Austria
5W 5D 2L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.1
2.2
Shots OT
6.0
2.2
Corners
4.8
41%
Poss.
62%
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
75%
30%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
19%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
Israel
1W 1D 3L · at home
Austria
1W 3D 2L · away
0.6
gls/g
1.2
1.8
Conceded
1.3
20%
Win %
17%
40%
Win or Draw
67%
60%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
33%
20%
O 3.5
17%
40%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
17%
40%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Israel Austria →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.7% 20.2% 10.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 12.1% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% —
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Israel Israel
D Rep. Of Ireland 1–1
D Kosovo 0–0
L Rep. Of Ireland 0–3
L Austria 3–1
W Belgium 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Austria Austria
D Kosovo 1–1
D Rep. Of Ireland 2–2
W Kosovo 3–1
W Israel 3–1
L Serbia 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Israel Israel
Attack
23
Defence
60
Form
8
Austria Austria
Attack
49
Defence
62
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Israel
0
Draw
1
Austria
24 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League 1–3

League B - Group C

# Team G Pts
1 Austria Austria 4 8
2 Kosovo Kosovo 4 5
3 Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland 4 5
4 Israel Israel 4 2

What's at stake · League B - Group C

Top 2 advance to the next round

Israel Austria
Current #4 #1
→ Israel #4 #1
→ Draw #4 #1
→ Austria #4 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Israel vs Austria?
The model gives Israel a 19% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 43% for an Austria win.
How many goals are expected in Israel vs Austria?
Expected goals: Israel 0.6, Austria 1.1 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Israel vs Austria?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.59%.