Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 08, 2026 04:00
13'
P. Vegetti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Junior a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 27%). The final result was Junior 0–1 Cerro Porteno. In 1 previous meetings, Junior have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cerro Porteno.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
3
1.00
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
10
Corners
2
18
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
P. Vegetti⚽
45'+3
A. Martin
G. Paiva
/ C. Bacca
60'
62'
G. Velazquez
63'
R. Gomez
/
C. Bobadilla
63'
M. Klimowicz
/
A. Sonora
J. Guerrero
63'
J. Guerrero
/ E. Herrera
67'
T. Gutierrez
/ K. Perez
68'
80'
F. Peralta
/
F. Dominguez
J. Rivas
/ Y. Chara
81'
81'
J. Iturbe
/
J. Torres
J. Canchimbo
/ B. Castrillon
81'
J. Pestana
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.44%
Junior
30.78%
X
27.78%
Cerro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Porteno)
27.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
1.00
-0.03
0.80
0.54
-0.26
Junior dominated by xG (1.00 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
33
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
34
J. Guerrero
67'
D
J. Guerrero
67'
D
14
J. Ríos
M
J. Ríos
M
22
Jesús Rivas
81'
M
Jesús Rivas
81'
M
29
T. Gutiérrez
68'
M
T. Gutiérrez
68'
M
9
G. Paiva
60'
M
G. Paiva
60'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
81'
M
Joel Canchimbo
81'
M
10
L. Muriel
F
L. Muriel
F
Bench
88
Bryan Castrillón
17'
F
Bryan Castrillón
17'
F
70
Carlos Bacca
38'
F
Carlos Bacca
38'
F
77
Cristian Barrios
F
Cristian Barrios
F
5
Daniel Rivera
M
Daniel Rivera
M
7
Harold Rivera
M
Harold Rivera
M
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
M
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
27
Jhon Navia
D
Jhon Navia
D
18
Kevin Pérez
30'
F
Kevin Pérez
30'
F
8
Yimmi Chará
17'
M
Yimmi Chará
17'
M
1
Alexis Martín Arias
G
Alexis Martín Arias
G
35
Marcelo Chaparro
D
Marcelo Chaparro
D
22
M. Pérez
D
M. Pérez
D
23
Gustavo Velázquez
D
Gustavo Velázquez
D
2
F. Domínguez
80'
D
F. Domínguez
80'
D
5
J. Morel
M
J. Morel
M
26
Piris da Motta
M
Piris da Motta
M
32
Cesar Bobadilla
63'
M
Cesar Bobadilla
63'
M
27
Jonatan Torres
81'
F
Jonatan Torres
81'
F
19
P. Vegetti
1 ⚽
F
P. Vegetti
1 ⚽
F
7
Alan Soñora
63'
F
Alan Soñora
63'
F
Bench
8
Cristhian Paredes
M
Cristhian Paredes
M
24
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
F
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
F
16
Fabrizio Peralta
18'
M
Fabrizio Peralta
18'
M
11
J. Iturbe
17'
F
J. Iturbe
17'
F
14
Lucas Quintana
D
Lucas Quintana
D
40
Mateo Klimowicz
35'
M
Mateo Klimowicz
35'
M
33
Rodrigo Gómez
35'
D
Rodrigo Gómez
35'
D
42
Víctor Sánchez
D
Víctor Sánchez
D
20
Wílder Viera
M
Wílder Viera
M
Best on the pitch
M. Pérez
D · Cerro
7.50
· 21 pass
Kevin Pérez
F · Junior
7.30
· 18 pass
P. Vegetti
F · Cerro
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
J. Ríos
M · Junior
7.20
· 50 pass
F. Domínguez
D · Cerro
7.20
· 18 pass
Piris da Motta
M · Cerro
7.00
· 27 pass
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Guerrero | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Bacca | F | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Pérez | F | 30 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Martín Arias | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcelo Chaparro | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pérez | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Gustavo Velázquez | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Domínguez | D | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Morel | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Piris da Motta | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Cesar Bobadilla | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jonatan Torres | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Vegetti | F | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Alan Soñora | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Peralta | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Iturbe | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Klimowicz | M | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gómez | D | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Junior vs Cerro Porteno?
The final score was Junior 0–1 Cerro Porteno.
What did the model predict before Junior vs Cerro Porteno?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Junior win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Cerro Porteno win.