← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 33 May 04, 2026 18:00
#5 · 42 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#7 · 41 pts
S. Prevljak (ast. R. Hrvatin) 6'
S. Prevljak (ast. V. Rozic) 23'
V. Rozic (ast. M. Heister) 63'
38' (ast. A. Grgic) M. Dabro

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Slaven Belupo a 34% win probability (draw 35%, Istra 1961 30%). The final result was Istra 1961 3–1 NK Slaven Belupo. In 3 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for NK Slaven Belupo.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
5
1.20
Actual xG
1.90
4
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
5
Corners
11
10
Tackles
14
Match Events
S. Prevljak · ast. R. Hrvatin
6'
S. Prevljak · ast. V. Rozic
23'
38'
ast. A. Grgic · M. Dabro
57'
M. Leskovic / A. Grgic
V. Rozic · ast. M. Heister
63'
R. Hrvatin / A. Kadusic
66'
E. Frederiksen / D. Ahmeti
67'
67'
G. Sivalec / M. Petrovic
75'
M. Ascic / M. Dabro
75'
E. Qestaj / I. Lepinjica
V. Rozic / A. Mauric
76'
M. Heister / N. Sepic
76'
S. Loncar / L. Stulac
87'
Pre-match prediction
30.51%
Istra ←
35.13%
X
34.36%
NK
we assigned to the actual result (Istra 1961) 30.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Istra
0.92
1.20
+0.28
NK
1.03
1.90
+0.87
NK Slaven Belupo dominated by xG (1.90 vs 1.20). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-4-3
1
G 6.90
16 Samuli Miettinen Samuli Miettinen D 6.50
38 Raul Kumar Raul Kumar D 7.30
24
D 6.30
26 M. Heister M. Heister 1 👟 76' M 6.60
5
M 6.90
10 S. Lončar S. Lončar 87' M 6.60
44 Rene Hrvatin Rene Hrvatin 1 👟 66' M 7.50
7 Vinko Rozić Vinko Rozić 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 8.30
9 S. Prevljak S. Prevljak 2 ⚽ F 8.90
17 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 67' F 7.00
Bench
97 Advan Kadušić Advan Kadušić 25' D 7.00
29 Allen Obando Allen Obando F
8 Antonio Maurić Antonio Maurić 15' M 6.90
77 Charles Adah Agada Charles Adah Agada F
20 Dukan Ahmeti Dukan Ahmeti 24' M 6.70
25 Gustavo Albarracín Gustavo Albarracín M
18 Israel Ayuma Israel Ayuma M
23 Leo Štulac Leo Štulac 4' M
31
G 6.00
20 Marko Petrovic Marko Petrovic 67' D 6.20
2
D 7.20
5
D 5.20
27
A. Grgic 1 👟 57' M 6.90
24 Leon Bošnjak Leon Bošnjak M 6.70
15 Ivan Ćubelić Ivan Ćubelić F 7.00
21 L. Crepulja L. Crepulja M 7.90
18 Filip Krušelj Filip Krušelj M 7.20
23 Igor Lepinjica Igor Lepinjica 75' F 6.30
7
M. Dabro 1 ⚽ 75' F 6.20
Bench
26 Gabrijel Šivalec Gabrijel Šivalec 24' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
S. Prevljak
S. Prevljak
F · Istra
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
Vinko Rozić
Vinko Rozić
F · Istra
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
L. Crepulja
L. Crepulja
M · NK
7.90
1 shots · 85 pass
Rene Hrvatin
Rene Hrvatin
M · Istra
7.50
1 👟
· 15 pass
Raul Kumar
Raul Kumar
D · Istra
7.30
· 37 pass
Filip Krušelj
Filip Krušelj
M · NK
7.20
1 shots · 31 pass
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 6.90 35 27%
Samuli Miettinen D 91 6.50 1 26 19% 1
Raul Kumar D 91 7.30 37 35% 1
D 91 6.30 39 30% 1
M. Heister M 76 6.60 1 1 20 14% 1
M 91 6.90 34 29% 2
S. Lončar M 87 6.60 36 31%
Rene Hrvatin M 66 7.50 1 15 12% 1
Vinko Rozić F 76 8.30 1 1 1 16 13%
S. Prevljak F 91 8.90 2 3 18 10% 1
E. Frederiksen F 67 7.00 1 18 11%
Advan Kadušić D 25 7.00 10 9% 2
Antonio Maurić M 15 6.90 1 15 15%
Dukan Ahmeti M 24 6.70 19 16%
Leo Štulac M 4 5 4%
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 6.00 20 12%
Marko Petrovic D 67 6.20 1 38 29% 3
D 91 7.20 41 37% 5
D 91 5.20 3 37 31%
A. Grgic M 57 6.90 1 1 19 12%
Leon Bošnjak M 91 6.70 1 39 30% 1
Ivan Ćubelić F 91 7.00 5 36 23% 2
L. Crepulja M 91 7.90 1 85 76%
Filip Krušelj M 91 7.20 1 31 25% 3
Igor Lepinjica F 75 6.30 10 10%
M. Dabro F 75 6.20 1 4 19 16%
Gabrijel Šivalec F 24 6.70 1 4 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The final score was Istra 1961 3–1 NK Slaven Belupo.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 35% to a draw, and 34% to an NK Slaven Belupo win.