← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 4 May 08, 2026 04:00
Junior
#4 · 1 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Cerro Porteno
#2 · 7 pts
13' P. Vegetti

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 27%). The final result was Junior 0–1 Cerro Porteno. In 1 previous meetings, Junior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cerro Porteno.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
3
1.00
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
10
Corners
2
18
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
P. Vegetti⚽
45'+3
A. Martin
↕ G. Paiva / C. Bacca
60'
62'
G. Velazquez
63'
R. Gomez / C. Bobadilla ↕
63'
M. Klimowicz / A. Sonora ↕
J. Guerrero
63'
↕ J. Guerrero / E. Herrera
67'
↕ T. Gutierrez / K. Perez
68'
80'
F. Peralta / F. Dominguez ↕
↕ J. Rivas / Y. Chara
81'
81'
J. Iturbe / J. Torres ↕
↕ J. Canchimbo / B. Castrillon
81'
J. Pestana
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.44%
Junior
30.78%
X
27.78%
Cerro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Porteno) 27.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Junior
1.03
1.00
-0.03
Cerro
0.80
0.54
-0.26
Junior dominated by xG (1.00 vs 0.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Junior Junior 4-2-3-1
1 Mauro Silveira Mauro Silveira G 6.60
26 Yeison Suárez Yeison Suárez D 6.30
33
D 6.90
24 Jean Carlos Pestaña Jean Carlos Pestaña D 6.60
34 Jhonier Guerrero Jhonier Guerrero 67' D 6.90
14 Juan David Ríos Juan David Ríos M 7.20
22 Jesús Rivas Jesús Rivas 81' M 6.90
29 Teófilo Gutiérrez Teófilo Gutiérrez 68' M 6.90
9 Guillermo Paiva Guillermo Paiva 60' M 6.20
21 Joel Canchimbo Joel Canchimbo 81' M 6.20
10 Luis Muriel Luis Muriel F 6.60
Bench
88 Bryan Castrillón Bryan Castrillón 17' F 6.20
70 Carlos Bacca Carlos Bacca 38' F 6.50
77 Cristian Barrios Cristian Barrios F
5 Daniel Rivera Daniel Rivera M
7
Harold Rivera M
20 Jannenson Sarmiento Jannenson Sarmiento M
30 Jefersson Martínez Jefersson Martínez G
27
Jhon Navia D
18
K. Perez 30' F 7.30
8 Yimmi Chará Yimmi Chará 17' M 6.90
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-3-3
1 Alexis Martín Arias Alexis Martín Arias G 6.90
35 Marcelo Chaparro Marcelo Chaparro D 6.60
22 M. Pérez M. Pérez D 7.50
23 Gustavo Velázquez Gustavo Velázquez D 7.00
2 F. Domínguez F. Domínguez 80' D 7.20
5 J. Morel J. Morel M 6.70
26 da Motta da Motta M 7.00
32 Cesar Bobadilla Cesar Bobadilla 63' M 6.60
27 Jonatan Torres Jonatan Torres 81' F 6.50
19 Pablo Vegetti Pablo Vegetti 1 ⚽ F 7.30
7
A. Sonora 63' F 6.30
Bench
8 Cristhian Paredes Cristhian Paredes M
24 Edgar Raul Paez Torales Edgar Raul Paez Torales F
16 Fabrizio Peralta Fabrizio Peralta 18' M 6.90
11 Juan Iturbe Juan Iturbe 17' F 6.30
14 Lucas Quintana Lucas Quintana D
40 Mateo Klimowicz Mateo Klimowicz 35' M 6.70
33
R. Gomez 35' D 6.30
42 Víctor Sánchez Víctor Sánchez D
20 Wílder Viera Wílder Viera M
Best on the pitch
M. Pérez
M. Pérez
D · Cerro
7.50
· 21 pass
K. Perez
F · Junior
7.30
· 18 pass
Pablo Vegetti
Pablo Vegetti
F · Cerro
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
Juan David Ríos
Juan David Ríos
M · Junior
7.20
· 50 pass
F. Domínguez
F. Domínguez
D · Cerro
7.20
· 18 pass
da Motta
da Motta
M · Cerro
7.00
· 27 pass
Junior Junior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mauro Silveira G 98 6.60 — — — 15 15% — — —
Yeison Suárez D 98 6.30 — — 2 47 36% 1 — —
D 98 6.90 — — — 34 28% — — —
Jean Carlos Pestaña D 98 6.60 — — — 54 49% — 1 —
Jhonier Guerrero D 67 6.90 — — 1 26 19% 3 1 —
Juan David Ríos M 98 7.20 — — — 50 41% 4 — —
Jesús Rivas M 81 6.90 — — 2 54 40% 1 — —
Teófilo Gutiérrez M 68 6.90 — — — 34 23% 2 — —
Guillermo Paiva M 60 6.20 — — 1 23 16% 1 — —
Joel Canchimbo M 81 6.20 — — — 25 15% 2 — —
Luis Muriel F 98 6.60 — — 4 27 24% 1 — —
Bryan Castrillón F 17 6.20 — — — 2 2% — — —
Carlos Bacca F 38 6.50 — — 3 4 2% — — —
K. Perez F 30 7.30 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
Yimmi Chará M 17 6.90 — — — 18 15% 2 — —
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexis Martín Arias G 98 6.90 — — — 26 14% — 1 —
Marcelo Chaparro D 98 6.60 — — — 19 13% 2 — —
M. Pérez D 98 7.50 — — — 21 14% 4 — —
Gustavo Velázquez D 98 7.00 — — — 18 12% 1 1 —
F. Domínguez D 80 7.20 — — — 18 8% 5 — —
J. Morel M 98 6.70 — — — 20 15% 4 — —
da Motta M 98 7.00 — — — 27 16% 1 — —
Cesar Bobadilla M 63 6.60 — — 1 9 9% — — —
Jonatan Torres F 81 6.50 — — 2 17 12% 1 — —
Pablo Vegetti F 98 7.30 1 — 1 21 9% 2 — —
A. Sonora F 63 6.30 — — 1 20 16% — — —
Fabrizio Peralta M 18 6.90 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Juan Iturbe F 17 6.30 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Mateo Klimowicz M 35 6.70 — — — 9 8% 2 — —
R. Gomez D 35 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Cerro Porteno?
The final score was Junior 0–1 Cerro Porteno.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Cerro Porteno?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Junior win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Cerro Porteno win.