Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 08, 2026 04:00
13'
P. Vegetti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 27%). The final result was Junior 0–1 Cerro Porteno. In 1 previous meetings, Junior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cerro Porteno.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
3
1.00
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
10
Corners
2
18
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
P. Vegetti⚽
45'+3
A. Martin
G. Paiva
/ C. Bacca
60'
62'
G. Velazquez
63'
R. Gomez
/
C. Bobadilla
63'
M. Klimowicz
/
A. Sonora
J. Guerrero
63'
J. Guerrero
/ E. Herrera
67'
T. Gutierrez
/ K. Perez
68'
80'
F. Peralta
/
F. Dominguez
J. Rivas
/ Y. Chara
81'
81'
J. Iturbe
/
J. Torres
J. Canchimbo
/ B. Castrillon
81'
J. Pestana
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.44%
Junior
30.78%
X
27.78%
Cerro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Porteno)
27.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
1.00
-0.03
0.80
0.54
-0.26
Junior dominated by xG (1.00 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
33
D
24
J. Pestaña
D
J. Pestaña
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
67'
D
Jhonier Guerrero
67'
D
14
Juan David Ríos
M
Juan David Ríos
M
22
Jesús Rivas
81'
M
Jesús Rivas
81'
M
29
T. Gutiérrez
68'
M
T. Gutiérrez
68'
M
9
Guillermo Paiva
60'
M
Guillermo Paiva
60'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
81'
M
Joel Canchimbo
81'
M
10
Luis Muriel
F
Luis Muriel
F
Bench
88
Bryan Castrillón
17'
F
Bryan Castrillón
17'
F
70
Carlos Bacca
38'
F
Carlos Bacca
38'
F
77
Cristian Barrios
F
Cristian Barrios
F
5
Daniel Rivera
M
Daniel Rivera
M
7
Harold Rivera
M
Harold Rivera
M
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
27
Jhon Navia
D
Jhon Navia
D
20
J. Sarmiento
M
J. Sarmiento
M
18
Kevin Pérez
30'
F
Kevin Pérez
30'
F
8
Yimmi Chará
17'
M
Yimmi Chará
17'
M
1
A. Martín Arias
G
35
Marcelo Chaparro
D
Marcelo Chaparro
D
22
M. Pérez
D
M. Pérez
D
23
Gustavo Velázquez
D
Gustavo Velázquez
D
2
Fabricio Domínguez
80'
D
Fabricio Domínguez
80'
D
5
J. Morel
M
J. Morel
M
26
Piris da Motta
M
Piris da Motta
M
32
Cesar Bobadilla
63'
M
Cesar Bobadilla
63'
M
27
Jonatan Torres
81'
F
Jonatan Torres
81'
F
19
P. Vegetti
1 ⚽
F
P. Vegetti
1 ⚽
F
7
A. Soñora
63'
F
A. Soñora
63'
F
Bench
8
Cristhian Paredes
M
Cristhian Paredes
M
24
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
F
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
F
16
Fabrizio Peralta
18'
M
Fabrizio Peralta
18'
M
11
Juan Iturbe
17'
F
Juan Iturbe
17'
F
14
Lucas Quintana
D
Lucas Quintana
D
40
Mateo Klimowicz
35'
M
Mateo Klimowicz
35'
M
33
Rodrigo Gómez
35'
D
Rodrigo Gómez
35'
D
42
Víctor Sánchez
D
Víctor Sánchez
D
20
W. Viera
M
W. Viera
M
Best on the pitch
M. Pérez
D · Cerro
7.50
· 21 pass
Kevin Pérez
F · Junior
7.30
· 18 pass
P. Vegetti
F · Cerro
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Juan David Ríos
M · Junior
7.20
· 50 pass
Fabricio Domínguez
D · Cerro
7.20
· 18 pass
Piris da Motta
M · Cerro
7.00
· 27 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| J. Pestaña | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Guillermo Paiva | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Muriel | F | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Bacca | F | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Pérez | F | 30 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Martín Arias | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcelo Chaparro | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pérez | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Gustavo Velázquez | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabricio Domínguez | D | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Morel | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Piris da Motta | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Cesar Bobadilla | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jonatan Torres | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Vegetti | F | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Soñora | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Peralta | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Iturbe | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Klimowicz | M | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gómez | D | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Cerro Porteno?
The final score was Junior 0–1 Cerro Porteno.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Cerro Porteno?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Junior win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Cerro Porteno win.